Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SAGE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $39.8700 (-1.6%) ($39.0200 - $42.4700) on Tue. Apr. 28, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.27% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $39.8700(-1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 15.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(49%)    IWO(46%)    IWC(43%)    XBI(43%)    IWM(41%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -3.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-12%)    VXX(-10%)    TLT(-1%)    TBT(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.135% (StdDev 6.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.06(4.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.08(13.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.72(25.69%)
To recent high   -43.4%
To recent low   53.6%
Market Cap   $2.071b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 14.06% (three month std-dev: 6.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 5.61%(19%) Average negative next day return: -4.85%(81%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 5.04%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -7.87%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 8.56%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.09%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2020	54.9	31.72	35.08	38.06	38.5	40.17	39.87(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	340	32	162	1.02	39%	-0.42	51.6	6.27%	0	1.8	79	1.2
2	Apr_27_2020	55.13	31.16	33.88	36.93	37	38.26	40.52(6.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	57	240	28	145	1.14	39%	-0.45	52.9	6.27%	0	2.3	82	1.4
3	Apr_24_2020	55.38	30.65	32.64	35.79	35.61	36.82	38.11(5.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	220	26	139	1.25	37%	-0.41	60.3	6.21%	0	2.2	84	0.9
4	Apr_23_2020	55.61	30.24	31.7	34.47	34.62	35.74	36.24(1.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	240	33	129	0.95	37%	-2.08	61.5	6.18%	0	2.1	77	0.4
5	Apr_22_2020	56.79	29.91	31.03	32.98	33.15	34.4	35.57(3.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	50	280	29	112	1.08	37%	-2.05	57.5	6.17%	0	2.2	77	0.3

6	Apr_21_2020	57.98	29.57	30.34	31.61	31.57	33.51	34.21(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	430	34	91	1.93	37%	-2.08	49.9	6.14%	0	2.1	65	-0.2
7	Apr_20_2020	59.21	29.16	29.73	30.33	30.07	31.9	34.84(10.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	46	400	39	66	2.75	37%	-2.07	26.4	6.15%	0	2.8	63	0.6
8	Apr_17_2020	60.46	28.73	28.81	29.05	28.88	29.64	31.5(9.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	170	20	17	1.25	33%	-0.49	-20.3	6.02%	0	1.7	48	1.2
9	Apr_16_2020	60.76	28.55	28.32	28.55	28.41	28.24	28.79(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-60	-4	-15	1.65	29%	-2.08	-49.7	5.89%	0	0.2	42	1.1
10	Apr_15_2020	62.05	28.55	28.13	28.8	28.75	28.11	28.7(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-160	-7	-24	2.08	29%	-2.02	-85.5	5.88%	0	0.1	45	1.1

11	Apr_14_2020	63.33	28.51	28.12	28.86	29.21	28.58	27.8(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-110	-10	-26	2.33	29%	-2.01	-131.3	5.86%	0	-0.5	46	1.5
12	Apr_13_2020	64.63	28.63	28.28	28.98	29.54	29.38	28.45(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	20	3	-8	1.41	29%	-3.25	-163.6	5.88%	0	-0.1	60	1.2
13	Apr_9_2020	66.8	29.06	28.55	28.48	29.36	29.84	29.03(-3.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	210	11	0	1.63	29%	-1.87	-109.1	5.84%	0	-0	60	0.9
14	Apr_8_2020	68.07	29.32	28.55	28.02	28.57	29.69	30.01(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	330	19	3	1.79	29%	-1.77	-95.5	5.84%	0	0.2	56	0.9
15	Apr_7_2020	69.3	29.86	28.71	27.37	27.77	28.88	29.03(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	320	16	-4	1.63	29%	-1.73	-81.8	5.82%	0	-0.2	55	0.8

16	Apr_6_2020	70.52	30.65	28.73	27.31	27.17	27.45	28.37(9.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	60	3	-8	2.52	29%	-1.71	-75.3	5.8%	0	-0.4	50	0.8
17	Apr_3_2020	71.75	31.41	28.54	27.53	27.39	26.67	25.95(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-200	-21	-27	1.08	24%	-1.63	-69.7	5.67%	0	-0.8	38	0.1
18	Apr_2_2020	72.94	32.46	28.66	28.64	28.3	26.9	26.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-31	-380	-26	-44	1.1	24%	-1.66	-59.7	5.67%	0	-0.7	27	-0.1
19	Apr_1_2020	74.17	33.6	28.83	29.48	29.36	28.12	26.75(-6.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-310	-27	-49	1.25	24%	-1.58	-52.9	5.68%	0	-0.8	37	-0.4
20	Mar_31_2020	75.36	34.86	28.99	30.2	30.29	29.71	28.72(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-130	-10	-72	0.95	26%	-1.58	-53.2	5.68%	0	-0.7	31	-0.1

21	Mar_30_2020	76.57	35.95	29	30.33	30.49	30.6	29.5(-6.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	40	8	-112	0.88	26%	-1.56	-55.1	5.68%	0	-0.7	29	-0.3
22	Mar_27_2020	77.78	37.09	29.06	29.66	29.99	30.87	31.5(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	240	22	-156	0.94	27%	-1.42	-61.5	5.65%	0	-0.6	33	-0.6
23	Mar_26_2020	78.9	37.85	29.6	28.68	28.89	30.38	30.95(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	380	22	-193	0.95	27%	-1.41	-69.2	5.63%	0	-0.7	30	-0.3
24	Mar_25_2020	80.03	38.88	29.91	28.13	28.15	29.11	30.33(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-41	240	23	-233	1.38	27%	-1.45	-69	5.62%	0	-0.8	27	-0.7
25	Mar_24_2020	81.21	40.47	30.98	27.66	27.72	27.41	29.36(12.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-63	-70	4	-263	1.79	27%		-67.2	5.64%	0	-0.9	23	-0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.