Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 3, 2023

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $36.1400 (-1.93%) ($36.0150 - $36.1400) on Thu. Aug. 3, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $36.1400(-1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE declines -12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(49%)    IBB(36%)    ARKG(35%)    IWC(27%)    TAN(27%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-19%)    UNG(-11%)    XLC(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    URA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV -0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.19(-55.2%)
Resistance Level   $42.13
5 Day Moving Average   $35.69(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.91(-4.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.13(-14.22%)
To recent high   -39.3%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $1.877b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 11.92% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 5.98%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 5.38%(82%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(18%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 5.77%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.64%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2023	47.21	42.13	37.91	35.69	35.88	36.48	36.14(-1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-53	130	5	-226	1.07	46%	-0.15	-55	3.15%	-0	-1.2	16	-0.7
2	Aug_2_2023	47.28	42.62	38.81	35.64	35.57	36.4	36.85(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	160	22	-224	0.98	43%	-0.15	-58.3	3.19%	1.2	-1.2	15	-0.7
3	Aug_1_2023	47.35	43.15	39.65	35.51	35.33	35.27	35.96(3.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.1	-71	-30	-14	-243	1.65	43%	-0.17	-60.4	3.25%	1.4	-1.5	10	1.2
4	Jul_31_2023	47.43	43.78	40.64	36.63	35.71	34.74	34.59(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-105	-270	-57	-249	1.58	40%	-0.11	-58	3.22%	-0.7	-2	0	1.5
5	Jul_28_2023	47.48	44.44	41.86	38.52	37.46	35.4	34.89(-2.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-108	-470	-71	-217	1.7	43%	-0.19	-57	3.23%	-1.3	-2.3	13	1.3

6	Jul_27_2023	47.57	45.09	43.06	40.49	39.75	36.68	35.9(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-114	-600	-92	-181	1.28	43%	-0.17	-62.9	3.27%	-0.9	-2.7	23	0.5
7	Jul_26_2023	47.65	45.68	44.28	42.44	41.95	39.52	36.2(-12.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-105	-440	-95	-135	3.77	43%	-0.1	-75.5	3.27%	-1.4	-3.5	24	1.9
8	Jul_25_2023	47.7	46.27	45.51	44.34	44	42.81	41.58(-5.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-60	-210	-52	-84	2.83	50%	-0.02	-122.3	2.84%	-1.1	-3	30	1.2
9	Jul_24_2023	47.71	46.61	46.27	45.22	45.03	44.39	44.04(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-110	-27	-50	0.43	53%	0.04	-169.8	2.75%	-1.6	-2.2	33	1.6
10	Jul_21_2023	47.69	46.9	46.59	45.71	45.48	45.19	44.73(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-60	-19	-35	0.31	53%	0.06	-179.8	2.75%	-1.8	-1.8	42	1.1

11	Jul_20_2023	47.66	47.36	46.72	46.06	45.92	45.68	45.65(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-50	-10	-28	0.5	53%	0.08	-115.6	2.74%	0.1	-0.9	45	1.4
12	Jul_19_2023	47.62	47.81	46.74	46.46	46.13	45.77	45.7(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-80	-19	-26	0.47	53%	0.11	-90.4	2.75%	-0.4	-0.8	47	1.5
13	Jul_18_2023	47.57	48.28	46.9	46.87	46.62	46.16	45.96(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-90	-22	-17	0.49	56%	0.11	-79.1	2.75%	-1.2	-0.8	46	1.9
14	Jul_17_2023	47.52	48.72	47.12	47.49	47.22	46.5	46.49(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-120	-19	0	0.45	58%	0.13	-76.4	2.81%	-1.3	-0.7	43	1.4
15	Jul_14_2023	47.46	49.18	47.18	47.61	47.86	47.08	46.51(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-100	-14	-5	0.26	58%	0.11	-70.5	2.85%	-1.7	-0.8	37	1.2

16	Jul_13_2023	47.41	49.76	47.24	47.45	48	47.94	47.65(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	30	-1	-35	0.38	58%	0.13	-61.1	2.83%	-1.2	-0.6	28	1
17	Jul_12_2023	47.35	50.23	47.15	47.04	47.52	48.63	47.76(-2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	190	19	-69	0.52	58%	0.11	-57.1	2.85%	0.1	-0.7	27	1.1
18	Jul_11_2023	47.3	50.79	47.07	46.92	46.86	48.07	49.04(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	180	37	-99	0.72	60%	0.04	-41.9	2.83%	1.8	-0.4	28	-0.3
19	Jul_10_2023	47.28	51.16	46.94	46.75	46.39	46.4	47.1(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-20	11	-141	0.5	58%	0.04	-33.7	2.85%	2.4	-0.9	23	-0.5
20	Jul_7_2023	47.26	51.64	47.18	46.73	46.66	45.65	45.7(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-160	-20	-179	0.59	56%	0	-25.2	2.83%	-0.8	-1.2	14	-0.3

21	Jul_6_2023	47.26	52.08	48.01	46.99	46.99	46.38	45.6(-3.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-70	-90	-30	-191	0.74	56%	0.02	-20.7	2.85%	-1.8	-1.3	12	-0.6
22	Jul_5_2023	47.25	52.44	48.93	47.23	47.31	47.67	47.16(-2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-44	60	3	-183	0.81	59%	0.08	-18.5	2.82%	0.1	-1.1	19	0.9
23	Jul_3_2023	47.21	52.62	49.75	47.2	47.21	47.6	48.18(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	60	15	-192	0.41	56%	0.08	-19.5	2.83%	0	-1	18	1.2
24	Jun_30_2023	47.17	52.73	50.41	47.19	46.93	46.94	47.02(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-60	-20	-9	-211	0.45	54%	0.04	-22.2	2.79%	0.5	-1.3	26	1
25	Jun_29_2023	47.15	52.9	51.31	47.73	47.2	46.82	46.99(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-78	-90	-34	-210	0.97	56%		-22.8	2.84%	-0.1	-1.4	26	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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