Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $95.4400 (6.12%) ($89.8500 - $96.8700) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.59% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $95.4400(6.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 13.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(43%)    IWC(40%)    IWM(39%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -3.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.795% (StdDev 7.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.12(8.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.04(6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.64(22.93%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   57.2%
Market Cap   $4.957b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 17.79% (three month std-dev: 7.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.07%(40%) Average negative next day return: -7.78%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 16.93%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -4.4%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 28.47%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.69%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2017	75.38	77.64	90.04	88.12	87.87	90.2	95.44(6.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	180	40	125	0.89	64%	0.28	52	7.59%	0	1.3	77	0
2	Nov_21_2017	75.17	75.92	86.97	86.13	86.12	86.15	89.94(7.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	0	6	107	0.74	64%	0.12	48.8	7.56%	0	1	76	0
3	Nov_20_2017	75.08	74.5	84.55	85.79	85.78	85.54	83.89(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-20	-15	104	0.55	64%	0.07	48.6	7.51%	0	0.7	72	0
4	Nov_17_2017	75.03	73.38	82.9	87.94	86.89	86.09	85.68(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-100	-16	127	0.76	62%	0.08	54.9	7.5%	0	0.9	74	0
5	Nov_16_2017	74.97	72.24	81.33	90.02	89.51	86.03	85.67(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-290	-27	151	0.77	62%	0.09	62.9	7.52%	0	1	72	0

6	Nov_15_2017	74.9	71.07	79.14	92.21	91.96	87.69	85.47(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-330	-28	182	3.03	62%	0.13	71.8	7.52%	0	1.1	74	0
7	Nov_14_2017	74.8	69.89	76.85	87.65	93.51	92.99	88.25(-6.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	160	21	174	1.9	62%	0.08	62.3	7.51%	0	1.5	75	0
8	Nov_13_2017	74.74	68.56	74.34	82.75	86.89	96.23	94.65(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	91	900	66	164	0.86	62%	0.13	53	7.46%	0	2.3	80	0
9	Nov_10_2017	74.64	66.78	71.06	76.92	79.08	94.03	96.04(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.9	161	1410	159	166	1.75	62%	0.16	42.1	7.46%	0	2.9	81	0
10	Nov_9_2017	74.52	64.9	67.62	71.53	71.96	77.56	96.65(54.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.4	139	560	144	125	6.26	62%	0.17	33	7.46%	0	4.3	78	0

11	Nov_8_2017	74.39	63	63.74	64.71	65.44	64.13	62.66(-1.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-16	-110	-30	26	0.33	33%	-0.25	22.9	3.23%	0	-0.2	51	0
12	Nov_7_2017	74.58	63.01	63.67	64.54	65.13	66.37	63.76(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	160	1	33	0.32	33%	-0.27	15.1	3.27%	0	0.4	53	0
13	Nov_6_2017	74.78	62.94	63.48	64.45	64.51	66.76	65.49(-5.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	250	57	50	0.48	33%	-0.19	8.9	3.27%	0	1.4	56	0
14	Nov_3_2017	74.92	62.85	63.06	64.02	63.57	63.89	69.08(10.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	37	10	38	35	0.92	42%	-0.11	4.1	3.5%	0	3.7	69	0
15	Nov_2_2017	75	62.55	62.42	63.04	62.83	62.26	62.56(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-70	-13	6	0.84	35%	-0.21	-11.8	3.26%	0	0	56	0

16	Nov_1_2017	75.16	62.61	62.45	62.68	62.98	63.26	61.83(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	50	3	8	0.38	35%	-0.23	-17	3.27%	0	-0.7	50	0
17	Oct_31_2017	75.33	62.74	62.56	62.64	62.51	63.4	63.28(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	90	20	15	0.29	35%	-0.15	-11.1	3.26%	0	0.5	52	0
18	Oct_30_2017	75.44	62.74	62.54	62.31	61.86	62.71	63.36(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	70	24	14	0.26	35%	-0.15	-15	3.27%	0	0.5	54	0
19	Oct_27_2017	75.55	62.78	62.35	61.91	61.55	61.61	64.19(5.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2	7	-10	11	-5	0.49	33%	-0.15	-25	3.28%	0	1.2	49	0
20	Oct_26_2017	75.66	62.68	62.06	61.78	61.5	61.02	60.72(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-70	-17	-26	0.42	28%	-0.16	-32.2	3.22%	0	-1.8	33	0

21	Oct_25_2017	75.78	62.79	62.21	62.22	62.06	61.48	61.63(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-70	-14	-22	0.34	28%	-0.12	-32.9	3.22%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	Oct_24_2017	75.87	62.87	62.31	62.46	62.45	61.99	61.67(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-50	-17	-25	0.36	31%	-0.11	-34	3.22%	0	-1.3	35	0
23	Oct_23_2017	75.95	62.95	62.4	62.79	62.82	62.65	61.36(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-9	-20	-5	-20	0.4	31%	-0.11	-17.1	3.25%	0	-1.7	36	0
24	Oct_20_2017	76.03	63.06	62.66	62.8	62.89	62.91	63.5(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	10	6	-14	0.35	34%	-0.05	-15	3.25%	0	0.5	51	0
25	Oct_19_2017	76.07	63.03	62.7	62.37	62.53	62.99	62.92(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	60	6	-16	0.35	34%		-23.6	3.24%	0	-0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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