Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $81.8800 (0.05%) ($81.8200 - $81.9000) on Thu. May. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $81.8800(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(49%)    TLT(43%)    LQD(21%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)    QQQ(-20%)    IWM(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.75(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.72(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.7(0.22%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.18% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2004	82.44		81.72	81.75			81.88(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	24	-10000	8	73	0.28	37%	-0.01	-33.3	0.12%	0	1.2	76	0
2	May_26_2004	82.45	81.7	81.68	81.71			81.84(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	43	0.14	37%	0	-50	0.12%	0	0.9	47	0
3	May_25_2004	82.45	81.71	81.65	81.71			81.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	0	10	0.16	33%	-0.01	-52.4	0.12%	0	-0.1	39	0
4	May_24_2004	82.46	81.73	81.63	81.67			81.69(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-11	0.18	33%	0	-50	0.12%	0	-0.2	37	0
5	May_21_2004	82.46	81.74	81.62	81.68			81.67(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	2	-24	0.23	33%	-0.01	-52.2	0.12%	0	-0.4	36	0

6	May_20_2004	82.47	81.76	81.6	81.67			81.67(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	-10000	7	-52	0.1	33%	-0.01	-53.8	0.12%	0	-0.4	32	0
7	May_19_2004	82.48	81.78	81.61	81.64			81.63(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-10000	3	-69	0.17	33%	-0.01	-61.5	0.12%	0	-0.7	33	0
8	May_18_2004	82.49	81.8	81.63	81.62			81.67(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	3	-84	0.21	33%	-0.01	-65.4	0.12%	0	-0.6	34	0
9	May_17_2004	82.5	81.82	81.65	81.6			81.75(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	10	-106	0.21	33%	-0.01	-71.4	0.12%	0	-0.3	30	0
10	May_14_2004	82.51	81.84	81.66	81.55			81.64(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	7	-132	0.26	31%	-0.01	-74.2	0.12%	0	-0.8	31	0

11	May_13_2004	82.52	81.87	81.69	81.52			81.51(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-48	-10000	-12	-155	0.2	31%	-0.01	-80.6	0.12%	0	-1.4	24	0
12	May_12_2004	82.53	81.91	81.73	81.58			81.55(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-12	-150	0.26	31%	0	-86.2	0.12%	0	-1.5	20	0
13	May_11_2004	82.53	81.94	81.77	81.64			81.53(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-15	-141	0.19	34%	-0.01	-86.2	0.12%	0	-1.7	29	0
14	May_10_2004	82.54	81.98	81.83	81.71			81.52(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-10000	-15	-116	0.38	33%	-0.01	-82.1	0.12%	0	-2	29	0
15	May_7_2004	82.55	82.03	81.88	81.78			81.48(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-42	-10000	-20	-108	0.73	33%	-0.01	-80.8	0.12%	0	-2.6	23	0

16	May_6_2004	82.56	82.08	81.93	81.88			81.82(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-4	-94	0.57	40%	-0.01	-82.6	0.11%	0	-1.4	26	0
17	May_5_2004	82.57	82.11	81.97	81.9			81.84(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-4	-94	0.12	40%	0	-87.5	0.11%	0	-1.3	34	0
18	May_4_2004	82.57	82.14	81.99	81.92			81.87(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-11	-97	0.25	40%	-0.01	-95.8	0.11%	0	-1.3	38	0
19	May_3_2004	82.58	82.17	82.01	81.97			81.89(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-94	0.14	40%	-0.01	-104.2	0.11%	0	-1.4	34	0
20	Apr_30_2004	82.59	82.2	82.04	81.99			81.97(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-2	-99	0.11	40%	0	-112.5	0.11%	0	-1.2	32	0

21	Apr_29_2004	82.59	82.24	82.07	82			81.93(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-11	-113	1.18	40%	0	-107.4	0.11%	0	-1.4	28	0
22	Apr_28_2004	82.59	82.29	82.1	82.05			81.94(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-4	-111	0.23	37%	-0.01	-87.5	0.11%	0	-1.3	28	0
23	Apr_27_2004	82.6	82.33	82.13	82.07			82.11(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	3	-109	0.98	41%	0	-82.4	0.12%	0	-0.8	33	0
24	Apr_26_2004	82.6	82.37	82.15	82.05			82.01(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-10	-124	1.06	39%	0	-83.3	0.12%	0	-1.2	35	0
25	Apr_23_2004	82.6	82.42	82.19	82.1			82(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-12	-115	0.26	38%		-73.7	0.12%	0	-1.4	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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