Trading Signals: SFIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SFIX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 6, 2018

Trading Signals: SFIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 17, 2017 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Stitch Fix, Inc.)
SFIX latest price $20.4400 (5.47%) ($18.0000 - $20.6000) on Tue. Feb. 6, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.3% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $20.4400(5.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SFIX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SFIX declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SFIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(56%)    XRT(49%)    ARKK(45%)    IWO(45%)    SKYY(42%)
Factors Impacting SFIX price   SFIX will decline at least -3.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    VXX(-1%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.15% (StdDev 6.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $4.14(-79.75%)
Resistance Level   $21.62
5 Day Moving Average   $20.15(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.51(-0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.62(-5.46%)
To recent high   -29.9%
To recent low   37.6%
Market Cap   $2.129b

$. SFIX price fluctuates within 8.7% (three month std-dev: 6.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.17%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.81%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.14%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.29%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180306

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2018	22.63	21.62	20.51	20.15	19.9	19.53	20.44(5.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-170	-2	-22	0.31	73%	-0.18	-64.8	6.3%	0	-0.6	43	-2
2	Feb_5_2018	22.67	21.9	20.57	20.06	20.14	19.84	19.38(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-90	-9	-34	0.28	73%	-0.31	-58.1	6.33%	0	-1.2	28	-2.9
3	Feb_2_2018	22.74	22.22	20.77	20.39	20.34	20.27	20.07(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-16	-30	-8	-41	0.28	73%	-0.22	-55.5	6.36%	0	-1	23	-2.2
4	Feb_1_2018	22.79	22.48	20.84	20.72	20.7	20.45	20.21(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-14	-90	-3	-48	0.34	73%	-0.22	-57.7	6.42%	0	-1	23	-0.5
5	Jan_31_2018	22.84	22.7	20.9	20.87	20.93	20.4	20.67(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-170	-5	-63	0.46	73%	-0.22	-65.5	6.47%	0	-0.9	23	-1.6

6	Jan_30_2018	22.89	22.91	20.98	20.91	21.06	20.94	19.99(-4.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-25	-20	-8	-76	0.74	73%	-0.26	-66.2	6.53%	0	-1.4	19	-1.9
7	Jan_29_2018	22.95	23.2	21.25	21.14	21.24	21.46	21.01(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	90	2	-80	0.31	73%	-0.17	-61.1	6.54%	0	-1	18	-2.1
8	Jan_26_2018	22.99	23.49	21.63	21.19	21.17	21.18	21.7(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	0	4	-80	0.31	73%	-0.13	-52.1	6.59%	0	-0.8	27	136.8
9	Jan_25_2018	23.02	23.83	21.94	20.99	21.1	21.01	21(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10	0	-86	0.18	73%	-0.17	-45.3	6.65%	0	-1.3	25	137.4
10	Jan_24_2018	23.06	24.23	22.36	20.93	21.04	21.16	20.86(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	60	-2	-85	0.28	73%	-0.22	-34	6.73%	0	-1.4	31	-1.4

11	Jan_23_2018	23.11	24.43	22.79	21.06	21.06	21.18	21.15(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	40	-4	-81	0.55	73%	-0.22	-29.2	6.79%	0	-1.3	31	0.1
12	Jan_22_2018	23.16	24.56	23.31	21.39	21.3	20.92	21.26(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-140	-14	-77	0.68	73%	-0.17	-28	6.87%	0	-1.4	28	0.9
13	Jan_19_2018	23.2	24.65	23.76	22.17	22.04	20.93	20.7(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-33	-370	-21	-69	0.54	73%	-0.26	-24.1	6.95%	0	-1.7	21	1
14	Jan_18_2018	23.26	24.87	24.25	23.06	23.13	21.68	20.7(-3.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-430	-26	-64	0.75	73%	-0.3	-12.5	7.03%	0	-2	17	0
15	Jan_17_2018	23.33	25.06	24.68	24	24.22	23.15	21.5(-5.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-31	-280	-22	-58	0.95	73%	-0.17	-0.4	7.08%	0	-1.9	18	0

16	Jan_16_2018	23.37	25.18	25.05	24.74	24.93	24.58	22.8(-9.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-80	-15	-43	0.83	73%	-0.09	11.3	7.08%	0	-1.4	48	0
17	Jan_12_2018	23.39	25.26	25.37	25.47	25.39	25.3	25.14(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-30	-3	-18	0.2	79%	0.21	23.3	6.96%	0	-0.1	61	0
18	Jan_11_2018	23.34	25.21	25.54	25.6	25.67	25.28	25.15(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-100	-2	-2	0.47	79%	0.21	25.1	7.05%	0	-0	64	0
19	Jan_10_2018	23.29	25.13	25.87	25.64	25.68	25.49	25.39(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-50	-2	10	0.36	79%	0.26	27.2	7.13%	0	0.2	54	0
20	Jan_9_2018	23.23	25.07	26.22	25.49	25.65	26.05	25.21(-4.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	130	4	26	0.52	79%	0.26	24.2	7.24%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Jan_8_2018	23.17	24.99	26.19	25.4	25.3	25.87	26.47(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	150	7	30	0.37	79%	0.43	22.9	7.26%	0	0.8	62	0
22	Jan_5_2018	23.07	24.88	25.89	25.27	25.01	25.25	25.77(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	40	0	23	0.31	79%	0.35	32.8	7.37%	0	0.5	58	0
23	Jan_4_2018	22.99	24.79	25.58	25.5	25.21	24.73	25.36(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-170	-10	19	0.73	79%	0.35	42	7.48%	0	0.3	57	0
24	Jan_3_2018	22.91	24.68	25.53	26.17	25.94	24.78	24.63(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-340	-19	32	0.55	79%	0.26	53.5	7.61%	0	-0	57	0
25	Jan_2_2018	22.85	24.65	25.48	27.07	27.06	25.69	24.77(-4.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-360	-11	52	1.2	79%		71.1	7.72%	0	0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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