Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SDY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $75.1100 (1.02%) ($74.2800 - $75.1100) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $75.1100(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    IWD(95%)    IWN(90%)    VYM(90%)    SPY(87%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.41(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.7(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.91(3.02%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.46%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.39%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.16%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2016	74.57	72.91	73.7	74.41	74.36	74.29	75.11(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10	20	80	0.42	46%	0	98.8	1.27%	0	1.8	61	0
2	Feb_24_2016	74.57	72.66	73.36	74.2	74.13	74.04	74.35(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10	-15	55	0.42	46%	0.01	97.7	1.26%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Feb_23_2016	74.56	72.46	73.13	74.11	74.17	74.44	74(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	30	16	68	0.56	46%	-0.01	98.9	1.26%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Feb_22_2016	74.57	72.21	72.94	73.95	74.04	74.21	74.63(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	20	33	68	0.66	46%	0.03	86.4	1.26%	0	1.7	61	0
5	Feb_19_2016	74.55	71.97	72.7	73.46	73.61	73.9	73.95(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	26	51	0.45	46%	0.03	80	1.25%	0	1.4	60	0

6	Feb_18_2016	74.53	71.72	72.59	72.86	73.12	73.88	74.06(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	80	52	55	0.55	48%	0.03	64.1	1.25%	0	1.6	69	0
7	Feb_17_2016	74.51	71.44	72.42	72.38	72.33	73.32	73.9(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	90	56	55	0.56	48%	0.04	48.1	1.26%	0	1.6	70	0
8	Feb_16_2016	74.48	71.2	72.18	72.01	71.91	72.36	73.19(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	40	51	48	0.68	50%	0.07	40.9	1.26%	0	1.3	66	0
9	Feb_12_2016	74.43	70.99	72.1	71.8	71.66	71.33	72.22(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-40	-7	39	0.8	46%	0	34.8	1.26%	0	0.8	69	0
10	Feb_11_2016	74.43	70.87	72.09	71.84	71.7	71.46	70.93(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-21	-30	-42	41	0.75	44%	-0.01	34.6	1.25%	0	0	57	0

11	Feb_10_2016	74.44	70.78	72.08	72.27	72.16	72	71.68(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-20	-5	86	0.97	44%	-0.01	32.5	1.24%	0	0.6	67	0
12	Feb_9_2016	74.45	70.71	71.93	72.44	72.34	71.93	72.04(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-40	-15	101	0.73	44%	-0.01	28.4	1.24%	0	0.9	69	0
13	Feb_8_2016	74.46	70.6	71.77	72.36	72.4	72.31	72.12(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-18	105	0.76	44%	-0.01	19.3	1.25%	0	1	64	0
14	Feb_5_2016	74.47	70.48	71.48	72.43	72.34	72.75	72.45(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	40	15	124	0.67	44%	-0.01	10	1.25%	0	1.4	66	0
15	Feb_4_2016	74.48	70.37	71.23	72.37	72.23	72.48	73.05(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	20	42	135	1.04	44%	-0.01	-3.2	1.25%	0	2	63	0

16	Feb_3_2016	74.49	70.3	70.79	71.86	71.88	71.93	72.56(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	10	20	108	0.95	44%	-0.01	-24.7	1.24%	0	1.8	65	0
17	Feb_2_2016	74.5	70.29	70.38	71.34	71.45	71.98	71.61(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	60	22	80	0.82	44%	-0.01	-40.1	1.23%	0	1	55	0
18	Feb_1_2016	74.51	70.31	70.13	71.08	71.05	71.83	72.48(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	80	68	85	1.54	44%	0	-49	1.23%	0	1.6	60	0
19	Jan_29_2016	74.51	70.34	69.76	70.37	70.44	70.92	72.17(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	50	49	45	1.31	44%	0	-68.9	1.23%	0	1.4	59	0
20	Jan_28_2016	74.51	70.42	69.51	69.93	69.92	70.27	70.48(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	26	15	1.03	41%	-0.03	-68	1.19%	0	0	48	0

21	Jan_27_2016	74.53	70.61	69.35	69.57	69.74	69.97	69.97(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	22	30	34	-16	0.93	41%	-0.05	-57.3	1.19%	0	-0.4	39	0
22	Jan_26_2016	74.57	70.81	69.37	69.25	69.37	69.57	70.31(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	30	18	-53	0.62	41%	-0.05	-49.6	1.19%	0	-0.3	37	0
23	Jan_25_2016	74.61	70.98	69.31	69.04	68.95	69.52	68.94(-1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	50	15	-83	1.98	37%	-0.04	-53.9	1.16%	0	-1	31	0
24	Jan_22_2016	74.64	71.24	69.4	69.04	68.94	69.17	69.93(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	20	40	-99	1.41	42%	-0.04	-60.3	1.15%	0	-0.6	31	0
25	Jan_21_2016	74.67	71.4	69.45	69.05	68.7	68.39	68.68(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-50	-22	-151	2.64	39%		-63.8	1.15%	0	-1.3	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.