Trading Signals: SHOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SHOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: SHOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Shopify Inc. )
SHOP latest price $27.7600 (-1.56%) ($27.6000 - $28.4000) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $27.7600(-1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SHOP advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHOP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(60%)    ARKK(55%)    IWF(55%)    QQQ(55%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting SHOP price   SHOP will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    TLT(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.19(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.78(3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.61(0.54%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $3.334b

Shopify, Inc. operates a cloud-based commerce platform designed for small and medium-sized businesses. Its software is used by merchants to run business across all sales channels, including web, tablet and mobile storefronts, social media storefronts, and brick-and-mortar and pop-up shops. The firm's platform provides merchants with a single view of business and customers and enables them to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, build customer relationships and leverage analytics and reporting. It focuses on merchant and subscription solutions. The company was founded by Tobias Albin LÃ¼tke, Daniel Weinand and Scott Lake on September 28, 2004 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

$. SHOP price fluctuates within 7.06% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.9%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 11.58%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 12.58%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	25.84	27.61	26.78	27.19	27.29	27.85	27.76(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	150	28	33	0.36	63%	0.12	-51.3	2.5%	0	0.1	49	INF
2	May_25_2016	25.81	27.79	26.69	26.83	26.81	27.27	28.2(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	120	27	2	0.92	63%	0.12	-51.6	2.49%	0	0.2	45	INF
3	May_24_2016	25.78	27.95	26.48	26.46	26.4	26.73	27.06(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	80	10	-51	0.84	63%	0.04	-53.1	2.46%	0	-0.4	32	INF
4	May_23_2016	25.77	28.15	26.43	26.41	26.34	26.36	26.82(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-0	10	-85	0.71	57%	0.04	-53.6	2.52%	0	-0.6	26	INF
5	May_20_2016	25.76	28.36	26.39	26.27	26.32	26.07	26.1(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-60	-7	-131	0.37	54%	0.04	-54.4	2.62%	0	-0.9	19	INF

6	May_19_2016	25.75	28.65	26.54	26.31	26.36	26.33	25.97(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-48	-0	-11	-160	0.76	54%	0	-53.2	2.64%	0	-1.1	17	INF
7	May_18_2016	25.75	28.93	26.78	26.51	26.44	26.57	26.34(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-40	30	4	-170	0.63	47%	0.04	-51.6	2.63%	0	-1.1	18	INF
8	May_17_2016	25.74	29.19	27.09	26.49	26.45	26.39	26.8(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	-20	2	-175	0.69	54%	0.08	-49.5	2.82%	0	-1	19	INF
9	May_16_2016	25.72	29.45	27.45	26.46	26.42	26.32	26.16(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-47	-30	-5	-173	0.52	58%	0	-47.1	3.02%	0	-1.4	17	INF
10	May_13_2016	25.72	29.73	27.95	26.52	26.48	26.51	26.29(-2.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-48	0	-8	-167	0.4	58%	0.04	-45.7	3.09%	0	-1.6	21	INF

11	May_12_2016	25.71	29.98	28.49	26.81	26.59	26.53	26.95(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-40	-9	-158	0.63	58%	0.08	-43	3.1%	0	-1.5	21	INF
12	May_11_2016	25.69	30.19	28.96	27.12	26.91	26.45	26.27(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-140	-25	-154	0.41	58%	0.08	-38	3.09%	0	-2.1	17	INF
13	May_10_2016	25.67	30.39	29.53	27.79	27.57	26.65	26.63(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-63	-260	-38	-136	0.59	58%	0.08	-31.8	3.11%	0	-2.2	18	INF
14	May_9_2016	25.65	30.58	30.03	28.61	28.41	27.38	26.46(-4.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-66	-270	-49	-117	1.62	58%	0.04	-18.6	3.11%	0	-2.8	15	INF
15	May_6_2016	25.64	30.76	30.53	29.6	29.45	28.49	27.72(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-51	-240	-40	-83	0.73	56%	0.08	0.5	3.18%	0	-2.6	25	INF

16	May_5_2016	25.62	30.87	30.96	30.43	30.33	29.44	28.52(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-39	-220	-35	-50	1.05	51%	0.08	27.9	3.18%	0	-2.3	35	INF
17	May_4_2016	25.6	30.93	31.29	31.07	31.06	30.41	29.61(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-150	-26	-22	1.84	54%	0.2	55.4	3.27%	0	-1.4	41	INF
18	May_3_2016	25.55	30.94	31.5	31.52	31.55	31.22	30.74(-2.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-7	-70	-12	7	0.42	56%	0.24	72.7	3.23%	0	-0.2	62	INF
19	May_2_2016	25.49	30.85	31.63	31.66	31.73	31.7	31.41(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	0	-1	29	0.51	54%	0.28	77.5	3.22%	0	0.5	69	INF
20	Apr_29_2016	25.42	30.75	31.65	31.61	31.68	31.88	31.85(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	12	50	3	40	0.37	54%	0.28	78	3.23%	0	0.9	76	INF

21	Apr_28_2016	25.35	30.59	31.56	31.6	31.57	31.75	31.75(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	40	5	49	0.28	54%	0.28	79.9	3.25%	0	0.9	75	INF
22	Apr_27_2016	25.28	30.41	31.49	31.55	31.52	31.49	31.83(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10	3	58	0.24	51%	0.24	82.1	3.25%	0	1.1	78	INF
23	Apr_26_2016	25.22	30.22	31.3	31.49	31.51	31.4	31.47(1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-20	-5	55	0.22	51%	0.2	80.8	3.32%	0	0.9	71	INF
24	Apr_25_2016	25.17	30.05	31.14	31.6	31.65	31.54	31.13(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-4	67	0.33	51%	0.16	80.5	3.32%	0	0.8	74	INF
25	Apr_22_2016	25.13	29.87	30.99	31.68	31.78	31.63	31.81(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-20	2	76	0.22	51%		80	3.3%	0	1.4	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.