Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 2, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bear 3x ETF)
SDOW latest price $408.6680 (4.8%) ($394.6736 - $408.8253) on Tue. Oct. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $408.6680(4.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SDOW advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDOW advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(15%)    VIXM(15%)    UUP(7%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting SDOW price   SDOW will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-45%)    XLF(-42%)    VT(-42%)    XLI(-41%)    IWM(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $399.08(2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $392.79(4.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $388.53(5.18%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SDOW price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2014	403.15	388.53	392.79	399.08			408.67(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	12	94	0.08	54%	0.01	36.5	1.77%	0	2.3	62	0
2	Oct_6_2014	403.09	387.55	390.51	394.86			389.96(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	22	-10000	3	78	0.06	50%	-0.04	28.6	1.68%	0	0.3	54	0
3	Oct_3_2014	403.24	387.32	389.61	394.04			389.01(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	19	-10000	3	66	0.06	49%	-0.04	25.1	1.69%	0	0.2	50	0
4	Oct_2_2014	403.4	387.1	388.2	393.01			404.11(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	6	48	0.08	52%	0	19.6	1.64%	0	2.2	54	0
5	Oct_1_2014	403.39	386.2	385.17	390.99			403.64(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	-10000	17	30	0.1	50%	0	16.1	1.64%	0	2.6	56	0

6	Sep_30_2014	403.39	385.31	382.76	385.74			387.6(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	0	-11	0.06	46%	-0.05	-5.6	1.58%	0	0.4	49	0
7	Sep_29_2014	403.58	385.34	382.28	385.68			385.87(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	4	-17	0.06	46%	-0.05	-6.1	1.58%	0	0.1	46	0
8	Sep_26_2014	403.79	385.38	382.6	384.48			383.82(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	7	-19	0.05	46%	-0.06	-17.7	1.58%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Sep_25_2014	404.03	385.58	383.43	382.38			394.04(4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	4	-10000	13	-22	0.1	48%	-0.03	-31.3	1.55%	0	1.5	56	0
10	Sep_24_2014	404.16	385.13	382.78	378.48			377.38(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.05	46%	-0.08	-62.3	1.44%	0	-1.5	42	0

11	Sep_23_2014	404.49	385.63	383.88	379.3			387.28(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.07	48%	-0.05	-74.6	1.43%	0	0.3	49	0
12	Sep_22_2014	404.71	385.68	384.21	378.55			379.89(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-54	0.05	46%	-0.08	-94.7	1.41%	0	-1.1	41	0
13	Sep_19_2014	405.03	386.38	384.82	380.62			373.29(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-15	-47	0.04	43%	-0.1	-105.3	1.39%	0	-2.5	37	0
14	Sep_18_2014	405.44	387.35	386.09	384.65			374.55(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-15	-10000	-11	-25	0.04	42%	-0.1	-128.2	1.39%	0	-3	36	0
15	Sep_17_2014	405.84	388.46	387.59	387.6			381.49(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.05	44%	-0.08	-164.8	1.39%	0	-2	46	0

16	Sep_16_2014	406.17	389.39	388.3	388.95			383.51(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10000	-6	7	0.07	44%	-0.08	-158.7	1.39%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	Sep_15_2014	406.48	390.52	388.89	390.59			390.27(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	4	22	0.05	46%	-0.05	-130.7	1.37%	0	-0	52	0
18	Sep_12_2014	406.7	391.85	388.55	389.64			393.42(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	7	10	0.04	48%	-0.04	-93.4	1.37%	0	0.2	47	0
19	Sep_11_2014	406.88	392.88	387.94	387.85			389.33(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	1	-7	0.03	51%	-0.06	-96.4	1.39%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Sep_10_2014	407.13	394.36	387.61	387.66			388.23(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	0	-19	0.03	51%	-0.07	-90.8	1.4%	0	-0.5	37	0

21	Sep_9_2014	407.4	395.92	387.46	387.6			391.69(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	2	-33	0.03	51%	-0.06	-89.8	1.4%	0	-0.3	35	0
22	Sep_8_2014	407.63	397.62	387.11	387.03			385.55(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-57	0.02	48%	-0.08	-81.9	1.39%	0	-0.8	20	0
23	Sep_5_2014	407.95	399.77	387.89	387.28			384.45(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-23	-10000	-3	-82	0.04	45%	-0.09	-77.2	1.4%	0	-1	13	0
24	Sep_4_2014	408.3	402.68	388.64	387.98			388.38(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-24	-10000	2	-100	0.04	45%	-0.07	-63.8	1.41%	0	-0.8	20	0
25	Sep_3_2014	408.6	405.14	389.34	387.5			387.91(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-32	-10000	1	-129	0.03	45%		-54.2	1.41%	0	-0.9	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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