Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $85.9600 (-0.03%) ($85.6900 - $86.1900) on Tue. Jan. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $85.9600(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(90%)    VYM(89%)    SPLV(88%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.87(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.98(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.95(0.01%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2017	84.32	85.95	85.98	85.87	85.84	85.95	85.96(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	10	15	10	0.77	49%	-0.01	-122.9	0.58%	0	0	50	0
2	Jan_13_2017	84.33	86	85.95	85.8	85.78	85.84	85.99(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	0	8	-1	0.7	49%	0	-140	0.58%	0	-0	51	0
3	Jan_12_2017	84.33	86.03	85.92	85.87	85.76	85.73	85.84(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	-11	-8	1.62	49%	0	-113.6	0.58%	0	-0.5	47	0
4	Jan_11_2017	84.33	86.14	85.89	85.96	85.92	85.72	85.95(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-20	-18	-14	1.23	44%	0	-75.5	0.58%	0	-0.5	44	0
5	Jan_10_2017	84.33	86.22	85.91	86.07	86.05	85.8	85.63(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-20	-36	-14	0.82	44%	-0.01	-31.9	0.61%	0	-1	44	0

6	Jan_9_2017	84.34	86.32	85.95	86.11	86.21	86.12	85.59(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-0	-13	-0	1.15	44%	0	-11.3	0.61%	0	-1.1	51	0
7	Jan_6_2017	84.34	86.42	85.98	86.1	86.16	86.31	86.35(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	10	14	-1	0.86	47%	0	3.4	0.6%	0	-0.1	42	0
8	Jan_5_2017	84.34	86.42	85.98	85.97	86	86.3	86.26(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	30	38	-8	0.82	47%	0.01	10.8	0.6%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Jan_4_2017	84.33	86.46	85.95	85.82	85.83	86.02	86.54(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	20	34	-37	0.93	44%	0.01	6.3	0.6%	0	0.1	36	0
10	Jan_3_2017	84.32	86.42	85.91	85.75	85.73	85.7	85.8(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-0	-1	-72	0.99	40%	-0.04	5.3	0.61%	0	-0.8	33	0

11	Dec_30_2016	84.35	86.4	85.9	85.78	85.83	85.64	85.56(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10	-15	-98	0.71	43%	0	3.1	0.61%	0	-1	31	0
12	Dec_29_2016	84.35	86.39	86.04	85.84	85.89	85.76	85.71(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10	-27	-108	0.61	40%	-0.01	5	0.61%	0	-0.8	33	0
13	Dec_28_2016	84.36	86.38	86.15	85.92	85.96	86.01	85.47(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	10	-12	-100	0.99	40%	0	7.7	0.63%	0	-1	36	0
14	Dec_27_2016	84.36	86.4	86.4	85.92	86.06	86.02	86.19(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-0	5	-66	0.82	42%	-0.02	19.4	0.62%	0	-0.2	53	0
15	Dec_23_2016	84.38	86.4	86.54	86.1	86.12	85.92	85.96(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-20	-13	-54	0.41	42%	0.01	27.2	0.62%	0	-0.5	55	0

16	Dec_22_2016	84.37	86.37	86.72	86.04	86.14	86.1	85.88(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	0	-24	-37	0.67	45%	0	32.4	0.63%	0	-0.5	58	0
17	Dec_21_2016	84.37	86.35	86.9	86.27	86.1	86.32	86.09(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	10	-2	10	0.81	50%	0.01	43.1	0.63%	0	-0.3	60	0
18	Dec_20_2016	84.36	86.31	87.02	86.42	86.28	86.17	86.39(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10	-2	39	0.82	50%	0	50.9	0.65%	0	0.1	62	0
19	Dec_19_2016	84.36	86.23	87.01	86.75	86.55	85.88	86.19(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-46	-60	-73	34	1.14	50%	0	60.5	0.65%	0	-0	54	0
20	Dec_16_2016	84.36	86.13	86.98	87.06	87.05	86.38	85.66(-1.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-66	-50	-102	44	1.33	47%	-0.01	65.6	0.65%	0	-0.4	54	0

21	Dec_15_2016	84.37	86.07	86.97	87.49	87.54	87.21	87(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-18	-20	-53	89	0.9	52%	0.01	75.5	0.63%	0	0.8	62	0
22	Dec_14_2016	84.36	85.94	86.8	87.61	87.71	87.72	86.85(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	0	-14	113	0.91	52%	0.01	81.8	0.64%	0	0.7	65	0
23	Dec_13_2016	84.35	85.82	86.65	87.69	87.7	87.87	88.07(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	10	44	151	0.9	51%	0.02	91.8	0.61%	0	1.8	80	0
24	Dec_12_2016	84.33	85.62	86.42	87.29	87.37	87.71	87.74(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	30	50	137	1.95	54%	0.01	97.8	0.64%	0	1.8	81	0
25	Dec_9_2016	84.32	85.4	86.19	86.88	86.9	87.54	87.77(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	94	50	80	137	2.09	46%		103.7	0.66%	0	2.1	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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