Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 2, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bear 3x ETF)
SDOW latest price $393.7302 (0.4%) ($391.8433 - $395.9315) on Wed. Jul. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $393.7302(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SDOW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDOW declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(15%)    VIXM(15%)    UUP(7%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting SDOW price   SDOW will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-45%)    XLF(-42%)    VT(-42%)    XLI(-41%)    IWM(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $401.46
5 Day Moving Average   $393.79(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $396.38(-0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $401.46(-1.93%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SDOW price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2014	407.83	401.46	396.38	393.79			393.73(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.03	36%	-0.1	-52.9	1.1%	0	-1	41	0
2	Jul_22_2014	408.22	402.51	397.23	393.35			392.16(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-4	-69	0.03	36%	-0.11	-53.6	1.11%	0	-1.3	38	0
3	Jul_21_2014	408.68	403.31	398.76	394.3			396.25(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.03	36%	-0.09	-60.2	1.12%	0	-0.9	33	0
4	Jul_18_2014	409.05	403.85	399.2	394.48			393.42(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-10000	-11	-89	0.04	36%	-0.11	-69.2	1.12%	0	-1.4	33	0
5	Jul_17_2014	409.52	404.64	399.68	396.84			393.42(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-11	-91	0.04	36%	-0.12	-73.8	1.14%	0	-1.6	33	0

6	Jul_16_2014	410.02	405.5	400.75	399.45			391.53(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-9	-82	0.04	36%	-0.15	-71.9	1.15%	0	-2.2	33	0
7	Jul_15_2014	410.62	406.79	402.21	401.62			396.88(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-10	-80	0.07	38%	-0.11	-62.2	1.15%	0	-1.6	34	0
8	Jul_14_2014	411.08	407.89	403.98	403.83			397.19(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.04	38%	-0.12	-44.3	1.17%	0	-1.8	43	0
9	Jul_11_2014	411.56	409.02	405.57	404.49			405.21(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-39	0.03	43%	-0.05	-34.7	1.14%	0	-0.6	50	0
10	Jul_10_2014	411.78	409.83	406.34	402.88			406.47(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	2	-46	0.04	43%	-0.05	-34.2	1.16%	0	-0.5	49	0

11	Jul_9_2014	411.98	410.23	406.86	402.35			402.38(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-3	-50	0.03	43%	-0.09	-42.9	1.16%	0	-1.2	44	0
12	Jul_8_2014	412.35	410.55	408.12	402.94			407.88(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-17	-10000	-6	-50	0.04	46%	-0.04	-54.2	1.16%	0	-0.4	41	0
13	Jul_7_2014	412.53	410.59	408.09	404.42			400.49(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-11	-57	0.03	39%	-0.12	-59.4	1.11%	0	-1.6	32	0
14	Jul_3_2014	413.03	411.1	408.79	406.94			397.19(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-10000	-14	-57	0.02	39%	-0.17	0	1.11%	0	-2.4	27	0
15	Jul_2_2014	413.72	412.1	410.07	410.24			403.79(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0.02	44%	-0.11	0	1.09%	0	-1.5	29	0

16	Jul_1_2014	414.17	413.08	410.74	411.91			405.37(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-9	-42	0.04	44%	-0.1	0	1.12%	0	-1.4	42	0
17	Jun_30_2014	414.59	414.03	411.89	413.89			415.27(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	7	-13	0.03	54%	0.01	0	1.03%	0	0.2	59	0
18	Jun_27_2014	414.56	414.38	412.14	412.32			413.07(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	6	-12	0.04	54%	-0.02	0	1.05%	0	-0.2	57	0
19	Jun_26_2014	414.63	414.38	412.72	410.96			413.7(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	5	2	0.03	54%	-0.01	0	1.08%	0	69.2	55	0
20	Jun_25_2014	414.69	414.38	413.48	409.93			412.13(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	2	1	0.03	54%	-0.04	0	1.1%	0	67.1	46	0

21	Jun_24_2014	414.84	414.38	413.74	409.45			415.27(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.04	54%	0.01	0	1.12%	0	66	41	0
22	Jun_23_2014	414.81	414.38	413.01	409.77			407.41(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.02	44%	-0.12	0	1.02%	0	62.9	33	0
23	Jun_20_2014	415.3	414.38	413.19	412.06			406.31(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-12	-5	0.03	44%	-0.15	0	1.05%	0	63.6	33	0
24	Jun_19_2014	415.94	414.38	413.62	414.74			408.51(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-12	-5	0.02	44%	-0.14	0	1.09%	0	66.6	50	0
25	Jun_18_2014	416.52	414.38	414.41	417.5			409.77(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.04	44%		0	1.13%	0	68.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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