Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $78.9900 (-0.87%) ($78.6800 - $79.4600) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $78.9900(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    IWD(95%)    IWN(90%)    VYM(90%)    SPLV(87%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $79.15
5 Day Moving Average   $79.63(-0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.62(-0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.15(-0.2%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	74.96	79.15	79.62	79.63	79.49	79.26	78.99(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-30	-19	7	0.74	70%	0.03	75.5	0.93%	0	-0.2	44	0
2	Apr_6_2016	74.94	79.07	79.61	79.82	79.69	79.39	79.68(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	-30	-24	15	1.58	67%	0.04	78.3	0.96%	0	0.7	61	0
3	Apr_5_2016	74.91	78.94	79.58	79.9	79.84	79.72	79.22(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-10	-25	28	0.84	67%	0.04	80.3	0.98%	0	0.3	64	0
4	Apr_4_2016	74.88	78.86	79.59	80.07	80.05	80	79.88(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10	11	60	0.47	64%	0.07	97	0.97%	0	1	68	0
5	Apr_1_2016	74.83	78.73	79.52	79.91	79.9	79.96	80.37(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	0	7	60	0.49	64%	0.05	100.7	0.98%	0	1.5	70	0

6	Mar_31_2016	74.79	78.55	79.44	79.61	79.68	80.11	79.93(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	40	30	74	0.61	64%	0.04	100	0.99%	0	1.3	74	0
7	Mar_30_2016	74.76	78.36	79.3	79.38	79.33	79.84	80.11(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	40	43	79	0.9	64%	0.04	97.9	1%	0	1.5	76	0
8	Mar_29_2016	74.73	78.15	79.08	79.21	79.02	79.25	80.05(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	10	29	74	0.79	64%	0.04	96.7	1%	0	1.6	77	0
9	Mar_28_2016	74.7	77.87	78.88	79.05	78.93	78.81	79.09(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-20	-1	60	0.49	62%	-0.03	82.1	1%	0	0.9	64	0
10	Mar_24_2016	74.72	77.67	78.79	79.09	78.98	78.78	78.86(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-23	62	0.56	62%	0	77.8	1%	0	0.8	66	0

11	Mar_23_2016	74.72	77.49	78.64	79.25	79.16	79.06	78.77(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-7	81	0.47	64%	0	78.9	1%	0	0.8	69	0
12	Mar_22_2016	74.72	77.27	78.5	79.2	79.2	79.19	79.29(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-0	12	94	0.56	65%	0	75.3	1.01%	0	1.2	77	0
13	Mar_21_2016	74.72	77.01	78.27	78.91	78.95	79.25	79.26(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	30	19	95	0.47	65%	0.03	74.3	1.01%	0	1.3	79	0
14	Mar_18_2016	74.7	76.78	78.09	78.66	78.56	79.22	79.25(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	50	43	118	1.59	55%	0.01	76.8	1.02%	0	1.4	83	0
15	Mar_17_2016	74.69	76.51	77.88	78.46	78.24	78.64	79.69(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	63	30	47	109	1.14	53%	0.03	84.2	1.25%	0	1.9	80	0

16	Mar_16_2016	74.67	76.23	77.57	77.96	77.94	77.9	78.51(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-0	14	89	0.95	53%	0.03	88.9	1.24%	0	1.4	74	0
17	Mar_15_2016	74.65	75.99	77.34	77.7	77.7	77.83	77.85(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	10	0	87	0.54	54%	0	90	1.25%	0	1.2	76	0
18	Mar_14_2016	74.65	75.76	77.13	77.52	77.59	77.98	78.01(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	40	23	101	0.57	54%	0	92.7	1.26%	0	1.4	79	0
19	Mar_11_2016	74.65	75.48	76.78	77.43	77.37	77.57	78.23(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	20	24	99	0.82	52%	0.01	87.5	1.26%	0	1.7	73	0
20	Mar_10_2016	74.64	75.12	76.45	77.22	77.18	77.19	77.2(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-0	5	92	0.77	50%	0.03	72.6	1.26%	0	1.2	73	0

21	Mar_9_2016	74.62	74.85	76.24	77.11	77.11	77.19	77.2(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	0	9	98	0.52	50%	0.01	66.8	1.26%	0	1.3	71	0
22	Mar_8_2016	74.61	74.59	75.96	76.91	76.89	77.16	76.96(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	20	17	99	0.77	49%	0.01	65.7	1.26%	0	1.3	71	0
23	Mar_7_2016	74.6	74.35	75.67	76.66	76.56	77.05	77.56(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	40	42	107	0.77	49%	0.01	62.1	1.26%	0	1.8	79	0
24	Mar_4_2016	74.59	74.08	75.37	76.02	76.06	76.62	77.16(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	50	44	100	0.98	51%	0.03	57.8	1.26%	0	1.8	81	0
25	Mar_3_2016	74.57	73.86	75.04	75.57	75.52	76.07	76.68(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	52	50	36	100	1.26	50%		63.1	1.28%	0	1.9	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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