Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 2, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bear 3x ETF)
SDOW latest price $355.9925 (4.96%) ($341.2716 - $357.1372) on Fri. Dec. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.81% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $355.9925(4.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SDOW advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDOW advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(15%)    VIXM(15%)    UUP(7%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting SDOW price   SDOW will decline at least -1.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVE(-46%)    SPY(-45%)    VYM(-44%)    XLF(-42%)    VT(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.405% (StdDev 2.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $338.6(5.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $332.23(7.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $332.64(7.02%)
To recent high   -21.6%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SDOW price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 2.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2014	383.27	332.64	332.23	338.6			355.99(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	22	-10000	15	42	0.1	53%	-0.1	-7.3	2.81%	0	2.8	69	0
2	Dec_11_2014	383.66	331.65	329.16	331.56			339.17(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	7	9	0.06	50%	-0.14	-44.2	2.74%	0	1.2	51	0
3	Dec_10_2014	384.21	331.73	327.98	328.57			343.57(4.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	5	-10000	9	-6	0.07	50%	-0.13	-61.3	2.73%	0	1.7	53	0
4	Dec_9_2014	384.7	331.58	326.33	324.51			328.95(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	2	-30	0.05	48%	-0.18	-88.2	2.67%	0	-0.4	35	0
5	Dec_8_2014	385.38	332.27	326.31	323.82			325.33(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-2	-41	0.05	48%	-0.18	-96.3	2.68%	0	-1	25	0

6	Dec_5_2014	386.07	333.25	326.79	324.89			320.77(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-14	-10000	-3	-45	0.04	48%	-0.19	-97.3	2.67%	0	-1.7	13	0
7	Dec_4_2014	386.8	334.57	328.25	326.31			324.23(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0.05	48%	-0.18	-90	2.67%	0	-1.4	18	0
8	Dec_3_2014	387.48	335.92	329.47	327.15			323.29(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.04	48%	-0.19	-101.3	2.67%	0	-1.6	13	0
9	Dec_2_2014	388.22	337.63	330.87	328.32			325.49(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-12	-10000	-2	-43	0.03	48%	-0.19	-103.2	2.67%	0	-1.4	14	0
10	Dec_1_2014	388.95	339.28	332.3	329.1			330.68(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	0	-43	0.06	48%	-0.19	-111.9	2.66%	0	-0.9	16	0

11	Nov_28_2014	389.7	340.65	333.23	329.04			327.85(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-48	0.02	48%	-0.23	-122.6	2.66%	0	-1.3	4	0
12	Nov_26_2014	390.61	341.33	334.44	330.55			328.48(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-15	-10000	-4	-48	0.02	48%	-0.2	-111.8	2.64%	0	-1	4	0
13	Nov_25_2014	391.41	344.02	335.86	332.22			329.1(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-15	-10000	-4	-48	0.03	48%	-0.18	-105.3	2.64%	0	-1	3	0
14	Nov_24_2014	392.12	346.64	337.28	333.85			329.42(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-17	-10000	-5	-52	0.02	48%	-0.16	-93.4	2.65%	0	-1	3	0
15	Nov_21_2014	392.75	349.84	338.73	335.96			330.36(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.05	48%	-0.17	-88.4	2.65%	0	-1	2	0

16	Nov_20_2014	393.43	353.09	340.27	338			335.39(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-15	-10000	-2	-55	0.04	48%	-0.18	-83.7	2.64%	0	-0.8	5	0
17	Nov_19_2014	394.12	356.49	341.44	338.88			336.81(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-3	-49	0.06	47%	-0.17	-79.7	2.65%	0	-0.8	50	0
18	Nov_18_2014	394.81	360.57	342.9	340.08			337.28(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-64	0.03	46%	-0.2	-78.7	2.65%	0	-0.8	25	0
19	Nov_17_2014	395.6	364.19	344.91	341.24			339.95(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-2	-75	0.03	46%	-0.19	-75.3	2.67%	0	-0.8	27	0
20	Nov_14_2014	396.34	368.45	346.77	341.97			340.58(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-2	-93	0.02	46%	-0.19	-71.6	2.68%	0	-0.9	24	0

21	Nov_13_2014	397.08	372.83	348.56	342.92			339.8(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-30	-10000	-3	-112	0.06	46%	-0.18	-63.4	2.68%	0	-0.9	23	0
22	Nov_12_2014	397.81	378.34	348.76	344.39			342.78(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-39	-10000	-4	-145	0.04	45%	-0.18	-55.1	2.68%	0	-0.9	21	0
23	Nov_11_2014	398.54	383.58	352.72	346.19			343.1(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-45	-10000	-6	-160	0.02	45%	-0.16	-47.4	2.68%	0	-1.1	19	0
24	Nov_10_2014	399.19	388.21	356.61	349.21			343.57(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-7	-167	0.03	45%	-0.16	-43	2.68%	0	-1.2	25	0
25	Nov_7_2014	399.82	392.9	361.69	352.35			345.33(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	-10000	-6	-172	0.04	44%		-37.4	2.71%	0	-1.3	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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