Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $73.0500 (0.68%) ($72.4200 - $73.4300) on Thu. Feb. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $73.0500(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    IWD(95%)    IWN(90%)    VYM(90%)    SPY(87%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.37(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.23(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.37(3.81%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2016	74.48	70.37	71.23	72.37	72.23	72.48	73.05(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	20	42	135	1.04	44%	-0.01	-3.2	1.25%	0	2	63	0
2	Feb_3_2016	74.49	70.3	70.79	71.86	71.88	71.93	72.56(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	10	20	108	0.95	44%	-0.01	-24.7	1.24%	0	1.8	65	0
3	Feb_2_2016	74.5	70.29	70.38	71.34	71.45	71.98	71.61(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	60	22	80	0.82	44%	-0.01	-40.1	1.23%	0	1	55	0
4	Feb_1_2016	74.51	70.31	70.13	71.08	71.05	71.83	72.48(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	80	68	85	1.54	44%	0	-49	1.23%	0	1.6	60	0
5	Jan_29_2016	74.51	70.34	69.76	70.37	70.44	70.92	72.17(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	50	49	45	1.31	44%	0	-68.9	1.23%	0	1.4	59	0

6	Jan_28_2016	74.51	70.42	69.51	69.93	69.92	70.27	70.48(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	26	15	1.03	41%	-0.03	-68	1.19%	0	0	48	0
7	Jan_27_2016	74.53	70.61	69.35	69.57	69.74	69.97	69.97(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	22	30	34	-16	0.93	41%	-0.05	-57.3	1.19%	0	-0.4	39	0
8	Jan_26_2016	74.57	70.81	69.37	69.25	69.37	69.57	70.31(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	30	18	-53	0.62	41%	-0.05	-49.6	1.19%	0	-0.3	37	0
9	Jan_25_2016	74.61	70.98	69.31	69.04	68.95	69.52	68.94(-1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	50	15	-83	1.98	37%	-0.04	-53.9	1.16%	0	-1	31	0
10	Jan_22_2016	74.64	71.24	69.4	69.04	68.94	69.17	69.93(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	20	40	-99	1.41	42%	-0.04	-60.3	1.15%	0	-0.6	31	0

11	Jan_21_2016	74.67	71.4	69.45	69.05	68.7	68.39	68.68(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-50	-22	-151	2.64	39%	-0.05	-63.8	1.15%	0	-1.3	20	0
12	Jan_20_2016	74.71	71.6	69.77	69.11	68.93	68.72	68.41(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-67	-30	-32	-172	2.14	39%	-0.04	-69.6	1.15%	0	-1.5	18	0
13	Jan_19_2016	74.74	71.79	70.2	69.48	69.33	69.01	69.23(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-40	-15	-162	2.24	41%	-0.07	-75.9	1.15%	0	-1.2	24	0
14	Jan_15_2016	74.79	72.12	70.53	69.61	69.54	69.15	68.99(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-40	-35	-178	1.88	41%	-0.07	-81	1.14%	0	-1.6	24	0
15	Jan_14_2016	74.84	72.52	70.97	69.79	69.85	69.66	69.92(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-20	-21	-172	1.44	42%	-0.04	-74.8	1.14%	0	-1.3	25	0

16	Jan_13_2016	74.87	72.81	71.4	69.93	70.06	69.93	69.02(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-10	-27	-166	0.71	40%	-0.01	-69.8	1.13%	0	-1.8	29	0
17	Jan_12_2016	74.88	73.14	71.97	70.53	70.34	70.04	70.25(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-40	-33	-133	0.62	42%	-0.03	-69.5	1.11%	0	-1.4	41	0
18	Jan_11_2016	74.9	73.38	72.37	71.05	70.81	70.19	69.88(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-67	-70	-53	-107	2.19	42%	-0.07	-72.4	1.11%	0	-1.8	42	0
19	Jan_8_2016	74.95	73.69	72.8	71.59	71.51	70.65	69.9(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-76	-90	-66	-104	1.11	42%	-0.08	-72.8	1.11%	0	-2.1	27	0
20	Jan_7_2016	75.01	74.01	73.25	72.32	71.98	71.44	70.58(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-85	-70	-80	-99	1.12	42%	-0.05	-72.6	1.12%	0	-2.1	26	0

21	Jan_6_2016	75.05	74.32	73.55	73.08	72.74	72.37	72.03(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-50	-38	-72	0.87	45%	-0.05	-72.3	1.1%	0	-1.5	36	0
22	Jan_5_2016	75.09	74.59	73.6	73.63	73.37	72.53	72.87(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-90	-46	-74	0.84	51%	-0.03	-65.5	1.09%	0	-1.2	41	0
23	Jan_4_2016	75.11	74.83	73.53	73.89	73.86	73.1	72.57(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-74	-70	-68	-92	2.76	51%	-0.04	-60.1	1.12%	0	-1.4	42	0
24	Dec_31_2015	75.14	75.04	73.86	74.19	74.27	74.21	73.57(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-0	-23	-63	0.73	53%	-0.03	-56.9	1.11%	0	-0.9	41	0
25	Dec_30_2015	75.16	75.23	74.18	74.31	74.33	74.62	74.38(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	8	30	23	-36	2.1	55%		-55.7	1.1%	0	-0.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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