Trading Signals: SFIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: SFIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 17, 2017 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Stitch Fix, Inc.)
SFIX latest price $43.2700 (6.63%) ($40.1200 - $44.1762) on Tue. Sep. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.38% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $43.2700(6.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SFIX advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SFIX advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SFIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(58%)    ONLN(55%)    XRT(52%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting SFIX price   SFIX will decline at least -2.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-11%)    VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IFRA(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.69% (StdDev 5.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.54(9.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.07(13.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.43(22.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   135.8%
Market Cap   $4.506b

$. SFIX price fluctuates within 9.31% (three month std-dev: 5.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 4.41%(31%) Average negative next day return: -4.11%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 10.23%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -6.91%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 12.87%(23%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.75%(77%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2018	27.48	35.43	38.07	39.54	39.44	40.91	43.27(6.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	57	250	37	116	3.78	77%	0.96	86.6	5.38%	0	2.4	77	0.5
2	Aug_31_2018	27.22	34.73	37.01	38.28	38.22	39.03	40.58(5.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	140	18	89	2.79	76%	0.63	81.7	5.33%	0	1.9	76	0.1
3	Aug_30_2018	27.05	34.15	36.24	37.76	37.67	37.97	38.58(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	50	10	78	1.48	76%	0.6	80.2	5.32%	0	1.5	71	0.8
4	Aug_29_2018	26.89	33.67	35.79	37.36	37.5	37.42	37.73(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-0	7	79	1.08	76%	0.56	74.6	5.35%	0	1.4	74	1.3
5	Aug_28_2018	26.74	33.23	35.3	36.89	37.15	37.37	37.52(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	60	6	81	1.46	76%	0.6	66.1	5.35%	0	1.5	78	1

6	Aug_27_2018	26.58	32.78	34.91	36.33	36.76	37.58	37.01(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	190	20	88	2.3	76%	0.57	58	5.39%	0	1.5	72	0.9
7	Aug_24_2018	26.43	32.36	34.51	35.5	35.82	36.93	37.98(3.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	240	27	87	2.46	76%	0.65	42.7	5.37%	0	2.1	78	1
8	Aug_23_2018	26.26	31.92	34.01	34.49	34.65	35.95	36.57(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	35	280	20	81	3.42	76%	0.61	27.1	5.37%	0	2	78	1
9	Aug_22_2018	26.1	31.62	33.52	34.01	33.99	34.72	35.38(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	150	21	83	4.4	76%	0.58	17.3	5.37%	0	1.8	75	1.2
10	Aug_21_2018	25.95	31.4	32.99	33.5	33.53	33.36	34.71(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-30	4	72	2.09	76%	0.54	5.2	5.4%	0	1.7	74	0.7

11	Aug_20_2018	25.81	31.21	32.58	33.3	33.3	33.26	32.86(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10	-6	74	1.05	75%	0.31	-5.1	5.37%	0	0.9	72	1.1
12	Aug_17_2018	25.73	31.24	32.3	33.35	33.47	33.69	32.92(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	60	3	85	1.72	75%	0.51	-2.4	5.36%	0	0.9	72	0.9
13	Aug_16_2018	25.6	31.29	31.92	33.43	33.37	33.35	34.16(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10	8	90	1.83	75%	0.51	1.8	5.33%	0	1.4	71	0.2
14	Aug_15_2018	25.47	31.26	31.42	32.95	33.13	33.24	32.83(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	40	8	75	1.5	75%	0.47	0.2	5.33%	0	0.8	56	-1.4
15	Aug_14_2018	25.35	31.3	31.03	32.37	32.62	33.4	33.75(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	190	15	58	1.54	73%	0.52	-6.8	5.34%	0	1.2	58	0.4

16	Aug_13_2018	25.22	31.31	30.51	31.75	31.82	33.01	33.09(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	270	23	40	2.39	73%	0.44	-12.1	5.38%	0	0.9	57	-1
17	Aug_10_2018	25.11	31.29	30.05	31.09	31.12	31.85	33.31(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	170	27	10	2.73	73%	0.52	-16.9	5.4%	0	1	44	0.6
18	Aug_9_2018	24.98	31.25	29.63	30.21	30.27	30.62	31.75(6.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	90	11	-30	1.91	74%	0.44	-27.9	5.37%	0	0.2	36	1.8
19	Aug_8_2018	24.87	31.26	29.53	29.69	29.84	30.4	29.93(-2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	150	9	-52	1.06	73%	0.4	-27.4	5.38%	0	-0.6	27	2.3
20	Aug_7_2018	24.77	31.45	29.66	29.47	29.47	29.91	30.66(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	100	13	-64	1.88	73%	0.45	-15.2	5.37%	0	-0.4	29	2.3

21	Aug_6_2018	24.66	31.56	29.69	29.07	29.1	29.28	29.78(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	50	6	-84	1.04	73%	0.41	-9.5	5.38%	0	-0.8	21	1.9
22	Aug_3_2018	24.56	31.64	30.06	28.84	28.92	29.02	28.91(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	30	-1	-90	1.16	73%	0.33	-4.9	5.38%	0	-1.3	28	1.1
23	Aug_2_2018	24.48	31.83	30.58	28.96	28.91	28.92	29.15(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-0	-6	-86	1.66	73%	0.33	5.4	5.39%	0	-1.3	29	0.8
24	Aug_1_2018	24.4	31.85	31.08	29.36	29.29	28.81	28.87(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-120	-11	-75	1.98	73%	0.21	13.8	5.4%	0	-1.5	36	0.7
25	Jul_31_2018	24.35	31.77	31.61	29.89	29.85	28.9	28.66(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-230	-18	-67	1.77	73%		15.1	5.44%	0	-1.4	28	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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