Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $77.0600 (-0.96%) ($76.6700 - $77.6000) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $77.0600(-0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    VYM(90%)    IWN(89%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $77.21
5 Day Moving Average   $78.18(-1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.05(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.21(-0.19%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.72%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2015	74.5	77.21	78.05	78.18	78.11	77.57	77.06(-0.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-30	-50	-47	23	0.81	64%	0.07	62.1	1.09%	0	-0.1	61	INF
2	Nov_6_2015	74.45	77.16	78.12	78.51	78.48	78.21	77.81(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-30	-23	57	0.71	64%	0.08	74.1	1.09%	0	0.5	69	INF
3	Nov_5_2015	74.39	77.05	78.09	78.5	78.59	78.65	78.56(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	10	3	78	0.54	64%	0.11	83.8	1.09%	0	1.2	78	INF
4	Nov_4_2015	74.31	76.91	77.98	78.36	78.44	78.74	78.68(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	30	20	92	0.48	64%	0.11	94.5	1.1%	0	1.4	81	INF
5	Nov_3_2015	74.23	76.72	77.71	78.22	78.19	78.53	78.78(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	30	33	99	0.78	64%	0.13	98.8	1.11%	0	1.6	86	INF

6	Nov_2_2015	74.13	76.49	77.46	77.91	77.9	78.14	78.72(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	20	25	90	0.79	64%	0.12	105.4	1.12%	0	1.8	77	INF
7	Oct_30_2015	74.04	76.27	77.19	77.68	77.62	77.86	77.75(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	13	80	0.58	61%	0.11	107.3	1.12%	0	1.1	67	INF
8	Oct_29_2015	73.96	76.03	77.02	77.63	77.52	77.66	77.89(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	16	83	0.54	61%	0.11	96.1	1.13%	0	1.2	69	INF
9	Oct_28_2015	73.88	75.75	76.8	77.54	77.47	77.66	77.94(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10	13	78	0.6	61%	0.12	89.9	1.15%	0	1.3	68	INF
10	Oct_27_2015	73.79	75.47	76.5	77.13	77.31	77.38	77.25(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	10	4	61	0.82	61%	0.09	77.5	1.15%	0	1	71	INF

11	Oct_26_2015	73.72	75.17	76.31	76.92	77.04	77.55	77.58(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	50	30	71	0.37	61%	0.12	66.3	1.16%	0	1.2	78	INF
12	Oct_23_2015	73.63	74.85	76.12	76.61	76.68	77.23	77.5(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	50	47	76	0.61	61%	0.12	57.6	1.18%	0	1.4	73	INF
13	Oct_22_2015	73.54	74.58	75.92	76.31	76.27	76.52	77.43(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	20	31	76	0.65	61%	0.14	53.8	1.19%	0	1.5	79	INF
14	Oct_21_2015	73.44	74.3	75.74	75.97	76.01	76.13	75.88(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	10	15	82	0.43	57%	0.07	45.7	1.17%	0	0.9	78	INF
15	Oct_20_2015	73.39	74.11	75.64	75.76	75.8	76.01	76.19(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	20	15	92	0.63	57%	0.1	38.1	1.18%	0	1.1	79	INF

16	Oct_19_2015	73.32	73.91	75.44	75.6	75.55	75.89	76.06(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	30	17	106	0.33	57%	0.11	34.5	1.19%	0	1.2	82	INF
17	Oct_16_2015	73.24	73.75	75.28	75.55	75.45	75.58	76.01(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	10	17	127	0.51	57%	0.1	36.8	1.21%	0	1.3	83	INF
18	Oct_15_2015	73.17	73.58	74.98	75.48	75.43	75.22	75.71(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-20	-7	120	0.53	57%	0.1	37.8	1.23%	0	1.3	69	INF
19	Oct_14_2015	73.1	73.48	74.63	75.48	75.54	75.32	74.85(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-20	-14	122	0.57	57%	0.07	44.7	1.23%	0	0.9	67	INF
20	Oct_13_2015	73.05	73.43	74.38	75.49	75.57	75.64	75.36(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	10	7	133	0.65	57%	0.08	51.7	1.24%	0	1.3	70	INF

21	Oct_12_2015	72.99	73.32	73.98	75.24	75.33	75.75	75.82(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	40	26	127	0.77	57%	0.11	49.7	1.25%	0	1.7	71	INF
22	Oct_9_2015	72.91	73.14	73.5	74.95	74.94	75.49	75.65(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	50	46	112	0.46	57%	0.12	51.1	1.27%	0	1.9	62	INF
23	Oct_8_2015	72.82	72.98	73.14	74.4	74.47	74.91	75.78(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	40	54	93	0.64	57%	0.12	44.2	1.29%	0	2.4	65	INF
24	Oct_7_2015	72.73	72.8	72.73	73.65	73.68	74.39	74.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	70	40	49	0.59	57%	0.1	30.9	1.29%	0	2	51	INF
25	Oct_6_2015	72.66	72.67	72.43	73.11	73.04	74.04	74.09(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	90	66	29	0.52	57%		21.8	1.31%	0	1.6	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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