Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.0200 (0.08%) ($82.9000 - $83.0300) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $83.0200(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(49%)    TLT(44%)    LQD(22%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.95(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.82(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.78(0.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.14% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2004	82.46	82.78	82.82	82.95			83.02(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	18	78	0.16	59%	0	85.7	0.11%	0	2	65	0
2	Mar_10_2004	82.46	82.76	82.8	82.87			82.95(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	15	50	0.25	61%	0.01	76.9	0.11%	0	1.7	57	0
3	Mar_9_2004	82.45	82.74	82.78	82.8			83(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	-10000	18	29	0.11	61%	0.01	53.3	0.11%	0	2.2	61	0
4	Mar_8_2004	82.44	82.72	82.75	82.72			82.95(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	9	-10000	11	4	0.15	61%	0.01	50	0.11%	0	2.3	60	0
5	Mar_5_2004	82.43	82.7	82.73	82.67			82.82(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.7	-7	-10000	-2	-23	0.45	63%	0	36.4	0.11%	0	1.3	50	0

6	Mar_4_2004	82.43	82.7	82.72	82.68			82.64(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-7	-19	0.19	60%	0.01	33.3	0.11%	0	-0.4	50	0
7	Mar_3_2004	82.42	82.7	82.73	82.71			82.57(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.19	60%	0	38.5	0.11%	0	-1	49	0
8	Mar_2_2004	82.42	82.68	82.75	82.76			82.63(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-7	30	0.22	60%	0	46.2	0.11%	0	-0.5	60	0
9	Mar_1_2004	82.42	82.67	82.75	82.76			82.71(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	-10000	0	49	0.18	55%	0	40	0.11%	0	0.3	57	0
10	Feb_27_2004	82.42	82.66	82.76	82.79			82.85(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	7	63	0.15	56%	0.01	40	0.12%	0	1.6	66	0

11	Feb_26_2004	82.41	82.65	82.74	82.76			82.79(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	61	0.23	56%	0	23.1	0.12%	0	1.3	69	0
12	Feb_25_2004	82.41	82.65	82.73	82.75			82.82(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	3	66	0.12	56%	0.01	15.4	0.12%	0	1.7	67	0
13	Feb_24_2004	82.4	82.63	82.7	82.73			82.76(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	2	56	0.16	54%	0	8.3	0.12%	0	1.3	61	0
14	Feb_23_2004	82.4	82.63	82.68	82.72			82.75(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-2	59	0.13	54%	0	8.3	0.12%	0	1.3	64	0
15	Feb_20_2004	82.4	82.63	82.67	82.72			82.67(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	0	65	0.12	56%	0	8.3	0.12%	0	0.5	56	0

16	Feb_19_2004	82.4	82.63	82.65	82.73			82.76(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	7	63	0.15	54%	0	8.3	0.12%	0	1.4	62	0
17	Feb_18_2004	82.4	82.63	82.62	82.7			82.72(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	8	58	0.12	54%	0	0	0.12%	0	1	61	0
18	Feb_17_2004	82.4	82.62	82.6	82.66			82.71(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	3	31	0.13	54%	0	-8.3	0.12%	0	0.9	49	0
19	Feb_13_2004	82.4	82.62	82.58	82.64			82.78(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	8	23	0.13	57%	0.01	-16.7	0.12%	0	1.7	56	0
20	Feb_12_2004	82.39	82.62	82.56	82.6			82.66(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	10	4	0.17	56%	0	-18.2	0.12%	0	0.6	48	0

21	Feb_11_2004	82.39	82.61	82.54	82.55			82.63(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	3	-29	0.51	56%	0	-16.7	0.12%	0	0.2	42	0
22	Feb_10_2004	82.39	82.62	82.53	82.53			82.5(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0.24	54%	0	0	0.12%	0	-1.2	40	0
23	Feb_9_2004	82.39	82.62	82.53	82.54			82.61(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.1	56%	0	16.7	0.12%	0	-0.2	46	0
24	Feb_6_2004	82.39	82.63	82.55	82.52			82.58(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.18	56%	0	25	0.12%	0	-0.5	47	0
25	Feb_5_2004	82.39	82.62	82.56	82.51			82.45(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-61	0.26	54%		23.1	0.12%	0	-1.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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