Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 2, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bear 3x ETF)
SDOW latest price $289.1653 (5.21%) ($281.7749 - $290.7377) on Fri. Dec. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $289.1653(5.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SDOW advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDOW advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(14%)    VIXM(12%)    UUP(9%)    GLD(2%)    IGOV(2%)
Factors Impacting SDOW price   SDOW will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
IWD(-45%)    IVE(-45%)    SPY(-44%)    VYM(-43%)    SDY(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $277.12(4.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $273.52(5.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $273.59(5.69%)
To recent high   -23.9%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SDOW price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2015	312.83	273.59	273.52	277.12			289.17(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	14	49	0.14	37%	-0.03	10	2.7%	0	1.8	63	0
2	Dec_10_2015	312.93	273.29	271.19	271.9			274.86(-1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-10000	-3	16	0.11	32%	-0.06	2.6	2.62%	0	0.2	53	0
3	Dec_9_2015	313.12	273.24	270.39	273.13			278.79(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	5	23	0.16	36%	-0.04	10	2.62%	0	0.7	55	0
4	Dec_8_2015	313.23	272.86	269.16	271.24			274.86(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	7	2	0.11	32%	-0.03	6.8	2.68%	0	0.2	43	0
5	Dec_7_2015	313.31	272.75	268.39	268.85			267.94(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.1	32%	-0.05	0.3	2.79%	0	-0.6	38	0

6	Dec_4_2015	313.46	272.72	268.3	269.29			263.06(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0.15	36%	-0.06	-4.5	2.8%	0	-1.1	28	0
7	Dec_3_2015	313.64	273.06	269.14	270.11			280.99(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	8	-47	0.14	40%	-0.01	-5.3	2.77%	0	1	44	0
8	Dec_2_2015	313.68	272.39	267.98	267.31			269.35(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	1	-66	0.08	33%	-0.05	-17.8	2.71%	0	-0.4	48	0
9	Dec_1_2015	313.84	272.3	269.22	266.87			262.91(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-62	0.06	40%	-0.08	-27.8	2.74%	0	-1.1	46	0
10	Nov_30_2015	314.1	272.73	271.26	267.84			270.14(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	2	-46	0.04	40%	-0.1	-31.3	2.92%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	Nov_27_2015	314.4	273.12	273.6	267.18			267.15(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.02	37%	-0.13	-33.8	2.92%	0	-0.7	54	0
12	Nov_25_2015	314.81	273.5	275.48	267.97			266.99(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.02	35%	-0.1	-40.6	3.3%	0	-0.8	52	0
13	Nov_24_2015	315.13	273.83	276.32	268.79			267.15(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-7	-11	0.06	41%	-0.12	-54.9	3.34%	0	-0.9	52	0
14	Nov_23_2015	315.5	274.59	276.92	272.03			267.78(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-7	4	0.04	41%	-0.15	-55.7	3.62%	0	-0.9	54	0
15	Nov_20_2015	315.98	275.23	277.6	275.27			266.84(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-10000	-11	14	0.06	48%	-0.11	-57.8	3.81%	0	-1.1	50	0

16	Nov_19_2015	316.34	275.86	277.77	281.05			271.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-6	28	0.04	49%	-0.09	-50.2	3.88%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	Nov_18_2015	316.63	276.64	277.64	284.1			271.08(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	9	-10000	-1	38	0.1	49%	-0.12	-40.7	3.9%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Nov_17_2015	317.01	278.19	277.51	284.7			283.35(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	40	0.08	51%	-0.08	-41.1	3.87%	0	0.5	58	0
19	Nov_16_2015	317.27	278.95	275.84	282.34			283.98(-3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	4	25	0.13	51%	-0.03	-46.8	3.87%	0	0.4	50	0
20	Nov_13_2015	317.36	279.69	274.42	280.14			295.77(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	11	16	0.15	53%	0	-50.8	3.84%	0	1.3	59	0

21	Nov_12_2015	317.35	279.8	272.35	274.2			286.33(4.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	7	-5	0.13	53%	-0.01	-62.7	3.82%	0	0.5	54	0
22	Nov_11_2015	317.38	280.62	270.94	270.55			274.07(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	2	-26	0.06	52%	-0.03	-62.5	3.77%	0	-0.4	36	0
23	Nov_10_2015	317.47	282.67	270.77	269.35			271.55(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	2	-46	0.08	51%	-0.04	-62.2	3.8%	0	-0.7	25	0
24	Nov_9_2015	317.61	284.55	271.73	268.32			272.97(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	1	-59	0.1	51%	-0.05	-67.1	3.83%	0	-0.7	28	0
25	Nov_6_2015	317.77	286.23	272.37	267.78			266.05(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-22	-10000	-5	-74	0.1	51%		-71.7	3.82%	0	-1.2	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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