Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $91.3300 (0%) ($91.1200 - $91.5200) on Fri. Sep. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $91.3300(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(90%)    PAVE(90%)    VYM(90%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-16%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.08(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.83(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.4(1.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.19%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2017	89.38	90.4	90.83	91.08	91.07	91.2	91.33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	48	10	43	62	0.27	60%	0.04	85.3	0.44%	0	1.4	70	0
2	Sep_28_2017	89.34	90.29	90.74	90.9	90.92	90.99	91.33(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	10	26	52	0.46	62%	0.03	82.9	0.45%	0	1.5	80	0
3	Sep_27_2017	89.31	90.16	90.67	90.72	90.75	90.94	90.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	16	54	0.36	58%	0.03	72.5	0.45%	0	1	81	0
4	Sep_26_2017	89.28	90.04	90.63	90.68	90.68	90.85	90.94(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	10	40	77	0.43	58%	0.02	65.1	0.46%	0	1.2	79	0
5	Sep_25_2017	89.26	89.93	90.58	90.61	90.59	90.57	90.91(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-0	12	82	0.34	58%	0.02	61.8	0.46%	0	1.2	81	0

6	Sep_22_2017	89.24	89.82	90.53	90.54	90.56	90.51	90.42(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-0	-15	80	0.24	56%	0.03	65.9	0.46%	0	0.8	65	0
7	Sep_21_2017	89.21	89.72	90.46	90.55	90.6	90.51	90.43(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	0	2	96	0.32	53%	0.02	62.8	0.46%	0	0.8	69	0
8	Sep_20_2017	89.19	89.64	90.35	90.61	90.53	90.62	90.7(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	0	9	108	0.33	50%	0.03	61.1	0.47%	0	1.2	76	0
9	Sep_19_2017	89.16	89.54	90.21	90.57	90.49	90.58	90.57(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	0	17	118	0.31	50%	0.02	60.9	0.48%	0	1.3	77	0
10	Sep_18_2017	89.14	89.43	90.05	90.56	90.46	90.44	90.59(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	-0	5	121	0.3	50%	0.02	55.4	0.48%	0	1.4	76	0

11	Sep_15_2017	89.12	89.31	89.94	90.52	90.45	90.41	90.45(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10	1	127	0.34	48%	0.01	53.3	0.48%	0	1.4	69	0
12	Sep_14_2017	89.11	89.2	89.81	90.35	90.42	90.41	90.72(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	10	33	138	0.33	48%	0.01	48.3	0.48%	0	1.9	77	0
13	Sep_13_2017	89.1	89.12	89.61	90.04	90.12	90.49	90.51(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	30	46	122	0.24	48%	0.01	41.3	0.48%	0	2	70	0
14	Sep_12_2017	89.09	89.04	89.41	89.78	89.79	90.36	90.52(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	104	40	98	120	0.56	48%	0.02	29.6	0.48%	0	2.3	65	0
15	Sep_11_2017	89.07	88.97	89.21	89.47	89.48	89.75	90.41(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	83	20	79	94	0.39	48%	0.03	13.3	0.48%	0	2.7	70	0

16	Sep_8_2017	89.04	88.87	89.04	89.29	89.21	89.23	89.58(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-0	5	60	0.24	49%	0.01	-12.5	0.49%	0	1.7	67	0
17	Sep_7_2017	89.03	88.82	88.92	89.19	89.23	89.21	89.17(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-0	7	55	0.36	49%	0.02	-33.3	0.48%	0	0.9	60	0
18	Sep_6_2017	89.01	88.83	88.87	89.1	89.2	89.2	89.24(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	10	42	0.33	47%	0.02	-40.4	0.48%	0	1	46	0
19	Sep_5_2017	88.99	88.85	88.83	88.96	89.04	89.26	88.97(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	22	34	0.44	47%	0.01	-50	0.48%	0	0.3	49	0
20	Sep_1_2017	88.98	88.9	88.76	88.88	88.85	89.2	89.48(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	30	55	28	0.27	52%	0.03	-43.8	0.48%	0	1	49	0

21	Aug_31_2017	88.95	88.92	88.62	88.76	88.7	88.82	89.08(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	10	43	10	0.35	52%	0.01	-47	0.49%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Aug_30_2017	88.94	88.95	88.55	88.61	88.7	88.5	88.75(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10	-9	-27	0.31	52%	0.01	-54.3	0.49%	0	-0.3	51	0
23	Aug_29_2017	88.93	89	88.6	88.6	88.64	88.59	88.53(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-0	-26	-37	0.53	52%	0	-53.3	0.49%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Aug_28_2017	88.93	89.09	88.65	88.67	88.7	88.78	88.58(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	10	13	-25	0.45	52%	0.01	-51.3	0.49%	0	-0.8	40	0
25	Aug_25_2017	88.92	89.15	88.72	88.62	88.67	88.69	88.86(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	0	23	-36	0.27	52%		-53.9	0.49%	0	-0.4	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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