Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SAGE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $67.4000 (-2.05%) ($67.0800 - $69.1600) on Tue. Feb. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.44% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $67.4000(-2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 14.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(44%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.72% (StdDev 3.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.55(4.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.85(7.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.87(20.64%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   46.5%
Market Cap   $3.5b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 14.09% (three month std-dev: 3.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 7.01%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.13%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 6.56%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -9.66%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 12.24%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.36%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2017	49.95	55.87	62.85	64.55	64.46	66.78	67.4(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	116	250	64	273	0.59	78%	0.46	58.8	3.44%	0	1.5	87	0
2	Feb_27_2017	49.72	54.78	61.45	63.89	63.09	63.64	68.81(10.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	92	20	31	276	0.91	78%	0.55	54.4	3.45%	0	1.8	88	0
3	Feb_24_2017	49.45	53.66	59.35	63.12	62.8	62.13	62.3(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	62	-90	-9	276	0.53	75%	0.39	52.3	3.21%	0	1.2	82	0
4	Feb_23_2017	49.26	52.95	57.95	63.21	62.97	62.54	62.33(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	73	-60	-1	295	0.71	76%	0.35	51.8	3.23%	0	1.4	83	0
5	Feb_22_2017	49.09	52.24	56.51	62.26	62.54	63.46	61.93(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	99	120	32	299	0.63	72%	0.35	46.9	3.26%	0	1.5	83	0

6	Feb_21_2017	48.92	51.59	55.05	60.74	60.84	63.39	64.06(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	128	300	74	291	0.64	75%	0.45	39.2	3.26%	0	2.1	85	0
7	Feb_17_2017	48.7	50.92	53.37	58.53	58.25	61.63	64.98(3.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	155	390	114	276	1.84	75%	0.41	30.3	3.24%	0	2.7	89	0
8	Feb_16_2017	48.5	50.24	51.62	55.01	55.75	58.29	62.75(8.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	143	360	120	211	2.99	69%	0.35	12.7	3.21%	0	3.1	81	0
9	Feb_15_2017	48.33	49.67	50	51.97	52.48	54.87	57.58(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	86	350	72	127	0.57	65%	0.23	-10.4	3.13%	0	2.6	71	0
10	Feb_14_2017	48.22	49.41	48.9	49.95	50.42	53.21	54.33(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	86	420	87	84	0.98	65%	0.17	-32	3.05%	0	1.8	64	0

11	Feb_13_2017	48.14	49.35	48.21	48.52	48.72	50.1	52.99(11.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	59	210	66	37	2.44	65%	0.15	-47.3	3.11%	0	1.4	58	0
12	Feb_10_2017	48.07	49.41	47.47	47.47	47.44	47.62	47.42(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	20	1	-41	0.23	62%	0.02	-51.8	2.73%	0	-0.7	29	0
13	Feb_9_2017	48.06	49.73	47.48	47.47	47.52	47.34	47.54(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-40	0	-57	0.45	66%	0.04	-47.7	2.85%	0	-0.7	27	0
14	Feb_8_2017	48.04	49.99	47.56	47.67	47.6	47.27	47.49(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-50	-7	-73	0.23	66%	0.02	-47.8	3.05%	0	-0.9	28	0
15	Feb_7_2017	48.03	50.31	47.7	47.64	47.61	47.69	47.18(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	10	-7	-91	0.17	69%	0.04	-43.4	3.06%	0	-1.1	25	0

16	Feb_6_2017	48.01	50.62	47.95	47.8	47.66	47.94	47.7(-1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	30	14	-94	0.2	69%	0.08	-39.8	3.13%	0	-1	25	0
17	Feb_3_2017	47.97	50.92	48.38	47.46	47.36	47.52	48.46(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	20	9	-110	0.2	66%	0.13	-37.7	3.23%	0	-0.8	24	0
18	Feb_2_2017	47.91	51.16	48.81	47.26	46.92	47.38	47.52(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	50	-2	-118	0.43	63%	0.13	-34	3.33%	0	-1.3	28	0
19	Feb_1_2017	47.85	51.44	49.33	47.46	47.16	47.21	47.35(-1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10	5	-110	0.42	63%	0.13	-29	3.4%	0	-1.5	33	0
20	Jan_31_2017	47.79	51.63	49.96	47.79	47.4	46.47	47.98(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-160	-21	-115	0.49	63%	0.17	-25	3.4%	0	-1.4	32	0

21	Jan_30_2017	47.71	51.81	50.57	48.16	48.17	47.12	46.01(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-150	-42	-117	0.47	61%	0.15	-13.6	3.36%	0	-2.3	25	0
22	Jan_27_2017	47.64	52.05	51.51	49.43	49.21	48.32	47.45(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-140	-38	-89	0.43	61%	0.15	6.7	3.33%	0	-2.2	27	0
23	Jan_26_2017	47.57	52.17	52.19	50.58	50.42	49.22	48.52(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-180	-35	-66	0.57	61%	0.17	28.5	3.33%	0	-1.9	33	0
24	Jan_25_2017	47.49	52.25	52.66	51.48	51.62	50.11	48.98(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-44	-200	-41	-52	0.51	61%	0.17	49.1	3.33%	0	-1.8	38	0
25	Jan_24_2017	47.41	52.29	53.18	52.44	52.47	51.62	49.84(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-110	-41	-25	1.73	61%		68	3.32%	0	-1.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.