Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Feb. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.7800 (0.15%) ($82.6900 - $82.7800) on Sat. Feb. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $82.7800(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.64(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.58(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.61(0.21%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.12% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2004	82.4		82.58	82.64			82.78(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	8	23	0.13	57%	0.01	-16.7	0.12%	0	1.7	56	0
2	Feb_12_2004	82.39		82.56	82.6			82.66(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	10	4	0.17	56%	0	-18.2	0.12%	0	0.6	48	0
3	Feb_11_2004	82.39	82.61	82.54	82.55			82.63(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	3	-29	0.51	56%	0	-16.7	0.12%	0	0.2	42	0
4	Feb_10_2004	82.39	82.62	82.53	82.53			82.5(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0.24	54%	0	0	0.12%	0	-1.2	40	0
5	Feb_9_2004	82.39	82.62	82.53	82.54			82.61(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.1	56%	0	16.7	0.12%	0	-0.2	46	0

6	Feb_6_2004	82.39	82.63	82.55	82.52			82.58(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.18	56%	0	25	0.12%	0	-0.5	47	0
7	Feb_5_2004	82.39	82.63	82.56	82.51			82.45(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-61	0.26	54%	0	23.1	0.12%	0	-1.5	38	0
8	Feb_4_2004	82.39	82.63	82.59	82.51			82.51(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	0	-55	0.09	54%	0	30.8	0.12%	0	-1	40	0
9	Feb_3_2004	82.39	82.62	82.62	82.53			82.56(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.15	51%	0.01	20	0.12%	0	-0.5	38	0
10	Feb_2_2004	82.38	82.61	82.63	82.56			82.48(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-7	-53	0.24	51%	0	17.6	0.12%	0	-0.9	41	0

11	Jan_30_2004	82.38	82.61	82.65	82.59			82.57(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-41	0.11	51%	0	15.8	0.12%	0	-0.2	47	0
12	Jan_29_2004	82.38	82.6	82.66	82.61			82.53(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-12	-25	0.35	51%	0	26.3	0.12%	0	-0.4	56	0
13	Jan_28_2004	82.38	82.6	82.68	82.67			82.51(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-8	12	0.22	53%	0	36.8	0.12%	0	-0.5	56	0
14	Jan_27_2004	82.38	82.59	82.68	82.67			82.72(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	0	50	0.14	57%	0.01	42.1	0.12%	0	0.8	69	0
15	Jan_26_2004	82.37	82.59	82.68	82.67			82.62(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	-10000	0	75	0.42	55%	0	47.4	0.12%	0	0.3	70	0

16	Jan_23_2004	82.37	82.58	82.71	82.71			82.68(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	99	0.11	57%	0.01	47.4	0.12%	0	0.6	74	0
17	Jan_22_2004	82.36	82.56	82.69	82.72			82.8(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	3	101	0.24	59%	0.01	42.9	0.12%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Jan_21_2004	82.35	82.54	82.66	82.7			82.74(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-2	94	0.27	59%	0.01	47.4	0.12%	0	1.2	62	0
19	Jan_20_2004	82.34	82.52	82.63	82.71			82.69(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-2	99	0.29	59%	0	52.6	0.12%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Jan_16_2004	82.34	82.51	82.59	82.71			82.65(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	0	90	0.11	57%	0.01	55.6	0.12%	0	0.9	54	0

21	Jan_15_2004	82.33	82.5	82.55	82.72			82.71(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	12	85	0.28	55%	0.01	61.1	0.12%	0	1.4	60	0
22	Jan_14_2004	82.32	82.48	82.53	82.66			82.72(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	9	68	0.25	55%	0	64.7	0.13%	0	1.7	67	0
23	Jan_13_2004	82.32	82.47	82.5	82.61			82.8(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-10000	17	62	0.16	55%	0.01	62.5	0.13%	0	2.5	63	0
24	Jan_12_2004	82.31	82.44	82.46	82.52			82.7(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	17	37	0.12	55%	0.01	61.5	0.12%	0	2.4	57	0
25	Jan_9_2004	82.3	82.43	82.44	82.44			82.65(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	17	12	0.2	55%		72.7	0.12%	0	2.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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