Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $92.1700 (0.17%) ($91.8900 - $92.2200) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $92.1700(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(90%)    PAVE(90%)    VYM(90%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-16%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.73(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.26(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.81(1.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.5%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	89.51	90.81	91.26	91.73	91.71	91.98	92.17(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	20	57	113	0.31	63%	0.06	86.9	0.43%	0	1.8	74	INF
2	Oct_3_2017	89.46	90.67	91.11	91.48	91.47	91.74	92.01(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	20	62	97	0.45	65%	0.04	81.2	0.44%	0	1.7	76	INF
3	Oct_2_2017	89.42	90.52	90.96	91.27	91.21	91.44	91.83(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	20	46	74	1.06	65%	0.04	82.5	0.44%	0	1.8	74	INF
4	Sep_29_2017	89.38	90.4	90.83	91.08	91.07	91.2	91.33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	48	10	43	62	0.27	60%	0.04	85.3	0.44%	0	1.4	70	INF
5	Sep_28_2017	89.34	90.29	90.74	90.9	90.92	90.99	91.33(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	10	26	52	0.46	62%	0.03	82.9	0.45%	0	1.5	80	INF

6	Sep_27_2017	89.31	90.16	90.67	90.72	90.75	90.94	90.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	16	54	0.36	58%	0.03	72.5	0.45%	0	1	81	INF
7	Sep_26_2017	89.28	90.04	90.63	90.68	90.68	90.85	90.94(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	10	40	77	0.43	58%	0.02	65.1	0.46%	0	1.2	79	INF
8	Sep_25_2017	89.26	89.93	90.58	90.61	90.59	90.57	90.91(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-0	12	82	0.34	58%	0.02	61.8	0.46%	0	1.2	81	INF
9	Sep_22_2017	89.24	89.82	90.53	90.54	90.56	90.51	90.42(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-0	-15	80	0.24	56%	0.03	65.9	0.46%	0	0.8	65	INF
10	Sep_21_2017	89.21	89.72	90.46	90.55	90.6	90.51	90.43(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	0	2	96	0.32	53%	0.02	62.8	0.46%	0	0.8	69	INF

11	Sep_20_2017	89.19	89.64	90.35	90.61	90.53	90.62	90.7(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	0	9	108	0.33	50%	0.03	61.1	0.47%	0	1.2	76	INF
12	Sep_19_2017	89.16	89.54	90.21	90.57	90.49	90.58	90.57(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	0	17	118	0.31	50%	0.02	60.9	0.48%	0	1.3	77	INF
13	Sep_18_2017	89.14	89.43	90.05	90.56	90.46	90.44	90.59(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	-0	5	121	0.3	50%	0.02	55.4	0.48%	0	1.4	76	INF
14	Sep_15_2017	89.12	89.31	89.94	90.52	90.45	90.41	90.45(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10	1	127	0.34	48%	0.01	53.3	0.48%	0	1.4	69	INF
15	Sep_14_2017	89.11	89.2	89.81	90.35	90.42	90.41	90.72(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	10	33	138	0.33	48%	0.01	48.3	0.48%	0	1.9	77	INF

16	Sep_13_2017	89.1	89.12	89.61	90.04	90.12	90.49	90.51(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	30	46	122	0.24	48%	0.01	41.3	0.48%	0	2	70	INF
17	Sep_12_2017	89.09	89.04	89.41	89.78	89.79	90.36	90.52(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	104	40	98	120	0.56	48%	0.02	29.6	0.48%	0	2.3	65	INF
18	Sep_11_2017	89.07	88.97	89.21	89.47	89.48	89.75	90.41(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	83	20	79	94	0.39	48%	0.03	13.3	0.48%	0	2.7	70	INF
19	Sep_8_2017	89.04	88.87	89.04	89.29	89.21	89.23	89.58(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-0	5	60	0.24	49%	0.01	-12.5	0.49%	0	1.7	67	INF
20	Sep_7_2017	89.03	88.82	88.92	89.19	89.23	89.21	89.17(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-0	7	55	0.36	49%	0.02	-33.3	0.48%	0	0.9	60	INF

21	Sep_6_2017	89.01	88.83	88.87	89.1	89.2	89.2	89.24(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	10	42	0.33	47%	0.02	-40.4	0.48%	0	1	46	INF
22	Sep_5_2017	88.99	88.85	88.83	88.96	89.04	89.26	88.97(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	22	34	0.44	47%	0.01	-50	0.48%	0	0.3	49	INF
23	Sep_1_2017	88.98	88.9	88.76	88.88	88.85	89.2	89.48(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	30	55	28	0.27	52%	0.03	-43.8	0.48%	0	1	49	INF
24	Aug_31_2017	88.95	88.92	88.62	88.76	88.7	88.82	89.08(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	10	43	10	0.35	52%	0.01	-47	0.49%	0	0.3	55	INF
25	Aug_30_2017	88.94	88.95	88.55	88.61	88.64	88.5	88.75(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10	-9	-27	0.31	52%		-54.3	0.49%	0	-0.3	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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