Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $81.9700 (-0.02%) ($81.8800 - $82.0200) on Fri. Aug. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $81.9700(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(45%)    LQD(23%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)    OIH(-13%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    IWM(-20%)    XLY(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $82.11
5 Day Moving Average   $82.06(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.07(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.11(-0.17%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.15% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2003	82.45	82.11	82.07	82.06			81.97(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.17	38%	0	-60	0.11%	0	-1.2	44	0
2	Aug_21_2003	82.45	82.13	82.09	82.08			81.99(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.1	36%	0	-53.3	0.11%	0	-1.2	51	0
3	Aug_20_2003	82.45	82.15	82.11	82.09			82.11(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	7	0.08	40%	-0.01	-50	0.1%	0	-0.3	47	0
4	Aug_19_2003	82.46	82.16	82.1	82.08			82.17(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	-2	-12	0.09	40%	0	-56.3	0.11%	0	0.1	45	0
5	Aug_18_2003	82.46	82.17	82.1	82.09			82.07(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	2	-29	0.13	38%	0	-62.5	0.1%	0	-0.8	43	0

6	Aug_15_2003	82.46	82.18	82.09	82.08			82.08(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.02	40%	-0.01	-64.7	0.11%	0	-0.7	41	0
7	Aug_14_2003	82.47	82.2	82.08	82.1			82.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-56	0	40%	0	-70.6	0.11%	0	-1.1	36	0
8	Aug_13_2003	82.47	82.22	82.1	82.12			82.04(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.08	40%	-0.01	-66.7	0.11%	0	-1.2	38	0
9	Aug_12_2003	82.48	82.24	82.1	82.13			82.2(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	12	-67	0.05	42%	0	-72.2	0.1%	0	-0.3	41	0
10	Aug_11_2003	82.48	82.25	82.12	82.08			82.06(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0.08	39%	0	-78.9	0.1%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Aug_8_2003	82.48	82.27	82.15	82.1			82.17(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	10	-92	0.19	40%	-0.01	-66.7	0.1%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Aug_7_2003	82.49	82.29	82.17	82.06			82.15(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-2	-109	0.1	40%	0	-68.2	0.1%	0	-0.8	39	0
13	Aug_6_2003	82.49	82.32	82.19	82.07			82.06(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-119	0.08	41%	-0.01	-68.2	0.1%	0	-1.4	35	0
14	Aug_5_2003	82.5	82.34	82.22	82.12			81.98(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-12	-107	0.12	39%	0	-66.7	0.1%	0	-2.1	29	0
15	Aug_4_2003	82.5	82.37	82.26	82.17			82.13(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-8	-93	0.13	41%	-0.01	-73.7	0.1%	0	-1.5	34	0

16	Aug_1_2003	82.51	82.39	82.28	82.2			82(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-43	-10000	-22	-105	0.28	35%	0	-72.2	0.1%	0	-2.6	22	0
17	Jul_31_2003	82.51	82.42	82.32	82.29			82.19(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-31	-10000	-11	-91	0.13	38%	-0.01	-73.3	0.09%	0	-1.9	24	0
18	Jul_30_2003	82.52	82.44	82.34	82.33			82.28(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-4	-88	0.06	43%	0	-66.7	0.09%	0	-1.3	30	0
19	Jul_29_2003	82.52	82.46	82.36	82.35			82.24(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-4	-74	0.12	42%	0	-80	0.1%	0	-1.8	34	0
20	Jul_28_2003	82.52	82.48	82.39	82.37			82.31(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-16	-10000	2	-71	0.09	42%	0	-80	0.1%	0	-1.4	38	0

21	Jul_25_2003	82.52	82.5	82.41	82.37			82.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	0	-72	0.09	46%	-0.01	-100	0.1%	0	-0.7	41	0
22	Jul_24_2003	82.53	82.51	82.43	82.36			82.38(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-2	-73	0.11	47%	0	-107.7	0.1%	0	-1.2	37	0
23	Jul_23_2003	82.53	82.53	82.45	82.37			82.39(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-2	-73	0.22	48%	0	-93.3	0.1%	0	-1.2	32	0
24	Jul_22_2003	82.53	82.55	82.46	82.38			82.35(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-8	-75	0.15	48%	0	-72.2	0.1%	0	-1.3	33	0
25	Jul_21_2003	82.53	82.58	82.48	82.41			82.27(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-30	-10000	-12	-83	0.1	47%		-66.7	0.1%	0	-2.1	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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