Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $87.0000 (0.17%) ($86.6200 - $87.4100) on Thu. Dec. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $87.0000(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(90%)    VYM(89%)    SPLV(88%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.49(-0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.97(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.07(1.08%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.45%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2016	84.37	86.07	86.97	87.49	87.54	87.21	87(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-18	-20	-53	89	0.9	52%	0.01	75.5	0.63%	0	0.8	62	0
2	Dec_14_2016	84.36	85.94	86.8	87.61	87.71	87.72	86.85(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	0	-14	113	0.91	52%	0.01	81.8	0.64%	0	0.7	65	0
3	Dec_13_2016	84.35	85.82	86.65	87.69	87.7	87.87	88.07(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	10	44	151	0.9	51%	0.02	91.8	0.61%	0	1.8	80	0
4	Dec_12_2016	84.33	85.62	86.42	87.29	87.37	87.71	87.74(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	30	50	137	1.95	54%	0.01	97.8	0.64%	0	1.8	81	0
5	Dec_9_2016	84.32	85.4	86.19	86.88	86.9	87.54	87.77(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	94	50	80	137	2.09	46%	0.02	103.7	0.66%	0	2.1	83	0

6	Dec_8_2016	84.3	85.18	85.97	86.37	86.38	87.03	87.62(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	94	50	87	115	0.89	46%	0.02	112.6	0.76%	0	2.3	81	0
7	Dec_7_2016	84.28	84.94	85.72	85.88	85.84	86.26	87.26(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	68	30	61	89	0.69	46%	0.01	121	0.76%	0	2.3	79	0
8	Dec_6_2016	84.27	84.69	85.49	85.47	85.51	85.73	86.07(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	20	25	62	0.66	42%	0	114.8	0.74%	0	1.3	70	0
9	Dec_5_2016	84.27	84.48	85.35	85.42	85.44	85.43	85.67(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-0	11	60	0.93	42%	0	105.2	0.74%	0	1	71	0
10	Dec_2_2016	84.27	84.22	85.2	85.39	85.45	85.28	85.24(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10	-19	53	0.89	45%	-0.01	81.8	0.74%	0	0.7	73	0

11	Dec_1_2016	84.28	83.98	85.11	85.5	85.54	85.45	85.18(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-15	69	0.7	45%	-0.01	71.4	0.74%	0	0.7	74	0
12	Nov_30_2016	84.29	83.74	85.02	85.51	85.6	85.63	85.2(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	10	4	90	0.81	45%	0	62.3	0.74%	0	0.8	76	0
13	Nov_29_2016	84.29	83.52	84.95	85.5	85.49	85.64	85.83(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	10	19	119	0.64	47%	0.01	57.8	0.73%	0	1.2	90	0
14	Nov_28_2016	84.28	83.3	84.77	85.26	85.32	85.58	85.52(-0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	61	20	36	134	1.18	47%	0	54.3	0.74%	0	1.2	90	0
15	Nov_25_2016	84.28	83.07	84.57	84.98	85.04	85.34	85.75(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	30	43	154	0.3	47%	0.04	48.9	0.74%	0	1.5	95	0

16	Nov_23_2016	84.25	82.82	84.33	84.67	84.7	85.05	85.23(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	30	36	168	0.77	47%	0.01	44.7	0.73%	0	1.4	95	0
17	Nov_22_2016	84.24	82.63	84.11	84.47	84.49	84.74	85.15(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	20	39	188	0.9	47%	0.01	42.1	0.73%	0	1.5	95	0
18	Nov_21_2016	84.23	82.45	83.81	84.32	84.3	84.35	84.66(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	0	15	188	0.72	47%	0.01	41.8	0.73%	0	1.5	85	0
19	Nov_18_2016	84.22	82.31	83.53	84.21	84.23	84.23	84.09(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	0	6	189	0.7	47%	0	42.3	0.72%	0	1.2	71	0
20	Nov_17_2016	84.22	82.18	83.17	84.09	84.14	84.26	84.22(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	10	17	182	1.02	47%	0.02	41.9	0.73%	0	1.5	75	0

21	Nov_16_2016	84.2	82.06	82.77	83.92	83.9	84.23	84.23(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	30	31	174	1.26	45%	0.04	40.8	0.73%	0	1.7	75	0
22	Nov_15_2016	84.17	81.95	82.37	83.68	83.67	84.03	84.41(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	93	30	68	166	1.01	45%	0.05	39.3	0.73%	0	2.1	68	0
23	Nov_14_2016	84.13	81.82	81.99	83.22	83.16	83.57	84.1(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	72	30	53	128	3.29	45%	0.04	33.1	0.73%	0	2.2	65	0
24	Nov_11_2016	84.1	81.7	81.7	82.75	82.68	83.31	83.47(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	88	50	80	110	1.02	43%	0	19.3	0.72%	0	1.9	58	0
25	Nov_10_2016	84.1	81.62	81.44	82.1	82.22	82.75	83.37(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	95	50	102	74	0.98	43%		-2.9	0.72%	0	2.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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