Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 8, 2018

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $95.4400 (0.38%) ($94.9600 - $95.5000) on Mon. Jan. 8, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $95.4400(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(90%)    PAVE(90%)    VYM(90%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.88(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.68(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.9(0.57%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.84%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.63%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.75%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2018	92.61	94.9	94.68	94.88	94.9	95.09	95.44(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	10	42	78	0.78	53%	0.09	-36.6	0.47%	0	0.6	77	INF
2	Jan_5_2018	92.53	94.92	94.53	94.69	94.74	94.87	95.08(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	10	24	35	0.42	53%	0.08	-39.6	0.47%	0	0.2	39	INF
3	Jan_4_2018	92.46	94.96	94.41	94.62	94.68	94.71	94.73(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	0	16	-5	0.63	53%	0.05	-40	0.47%	0	-0.2	30	INF
4	Jan_3_2018	92.41	95.04	94.34	94.57	94.63	94.61	94.6(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	0	-1	-46	0.59	53%	0.06	-35.2	0.47%	0	-0.4	31	INF
5	Jan_2_2018	92.35	95.14	94.3	94.52	94.6	94.66	94.56(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	10	10	-74	0.94	55%	0.1	-22.5	0.47%	0	-0.5	30	INF

6	Dec_29_2017	92.26	95.22	94.22	94.43	94.53	94.65	94.48(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	10	24	-110	0.47	55%	0.07	-13.7	0.47%	0	-0.7	28	INF
7	Dec_28_2017	92.2	95.31	94.34	94.34	94.38	94.55	94.73(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	10	30	-122	0.44	57%	0.05	-5.2	0.47%	0	-0.5	35	INF
8	Dec_27_2017	92.15	95.36	94.5	94.17	94.25	94.42	94.47(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	20	33	-130	0.84	57%	0.05	0	0.47%	0	-0.8	36	INF
9	Dec_26_2017	92.1	95.4	94.67	94.07	94.14	94.22	94.34(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	10	16	-144	0.64	57%	0.08	4.4	0.47%	0	-1	32	INF
10	Dec_22_2017	92.03	95.38	94.88	94.06	94.12	94.09	94.15(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	-0	3	-158	0.48	59%	0.04	6.5	0.47%	0	-1.1	27	INF

11	Dec_21_2017	91.99	95.37	95.12	93.98	94.16	94.07	94.01(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-55	-0	-17	-168	0.72	59%	0.04	7.3	0.47%	0	-1.2	36	INF
12	Dec_20_2017	91.95	95.36	95.34	94.35	94.04	94.15	93.89(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-95	-0	-71	-168	0.39	59%	0.04	21.4	0.47%	0	-1.2	33	INF
13	Dec_19_2017	91.91	95.37	95.56	94.88	94.59	94.26	93.97(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-30	-24	-109	0.47	59%	0.04	35.9	0.47%	0	-1.1	39	INF
14	Dec_18_2017	91.87	95.34	95.81	95.37	95.17	93.93	94.26(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-151	-100	-163	-115	0.48	59%	0.05	47.8	0.47%	0	-0.8	49	INF
15	Dec_15_2017	91.82	95.3	96.08	95.82	95.74	94.93	93.77(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-191	-60	-231	-72	0.56	57%	0.03	57	0.47%	0	-1.1	55	INF

16	Dec_14_2017	91.79	95.28	96.34	96.39	96.48	96.42	95.85(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-0	-24	106	0.36	69%	0.07	68.9	0.38%	0	0.4	71	INF
17	Dec_13_2017	91.73	95.11	96.39	96.46	96.52	96.55	96.57(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	59	0	18	182	0.47	74%	0.07	63.8	0.36%	0	0.9	77	INF
18	Dec_12_2017	91.67	94.93	96.32	96.35	96.4	96.54	96.41(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	64	10	15	211	0.28	74%	0.08	63.6	0.36%	0	0.9	77	INF
19	Dec_11_2017	91.6	94.74	96.18	96.32	96.31	96.5	96.51(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	82	10	27	247	0.43	76%	0.07	64.3	0.36%	0	1.1	80	INF
20	Dec_8_2017	91.54	94.54	95.93	96.39	96.34	96.26	96.63(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	79	-10	18	262	0.37	76%	0.08	66.3	0.37%	0	1.3	82	INF

21	Dec_7_2017	91.47	94.32	95.63	96.28	96.42	96.12	96.2(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-20	-36	243	0.34	75%	0.08	64.9	0.37%	0	1.2	81	INF
22	Dec_6_2017	91.4	94.13	95.38	96.3	96.37	96.41	96(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	35	10	-42	266	0.36	75%	0.08	66.9	0.38%	0	1.2	83	INF
23	Dec_5_2017	91.33	93.94	95.15	96.27	96.4	96.72	96.27(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	155	30	93	342	0.54	71%	0.07	67.1	0.37%	0	1.5	76	INF
24	Dec_4_2017	91.27	93.73	94.84	96	96.09	96.33	96.87(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	173	20	117	340	0.49	76%	0.09	63.9	0.37%	0	2.1	82	INF
25	Dec_1_2017	91.19	93.49	94.45	95.38	95.5	96.08	96.06(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	154	50	106	299	0.5	73%		57.6	0.36%	0	2	81	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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