Trading Signals: SHOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: SHOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Shopify Inc. )
SHOP latest price $44.3600 (1.56%) ($43.5100 - $44.5400) on Fri. Oct. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $44.3600(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SHOP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHOP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(61%)    SKYY(60%)    ARKK(55%)    QQQ(55%)    IWF(54%)
Factors Impacting SHOP price   SHOP will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.65(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.41(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.92(3.36%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   46.1%
Market Cap   $5.327b

Shopify, Inc. operates a cloud-based commerce platform designed for small and medium-sized businesses. Its software is used by merchants to run business across all sales channels, including web, tablet and mobile storefronts, social media storefronts, and brick-and-mortar and pop-up shops. The firm's platform provides merchants with a single view of business and customers and enables them to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, build customer relationships and leverage analytics and reporting. It focuses on merchant and subscription solutions. The company was founded by Tobias Albin LÃ¼tke, Daniel Weinand and Scott Lake on September 28, 2004 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

$. SHOP price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.43%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 4.05%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.67%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2016	35.73	42.92	43.41	43.65	43.79	43.91	44.36(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	30	13	14	0.74	85%	0.53	27.2	2.22%	0	1.3	59	0
2	Oct_6_2016	35.54	42.76	43.3	43.36	43.53	43.74	43.68(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	50	6	12	0.31	85%	0.48	22.8	2.22%	0	0.9	65	0
3	Oct_5_2016	35.37	42.72	43.31	43.22	43.37	43.68	43.77(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	60	14	22	0.49	85%	0.51	28	2.22%	0	1	63	0
4	Oct_4_2016	35.19	42.67	43.36	43.01	43.22	43.33	43.41(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	8	33	0.56	85%	0.49	29.7	2.23%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Oct_3_2016	35.02	42.65	43.36	43.11	42.91	43.05	43.03(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	10	-3	43	0.58	85%	0.49	40.1	2.24%	0	0.4	66	0

6	Sep_30_2016	34.85	42.62	43.28	43.14	43.02	43.1	42.92(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	0	5	56	0.38	85%	0.49	45.5	2.24%	0	0.3	58	0
7	Sep_29_2016	34.68	42.51	43.15	43.23	43.05	42.76	42.96(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-60	-8	58	0.67	87%	0.49	45.2	2.25%	0	0.4	61	0
8	Sep_28_2016	34.51	42.44	43.05	43.41	43.13	42.93	42.75(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-50	-22	50	1.47	88%	0.47	51.1	2.35%	0	0.3	48	0
9	Sep_27_2016	34.35	42.37	42.89	43.76	43.65	42.93	43.87(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-60	5	63	0.46	83%	0.53	57.9	2.38%	0	1.3	54	0
10	Sep_26_2016	34.17	42.24	42.57	43.47	43.7	43.34	43.2(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-40	-10	32	0.42	83%	0.47	48.7	2.55%	0	0.9	50	0

11	Sep_23_2016	34.01	42.15	42.41	43.42	43.56	43.96	43.35(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	70	6	32	0.63	77%	0.44	44.8	2.71%	0	1.1	54	0
12	Sep_22_2016	33.86	42.02	42.18	43.05	43.41	44.06	43.86(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	130	32	33	1.02	77%	0.42	37	2.75%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Sep_21_2016	33.72	41.87	42.09	42.63	42.68	43.16	44.5(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	80	26	27	1.06	77%	0.42	38.2	2.74%	0	2.6	61	0
14	Sep_20_2016	33.58	41.87	41.88	41.91	42.12	42.75	42.46(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	120	21	12	0.97	76%	0.36	41.7	2.69%	0	0.9	56	0
15	Sep_19_2016	33.46	41.71	41.93	41.54	41.71	42.2	42.95(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	90	24	10	1.68	76%	0.33	47.3	2.69%	0	1.5	57	0

16	Sep_16_2016	33.35	41.67	41.86	41.27	41.19	41.48	41.49(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	40	8	1	0.69	75%	0.3	58.3	2.67%	0	-0.2	51	0
17	Sep_15_2016	33.25	41.61	41.8	41.18	41.05	41.22	41.77(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-1	20	-0	-5	0.52	75%	0.3	53.6	2.68%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Sep_14_2016	33.15	41.48	41.76	41.47	41.14	40.9	40.9(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-60	-12	1	0.58	76%	0.3	49.6	2.68%	0	-0.5	52	0
19	Sep_13_2016	33.05	41.37	41.82	41.85	41.63	40.88	40.57(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-140	-25	5	0.59	76%	0.27	49.7	2.71%	0	-0.6	45	0
20	Sep_12_2016	32.96	41.31	41.92	42.37	42.19	41.39	41.63(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-17	-150	-27	15	1.03	76%	0.3	60.8	2.69%	0	0.2	46	0

21	Sep_9_2016	32.86	41.21	41.91	42.53	42.71	42.38	41.04(-5.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-40	-10	22	0.95	72%	0.31	70	2.74%	0	-0.1	43	0
22	Sep_8_2016	32.76	41.16	41.89	42.45	42.76	43	43.21(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	60	12	32	0.65	77%	0.37	78.6	2.68%	0	1.4	66	0
23	Sep_7_2016	32.64	40.96	41.66	42.08	42.22	43.04	42.78(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	150	20	35	0.52	77%	0.34	81.7	2.68%	0	1.3	71	0
24	Sep_6_2016	32.53	40.76	41.54	41.79	41.75	42.52	43.19(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	130	32	48	0.81	77%	0.4	94.4	2.67%	0	1.7	74	0
25	Sep_2_2016	32.4	40.51	41.44	41.43	41.32	41.41	42.42(4.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	10	13	48	1.45	73%		94.1	2.66%	0	1.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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