Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $75.6500 (-0.17%) ($75.4800 - $76.0000) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $75.6500(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    VYM(90%)    IWN(89%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.95(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.5(2.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.14(3.43%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 43 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(53%) Sample size 43 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(37%) Sample size 43 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	72.91	73.14	73.5	74.95	74.94	75.49	75.65(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	50	46	112	0.46	57%	0.12	51.1	1.27%	0	1.9	62	0
2	Oct_8_2015	72.82	72.98	73.14	74.4	74.47	74.91	75.78(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	40	54	93	0.64	57%	0.12	44.2	1.29%	0	2.4	65	0
3	Oct_7_2015	72.73	72.8	72.73	73.65	73.68	74.39	74.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	70	40	49	0.59	57%	0.1	30.9	1.29%	0	2	51	0
4	Oct_6_2015	72.66	72.67	72.43	73.11	73.04	74.04	74.09(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	90	66	29	0.52	57%	0.07	21.8	1.31%	0	1.6	47	0
5	Oct_5_2015	72.61	72.61	72.23	72.53	72.47	72.98	74.38(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	50	50	65	3	0.93	57%	0.08	1.7	1.32%	0	2	54	0

6	Oct_2_2015	72.55	72.47	72.06	71.84	71.78	72.05	72.89(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	20	10	-42	0.73	52%	0.01	-36.4	1.3%	0	0.5	52	0
7	Oct_1_2015	72.54	72.46	72.03	71.7	71.6	71.97	72.03(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	30	17	-45	1.05	52%	-0.03	-50.5	1.3%	0	-0.5	46	0
8	Sep_30_2015	72.56	72.49	72.21	71.68	71.67	71.51	72.16(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-20	12	-39	1.23	52%	-0.03	-52.3	1.33%	0	-0.4	49	0
9	Sep_29_2015	72.58	72.47	72.38	71.66	71.62	71.23	71.21(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-40	-32	-48	1.22	47%	-0.07	-47.3	1.33%	0	-1.6	43	0
10	Sep_28_2015	72.63	72.59	72.6	71.86	71.89	71.82	70.9(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-10	-21	-37	0.75	47%	-0.1	-31.8	1.35%	0	-2.2	36	0

11	Sep_25_2015	72.7	72.76	72.79	72.3	72.11	72.01	72.18(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-20	-5	-11	0.69	54%	-0.04	0	1.33%	0	-0.8	56	0
12	Sep_24_2015	72.73	72.86	72.85	72.41	72.33	71.95	71.95(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-40	-24	-15	0.73	54%	-0.04	0	1.36%	0	-1.1	47	0
13	Sep_23_2015	72.76	72.9	72.91	72.82	72.6	72.21	72.05(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-50	-37	-7	0.73	54%	-0.04	0	1.39%	0	-1.1	48	0
14	Sep_22_2015	72.79	72.85	72.96	73.23	73.12	72.7	72.24(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-13	-40	-22	16	0.72	54%	-0.04	0	1.42%	0	-0.7	55	0
15	Sep_21_2015	72.82	72.84	73.07	73.44	73.5	72.98	73.1(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-50	-17	23	0.8	54%	0.01	0	1.43%	0	0.3	47	0

16	Sep_18_2015	72.81	72.84	72.93	73.33	73.46	73.54	72.69(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	10	-15	-6	0.69	54%	0	0	1.47%	0	77.3	42	0
17	Sep_17_2015	72.81	72.84	72.94	73.34	73.4	74.01	74.04(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	60	38	15	0.73	62%	0.1	0	1.43%	0	76.3	48	0
18	Sep_16_2015	72.74	72.84	72.78	73.01	72.95	73.38	74.08(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	40	33	13	0.56	62%	0.11	0	1.47%	0	78	56	0
19	Sep_15_2015	72.66	72.84	72.54	72.68	72.62	72.8	73.31(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	10	10	4	0.56	62%	0.07	0	1.51%	0	80.6	62	0
20	Sep_14_2015	72.61	72.84	72.55	72.66	72.64	72.51	72.52(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10	4	2	0.94	62%	-0.01	0	1.54%	0	78	54	0

21	Sep_11_2015	72.62	72.84	72.71	72.48	72.7	72.44	72.77(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-20	-7	-3	0.6	62%	0.01	0	1.59%	0	75.8	50	0
22	Sep_10_2015	72.61	72.84	72.84	72.47	72.53	72.76	72.38(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	20	-9	-4	0.81	62%	-0.03	0	1.65%	0	73.1	50	0
23	Sep_9_2015	72.63	72.84	72.88	72.51	72.63	72.97	72.4(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	40	25	10	0.96	62%	-0.03	0	1.72%	0	70.3	50	0
24	Sep_8_2015	72.65	72.84	72.73	72.37	72.44	72.97	73.21(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10	1	0	0.94	62%	0.08	0	1.76%	0	67.8	50	0
25	Sep_4_2015	72.59	72.84	72.6	72.46	72.29	72.3	71.63(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10	-26	-10	0.79	53%		0	1.72%	0	64.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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