Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.7000 (0.06%) ($82.6400 - $82.7700) on Mon. Jan. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $82.7000(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(50%)    TLT(44%)    LQD(22%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.52(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.46(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.44(0.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.13% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2004	82.31	82.44	82.46	82.52			82.7(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	17	37	0.12	55%	0.01	61.5	0.12%	0	2.4	57	0
2	Jan_9_2004	82.3	82.43	82.44	82.44			82.65(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	17	12	0.2	55%	0.01	72.7	0.12%	0	2.4	56	0
3	Jan_8_2004	82.29	82.41	82.42	82.36			82.45(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.11	52%	0	87.5	0.12%	0	0.6	50	0
4	Jan_7_2004	82.29	82.39	82.41	82.37			82.44(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.12	52%	0	80	0.12%	0	0.6	50	0
5	Jan_6_2004	82.29	82.39	82.4	82.38			82.38(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.24	52%	0.01	75	0.12%	0	0	51	0

6	Jan_5_2004	82.28	82.38	82.41	82.39			82.28(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-10	-14	0.27	51%	0	84.6	0.12%	0	-0.9	45	0
7	Jan_2_2004	82.28	82.37	82.43	82.44			82.27(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-10000	-8	7	0.14	47%	0	84.6	0.12%	0	-0.9	44	0
8	Dec_31_2003	82.28	82.35	82.45	82.48			82.47(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	7	38	0.19	51%	0.01	57.9	0.12%	0	0.8	64	0
9	Dec_30_2003	82.27	82.33	82.44	82.45			82.48(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	41	0.1	53%	0	42.9	0.12%	0	0.9	69	0
10	Dec_29_2003	82.27	82.3	82.44	82.45			82.44(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	0	45	0.1	53%	0	26.1	0.12%	0	0.7	64	0

11	Dec_26_2003	82.27	82.29	82.43	82.44			82.55(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	3	56	0.15	57%	0.01	21.7	0.12%	0	1.4	63	0
12	Dec_24_2003	82.26	82.27	82.41	82.42			82.48(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	71	0.1	57%	0.01	18.2	0.12%	0	1.2	71	0
13	Dec_23_2003	82.25	82.27	82.39	82.41			82.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-7	82	0.12	54%	0	19	0.12%	0	0.2	69	0
14	Dec_22_2003	82.25	82.26	82.38	82.44			82.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	2	106	0.08	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	0.9	71	0
15	Dec_19_2003	82.25	82.26	82.36	82.43			82.47(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	3	121	0.1	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	1.3	76	0

16	Dec_18_2003	82.25	82.25	82.34	82.41			82.45(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	2	126	0.13	56%	0.01	21.1	0.12%	0	1.3	61	0
17	Dec_17_2003	82.24	82.24	82.3	82.4			82.43(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	7	113	0.13	56%	0	26.3	0.12%	0	1.2	55	0
18	Dec_16_2003	82.24	82.24	82.25	82.37			82.42(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	12	85	0.11	56%	0	33.3	0.12%	0	1.3	51	0
19	Dec_15_2003	82.24	82.23	82.21	82.31			82.37(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	53	0.14	56%	0	33.3	0.12%	0	0.9	53	0
20	Dec_12_2003	82.24	82.22	82.16	82.27			82.39(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	3	16	0.11	56%	0	38.9	0.12%	0	1.1	49	0

21	Dec_11_2003	82.24	82.21	82.14	82.25			82.41(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	17	2	0.21	56%	0	41.2	0.12%	0	1.4	49	0
22	Dec_10_2003	82.24	82.19	82.11	82.17			82.24(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	12	-30	0.49	53%	0	23.5	0.12%	0	0.4	50	0
23	Dec_9_2003	82.24	82.18	82.12	82.11			82.14(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.09	54%	0	5.6	0.12%	0	-0.3	42	0
24	Dec_8_2003	82.24	82.17	82.13	82.09			82.19(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	12	-70	0.11	52%	-0.01	-5.6	0.12%	0	0.1	43	0
25	Dec_5_2003	82.25	82.16	82.14	82.03			82.28(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-20	-10000	3	-89	0.11	57%		-21.1	0.12%	0	0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.