Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 11, 2003

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.3200 (-0.07%) ($82.3000 - $82.3600) on Thu. Sep. 11, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $82.3200(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(45%)    LQD(23%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)    OIH(-13%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    IWM(-20%)    XLY(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.3(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.15(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.09(0.28%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.18% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2003	82.43	82.09	82.15	82.3			82.32(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	12	110	0.08	41%	0.01	33.3	0.12%	0	1.5	61	0
2	Sep_10_2003	82.42	82.07	82.11	82.24			82.38(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	-10000	20	88	0.09	43%	0	23.5	0.12%	0	2.2	57	0
3	Sep_9_2003	82.42	82.06	82.07	82.14			82.33(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	-10000	18	47	0.1	44%	0	13.3	0.12%	0	2.2	53	0
4	Sep_8_2003	82.42	82.05	82.03	82.05			82.19(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	7	3	0.19	42%	0	-7.7	0.12%	0	1.3	53	0
5	Sep_5_2003	82.42	82.05	82	82.02			82.29(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	5	-10000	11	-12	0.07	43%	0	-8.3	0.11%	0	2.5	56	0

6	Sep_4_2003	82.42	82.05	81.97	81.97			82.01(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-37	0.08	42%	0	-27.3	0.11%	0	-0.3	48	0
7	Sep_3_2003	82.42	82.05	81.98	81.96			81.9(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.12	41%	-0.01	-45.5	0.11%	0	-1.6	43	0
8	Sep_2_2003	82.43	82.04	82	81.98			81.84(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-4	-34	0.38	39%	0	-54.5	0.11%	0	-2.2	33	0
9	Aug_29_2003	82.43	82.04	82	82			82.05(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	4	-26	0.16	41%	0	-66.7	0.11%	0	-0.1	50	0
10	Aug_28_2003	82.43	82.04	82	81.98			82.06(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	2	-37	0.09	41%	-0.01	-90	0.11%	0	0	45	0

11	Aug_27_2003	82.44	82.06	82.03	81.97			81.94(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-7	-57	0.04	39%	0	-100	0.11%	0	-1.3	40	0
12	Aug_26_2003	82.44	82.08	82.04	82			82.02(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-7	-46	0.35	39%	0	-90.9	0.11%	0	-0.7	49	0
13	Aug_25_2003	82.44	82.09	82.06	82.03			81.93(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-8	-21	0.08	38%	-0.01	-83.3	0.1%	0	-1.6	50	0
14	Aug_22_2003	82.45	82.11	82.07	82.06			81.97(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.17	38%	0	-60	0.11%	0	-1.2	44	0
15	Aug_21_2003	82.45	82.13	82.09	82.08			81.99(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.1	36%	0	-53.3	0.11%	0	-1.2	51	0

16	Aug_20_2003	82.45	82.15	82.11	82.09			82.11(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	7	0.08	40%	-0.01	-50	0.1%	0	-0.3	47	0
17	Aug_19_2003	82.46	82.16	82.1	82.08			82.17(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	-2	-12	0.09	40%	0	-56.3	0.11%	0	0.1	45	0
18	Aug_18_2003	82.46	82.17	82.1	82.09			82.07(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	2	-29	0.13	38%	0	-62.5	0.1%	0	-0.8	43	0
19	Aug_15_2003	82.46	82.18	82.09	82.08			82.08(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.02	40%	-0.01	-64.7	0.11%	0	-0.7	41	0
20	Aug_14_2003	82.47	82.2	82.08	82.1			82.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-56	0	40%	0	-70.6	0.11%	0	-1.1	36	0

21	Aug_13_2003	82.47	82.22	82.1	82.12			82.04(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.08	40%	-0.01	-66.7	0.11%	0	-1.2	38	0
22	Aug_12_2003	82.48	82.24	82.1	82.13			82.2(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	12	-67	0.05	42%	0	-72.2	0.1%	0	-0.3	41	0
23	Aug_11_2003	82.48	82.25	82.12	82.08			82.06(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0.08	39%	0	-78.9	0.1%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Aug_8_2003	82.48	82.27	82.15	82.1			82.17(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	10	-92	0.19	40%	-0.01	-66.7	0.1%	0	-0.6	46	0
25	Aug_7_2003	82.49	82.29	82.17	82.06			82.15(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-2	-109	0.1	40%		-68.2	0.1%	0	-0.8	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.