Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $77.9300 (0.21%) ($77.7600 - $78.2300) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $77.9300(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    VYM(90%)    IWN(89%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.39(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.96(1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.47(0.59%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2015	74.88	77.47	76.96	77.39	77.54	77.88	77.93(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	18	40	27	-11	1	64%	0.07	11.6	1.06%	0	0.5	42	INF
2	Nov_20_2015	74.83	77.45	76.86	77.12	77.19	77.66	77.77(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	28	50	46	-26	0.7	64%	0.07	11.6	1.07%	0	0.4	41	INF
3	Nov_19_2015	74.78	77.45	76.85	76.64	76.72	77.21	77.52(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	21	50	43	-47	0.51	64%	0.05	3.6	1.08%	0	0.1	48	INF
4	Nov_18_2015	74.74	77.43	76.92	76.33	76.26	76.73	77.42(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	40	28	-61	0.7	64%	0.07	2.5	1.09%	0	-0	47	INF
5	Nov_17_2015	74.69	77.43	77.03	76.28	76.12	76.24	76.33(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	0	10	-68	0.63	62%	0.03	5.6	1.08%	0	-1.1	39	INF

6	Nov_16_2015	74.67	77.36	77.27	76.48	76.33	75.8	76.56(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-50	-20	-63	0.75	62%	0.05	15.2	1.09%	0	-0.8	47	INF
7	Nov_13_2015	74.63	77.35	77.48	76.58	76.62	76.01	75.39(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-64	-50	-62	-70	0.67	59%	0.01	19.4	1.08%	0	-2	35	INF
8	Nov_12_2015	74.62	77.35	77.74	77.06	77.02	76.87	75.95(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-20	-40	-41	0.67	59%	0.03	36	1.09%	0	-1.5	39	INF
9	Nov_11_2015	74.6	77.4	77.95	77.59	77.4	77.24	77.17(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-20	-12	-7	0.44	64%	0.07	46.4	1.07%	0	-0.2	49	INF
10	Nov_10_2015	74.55	77.3	78.04	77.89	77.69	77.17	77.33(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-26	-50	-37	9	0.66	64%	0.07	51.7	1.08%	0	0	66	INF

11	Nov_9_2015	74.5	77.21	78.05	78.18	78.11	77.57	77.06(-0.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-30	-50	-47	23	0.81	64%	0.07	62.1	1.09%	0	-0.1	61	INF
12	Nov_6_2015	74.45	77.16	78.12	78.51	78.48	78.21	77.81(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-30	-23	57	0.71	64%	0.08	74.1	1.09%	0	0.5	69	INF
13	Nov_5_2015	74.39	77.05	78.09	78.5	78.59	78.65	78.56(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	10	3	78	0.54	64%	0.11	83.8	1.09%	0	1.2	78	INF
14	Nov_4_2015	74.31	76.91	77.98	78.36	78.44	78.74	78.68(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	30	20	92	0.48	64%	0.11	94.5	1.1%	0	1.4	81	INF
15	Nov_3_2015	74.23	76.72	77.71	78.22	78.19	78.53	78.78(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	30	33	99	0.78	64%	0.13	98.8	1.11%	0	1.6	86	INF

16	Nov_2_2015	74.13	76.49	77.46	77.91	77.9	78.14	78.72(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	20	25	90	0.79	64%	0.12	105.4	1.12%	0	1.8	77	INF
17	Oct_30_2015	74.04	76.27	77.19	77.68	77.62	77.86	77.75(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	13	80	0.58	61%	0.11	107.3	1.12%	0	1.1	67	INF
18	Oct_29_2015	73.96	76.03	77.02	77.63	77.52	77.66	77.89(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	16	83	0.54	61%	0.11	96.1	1.13%	0	1.2	69	INF
19	Oct_28_2015	73.88	75.75	76.8	77.54	77.47	77.66	77.94(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10	13	78	0.6	61%	0.12	89.9	1.15%	0	1.3	68	INF
20	Oct_27_2015	73.79	75.47	76.5	77.13	77.31	77.38	77.25(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	10	4	61	0.82	61%	0.09	77.5	1.15%	0	1	71	INF

21	Oct_26_2015	73.72	75.17	76.31	76.92	77.04	77.55	77.58(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	50	30	71	0.37	61%	0.12	66.3	1.16%	0	1.2	78	INF
22	Oct_23_2015	73.63	74.85	76.12	76.61	76.68	77.23	77.5(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	50	47	76	0.61	61%	0.12	57.6	1.18%	0	1.4	73	INF
23	Oct_22_2015	73.54	74.58	75.92	76.31	76.27	76.52	77.43(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	20	31	76	0.65	61%	0.14	53.8	1.19%	0	1.5	79	INF
24	Oct_21_2015	73.44	74.3	75.74	75.97	76.01	76.13	75.88(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	10	15	82	0.43	57%	0.07	45.7	1.17%	0	0.9	78	INF
25	Oct_20_2015	73.39	74.11	75.64	75.76	75.8	76.01	76.19(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	20	15	92	0.63	57%		38.1	1.18%	0	1.1	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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