Trading Signals: SBAC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: SBAC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 13, 2004 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(SBA Communications Corp. Class A)
SBAC latest price $23.4900 (3.3%) ($22.5500 - $23.5900) on Thu. Apr. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $23.4900(3.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SBAC advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SBAC declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SBAC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(62%)    QQQ(58%)    EEM(57%)    IWM(57%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting SBAC price   SBAC will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.26(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.41(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.12(1.6%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   28.4%
Market Cap   $2.629b

SBA Communications Corp. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the provision of wireless communications infrastructures. It operates through the following business segments: Domestic Site Leasing, International Site Leasing, and Site Development. The Domestic Site Leasing segment includes AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile, and Verizon Wireless. The International Site Leasing segment acquires and develops towers. The Site Development segment includes consulting and construction activities. The company was founded by Steven E. Bernstein in 1989 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, FL.

$. SBAC price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2006	20.34	23.12	23.41	23.26			23.49(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	3	-32	0.59	69%	0.35	41.9	2.33%	0	0.4	45	0
2	Apr_5_2006	20.27	23.01	23.43	23.19			22.74(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-18	0.76	68%	0.3	30.3	2.31%	0	-0.3	65	0
3	Apr_4_2006	20.21	22.94	23.54	23.28			23.13(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-1	9	0.54	68%	0.3	25.3	2.29%	0	0.2	66	0
4	Apr_3_2006	20.15	22.86	23.61	23.32			23.51(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-5	30	0.58	69%	0.35	21.6	2.28%	0	0.6	70	0
5	Mar_31_2006	20.08	22.78	23.66	23.45			23.41(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-5	67	0.44	69%	0.3	22.4	2.3%	0	0.6	72	0

6	Mar_30_2006	20.02	22.72	23.71	23.59			23.18(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-4	100	0.55	69%	0.35	23.8	2.32%	0	0.4	66	0
7	Mar_29_2006	19.95	22.7	23.58	23.7			23.17(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-5	114	0.77	69%	0.35	30.5	2.32%	0	0.4	69	0
8	Mar_28_2006	19.88	22.67	23.46	23.84			23.32(-3.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	32	-10000	-3	135	0.34	69%	0.4	35.7	2.32%	0	0.6	71	0
9	Mar_27_2006	19.8	22.63	23.33	23.92			24.19(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	0	155	0.37	74%	0.46	41.2	2.26%	0	1.5	76	0
10	Mar_24_2006	19.71	22.54	23.05	23.91			24.11(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	2	153	0.28	74%	0.51	46.6	2.27%	0	1.6	67	0

11	Mar_23_2006	19.61	22.46	22.81	23.86			23.73(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10000	16	154	0.26	74%	0.46	52.5	2.28%	0	1.4	63	0
12	Mar_22_2006	19.52	22.38	22.57	23.42			23.84(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	15	108	0.33	74%	0.51	43.3	2.28%	0	1.6	55	0
13	Mar_21_2006	19.42	22.29	22.29	23.02			23.75(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	16	66	0.68	74%	0.47	41.1	2.28%	0	1.8	57	0
14	Mar_20_2006	19.33	22.2	22.04	22.62			24.1(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	-10000	22	31	0.91	74%	0.52	39.3	2.27%	0	2.4	60	0
15	Mar_17_2006	19.23	22.08	21.8	22.08			23.86(10.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	9	-10000	17	-15	3.09	70%	0.52	32.7	2.3%	0	2.7	57	0

16	Mar_16_2006	19.13	21.98	21.6	21.65			21.57(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	3	-68	0.31	63%	0.37	32.3	1.91%	0	-0.8	35	0
17	Mar_15_2006	19.06	21.99	21.72	21.58			21.82(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	7	-64	0.36	63%	0.32	40.5	1.9%	0	-0.3	48	0
18	Mar_14_2006	19	21.96	21.79	21.44			21.75(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	4	-73	0.57	63%	0.32	34.4	1.91%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Mar_13_2006	18.94	21.89	21.86	21.36			21.39(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0.7	57%	0.32	21.2	1.91%	0	-0.8	46	0
20	Mar_10_2006	18.88	21.87	21.99	21.47			21.73(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-4	-59	0.47	57%	0.37	26.6	1.99%	0	-0.2	48	0

21	Mar_9_2006	18.81	21.82	22.09	21.55			21.22(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-16	-50	0.57	55%	0.32	25.9	1.99%	0	-0.8	42	0
22	Mar_8_2006	18.75	21.79	22.19	21.89			21.12(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-14	-20	0.64	55%	0.37	33.5	1.99%	0	-0.8	46	0
23	Mar_7_2006	18.68	21.77	22.32	22.2			21.36(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-10	21	0.82	55%	0.32	35	1.98%	0	-0.5	59	0
24	Mar_6_2006	18.62	21.76	22.4	22.42			21.92(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-7	63	0.8	58%	0.38	44.5	1.96%	0	0.2	72	0
25	Mar_3_2006	18.55	21.69	22.42	22.57			22.15(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-6	92	0.58	58%		46.1	1.95%	0	0.5	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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