Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 28, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $81.6500 (0.06%) ($81.5400 - $81.6700) on Wed. Jul. 28, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.13% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $81.6500(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(49%)    TLT(43%)    LQD(20%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)    QQQ(-20%)    IWM(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.065% (StdDev 0.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $81.75
5 Day Moving Average   $81.68(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.73(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.75(-0.12%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.1% (three month std-dev: 0.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2004	81.99		81.73	81.68			81.65(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.07	43%	-0.01	40	0.13%	0	-1.2	39	0
2	Jul_27_2004	82	81.75	81.75	81.69			81.6(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0.12	45%	-0.02	33.3	0.13%	0	-1.5	39	0
3	Jul_26_2004	82.02	81.75	81.77	81.71			81.67(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-9	-31	0.16	45%	-0.01	33.3	0.13%	0	-0.6	43	0
4	Jul_23_2004	82.03	81.74	81.78	81.76			81.73(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-16	0.14	42%	-0.01	53.3	0.13%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Jul_22_2004	82.04	81.73	81.79	81.79			81.73(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-2	8	0.12	44%	-0.01	62.5	0.13%	0	0	63	0

6	Jul_21_2004	82.05	81.72	81.8	81.8			81.71(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-2	18	0.17	44%	-0.01	64.7	0.13%	0	-0.1	52	0
7	Jul_20_2004	82.06	81.71	81.81	81.81			81.73(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-2	36	0.14	42%	-0.01	70.6	0.13%	0	0.1	64	0
8	Jul_19_2004	82.07	81.7	81.82	81.81			81.88(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	60	0.18	42%	-0.01	77.8	0.13%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Jul_16_2004	82.08	81.68	81.81	81.82			81.92(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	3	70	0.18	44%	-0.01	70	0.13%	0	1.5	63	0
10	Jul_15_2004	82.09	81.65	81.78	81.8			81.76(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-2	64	0.23	42%	-0.01	70	0.13%	0	0.7	59	0

11	Jul_14_2004	82.1	81.63	81.77	81.8			81.76(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	0	78	0.1	40%	-0.01	66.7	0.13%	0	0.8	62	0
12	Jul_13_2004	82.11	81.61	81.75	81.8			81.79(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	0	83	0.2	39%	-0.01	66.7	0.13%	0	1.1	64	0
13	Jul_12_2004	82.12	81.58	81.71	81.81			81.85(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	1	78	0.29	39%	-0.01	56.5	0.14%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Jul_9_2004	82.13	81.56	81.69	81.8			81.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-10000	9	89	0.25	39%	0	50	0.14%	0	1.4	69	0
15	Jul_8_2004	82.13	81.53	81.66	81.75			81.82(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	3	78	0.26	39%	-0.01	36.4	0.14%	0	1.6	66	0

16	Jul_7_2004	82.14	81.52	81.63	81.73			81.79(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	10	85	0.21	39%	-0.01	33.3	0.14%	0	1.6	68	0
17	Jul_6_2004	82.15	81.5	81.6	81.67			81.78(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	13	74	0.2	40%	-0.01	15	0.14%	0	1.8	65	0
18	Jul_2_2004	82.16	81.48	81.57	81.6			81.8(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	7	67	0.16	38%	-0.01	-11.8	0.14%	0	2.3	73	0
19	Jul_1_2004	82.17	81.48	81.53	81.6			81.58(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	0	56	0.63	32%	-0.01	-33.3	0.14%	0	0.9	58	0
20	Jun_30_2004	82.18	81.47	81.51	81.56			81.71(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	7	63	0.13	33%	-0.01	-33.3	0.14%	0	2	62	0

21	Jun_29_2004	82.19	81.46	81.48	81.56			81.49(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	0	47	0.19	29%	-0.01	-50	0.14%	0	0.3	49	0
22	Jun_28_2004	82.2	81.47	81.47	81.52			81.41(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-2	45	0.19	29%	-0.02	-42.9	0.13%	0	-0.5	47	0
23	Jun_25_2004	82.22	81.5	81.45	81.53			81.6(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	8	36	0.25	30%	0	-29.4	0.13%	0	0.7	55	0
24	Jun_24_2004	82.22	81.5	81.42	81.49			81.59(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	6	12	0.16	30%	-0.01	-25	0.13%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Jun_23_2004	82.23	81.51	81.4	81.46			81.51(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	6	-7	0.26	30%		-27.3	0.13%	0	0	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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