Trading Signals: SFIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 18, 2020

Trading Signals: SFIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 17, 2017 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Stitch Fix, Inc.)
SFIX latest price $24.4600 (-2.69%) ($24.2500 - $25.7800) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.7% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $24.4600(-2.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SFIX advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SFIX declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SFIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(60%)    ONLN(56%)    XRT(53%)    IWO(50%)    ARKK(48%)
Factors Impacting SFIX price   SFIX will decline at least -2.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    VXX(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-4%)    IYT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.35% (StdDev 4.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.13(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.17(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.99(1.96%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   113.4%
Market Cap   $2.547b

$. SFIX price fluctuates within 3.5% (three month std-dev: 4.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.47%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.39%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2020	19.82	23.99	24.17	24.13	24.16	24.83	24.46(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	200	13	4	2.73	61%	0.15	83.7	4.7%	0	0.6	59	-0.7
2	Jun_17_2020	19.79	23.89	24.22	23.8	23.83	24.38	25.14(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11	170	13	4	2.03	64%	0.15	88.6	4.71%	0	1.4	62	-0.9
3	Jun_16_2020	19.76	23.72	24.16	23.73	23.44	23.48	24.38(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-20	5	4	2.18	60%	0.1	94.4	4.87%	0	0.7	55	-1
4	Jun_15_2020	19.74	23.57	24.14	23.57	23.49	23.27	23.26(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-80	-7	-7	1.49	60%	0.05	94.5	4.97%	0	-0.3	44	-1.3
5	Jun_12_2020	19.73	23.49	24.2	23.9	23.57	23.4	23.44(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-90	-11	1	2.01	57%	0	111.8	5.03%	0	-0	52	-1.4

6	Jun_11_2020	19.73	23.31	24.18	24.21	23.98	23.71	22.8(-8.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-110	-10	14	3.04	53%	0	108.1	5.27%	0	-0.3	57	-2.6
7	Jun_10_2020	19.73	23.12	24.25	24.67	24.5	23.75	24.8(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-230	-6	32	2.88	47%	0	105.8	5.38%	0	0.9	65	0.9
8	Jun_9_2020	19.73	22.83	24.13	24.65	24.72	24.25	23.55(-5.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-120	-11	33	6.02	46%	0.2	103	6.25%	0	0.4	65	1
9	Jun_8_2020	19.69	22.56	24.23	24.79	25.08	25.24	24.92(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	80	5	56	6.59	46%	0	99.7	6.27%	0	1	77	1.6
10	Jun_5_2020	19.69	22.21	24.08	24.53	24.75	25.19	24.96(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	150	9	62	3.14	46%	-0.05	95.9	6.28%	0	1.1	73	2

11	Jun_4_2020	19.7	21.8	23.81	24.16	24.28	24.92	25.13(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	200	12	67	3.68	47%	0.05	86.9	6.28%	0	1.3	81	1.6
12	Jun_3_2020	19.69	21.36	23.53	23.76	23.82	24.32	24.71(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	150	10	74	2.78	46%	0	77.1	6.31%	0	1.2	83	1.7
13	Jun_2_2020	19.69	20.96	23.23	23.54	23.82	23.64	24.21(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	30	2	79	2.59	46%	-0.05	74.3	6.33%	0	1.2	80	1.3
14	Jun_1_2020	19.7	20.52	22.92	23.6	23.51	23.33	23.62(2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-70	-1	98	2.54	46%	0.05	70	6.33%	0	1.1	82	1
15	May_29_2020	19.69	20.12	22.71	23.58	23.79	23.38	23.12(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-90	1	119	2.33	46%	-0.05	67.1	6.37%	0	1	82	1.3

16	May_28_2020	19.7	19.77	22.36	23.38	23.71	23.69	23.16(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	40	-1	129	1.9	46%	-0.05	66.3	6.43%	0	1.1	84	0.9
17	May_27_2020	19.71	19.46	21.93	23.23	23.39	24.21	23.61(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	270	11	148	4.14	45%	0	69.3	6.42%	0	1.4	88	1.5
18	May_26_2020	19.71	19.09	21.45	22.83	22.97	23.72	24.51(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	250	22	158	2.6	44%	-0.25	70.8	6.42%	0	1.9	88	1.3
19	May_22_2020	19.76	18.68	20.77	22.15	22.19	22.56	23.51(6.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	120	10	153	3.34	41%	-0.1	73.1	6.42%	0	1.9	89	1.2
20	May_21_2020	19.78	18.31	20.18	21.73	21.84	22.23	22.13(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	140	13	161	2.65	41%	0.1	76	6.42%	0	1.7	86	1.1

21	May_20_2020	19.76	17.97	19.63	21.19	21.5	21.83	22.41(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	150	19	156	4.16	41%	-0.15	75.7	6.42%	0	2.1	81	1.5
22	May_19_2020	19.79	17.62	19.01	20.42	20.66	21.44	21.59(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	300	14	130	3.11	42%	-0.2	71.6	6.4%	0	2	70	0.9
23	May_18_2020	19.83	17.29	18.5	19.84	19.98	21.17	21.09(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	440	24	121	4.95	43%	-0.25	67.1	6.41%	0	2.2	71	1.4
24	May_15_2020	19.88	17.01	17.91	19.17	19.27	19.88	21.41(10.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	240	25	95	11.81	43%	-0.2	65.7	6.43%	0	2.9	71	1
25	May_14_2020	19.92	16.7	17.3	18.41	18.47	18.8	19.44(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	130	13	65	5.22	40%		67.3	6.34%	0	2.3	67	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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