Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $53.0300 (-1.32%) ($52.8200 - $53.7500) on Thu. Jan. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $53.0300(-1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(44%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(37%)    IWM(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.05(-1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.74(-1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.64(2.69%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   37%
Market Cap   $2.754b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 4.53% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.46%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.34%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2017	47.05	51.64	53.74	54.05	54.31	53.7	53.03(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-60	-13	52	0.23	64%	0.36	65.6	3.27%	0	0.6	70	INF
2	Jan_18_2017	46.88	51.36	53.71	54.01	54.24	54.62	53.74(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	60	-3	67	0.48	64%	0.34	58.7	3.26%	0	0.9	70	INF
3	Jan_17_2017	46.72	51.1	53.45	54.04	54.01	54.92	54.24(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	120	22	85	0.84	64%	0.54	54.5	3.26%	0	1.2	74	INF
4	Jan_13_2017	46.47	50.83	53.14	53.86	53.61	53.87	55.36(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	20	18	99	0.47	64%	0.39	48.2	3.24%	0	1.7	85	INF
5	Jan_12_2017	46.29	50.44	52.59	53.54	53.3	53.1	53.88(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-40	-4	97	0.37	62%	0.37	41.4	3.23%	0	1.4	80	INF

6	Jan_11_2017	46.12	50.15	52.11	53.4	53.48	53.35	52.85(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10	-1	103	0.73	62%	0.33	27.2	3.27%	0	1.1	73	INF
7	Jan_10_2017	45.97	49.88	51.79	53.36	53.41	53.5	53.85(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	10	10	115	0.36	62%	0.37	19.3	3.31%	0	1.7	78	INF
8	Jan_9_2017	45.8	49.66	51.32	52.74	52.96	53.61	53.37(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	100	15	109	0.36	62%	0.39	15.2	3.33%	0	1.6	68	INF
9	Jan_6_2017	45.62	49.54	50.63	52.28	52.39	53.33	53.74(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	130	32	100	0.61	62%	0.37	15.5	3.33%	0	2	67	INF
10	Jan_5_2017	45.45	49.42	49.94	51.49	51.6	52.31	53.21(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	100	30	79	0.45	62%	0.4	9.7	3.4%	0	2	69	INF

11	Jan_4_2017	45.27	49.49	49.35	50.64	50.69	51.46	52.62(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	110	21	58	0.51	62%	0.4	9.5	3.4%	0	1.8	67	INF
12	Jan_3_2017	45.09	49.42	48.79	50	50.1	50.9	50.77(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	120	22	46	0.33	60%	0.49	2.5	3.37%	0	0.6	64	INF
13	Dec_30_2016	44.87	49.32	48.54	49.69	49.72	49.92	51.06(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	27	36	0.43	60%	0.31	-7.1	3.37%	0	0.8	52	INF
14	Dec_29_2016	44.73	49.22	48.3	48.73	49.04	49.31	49.77(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	60	11	2	0.25	60%	0.29	-23.3	3.36%	0	0.3	42	INF
15	Dec_28_2016	44.6	49.23	48.1	48.13	48.33	49.53	48.97(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	190	19	-21	0.26	60%	0.29	-29.2	3.38%	0	-0.1	37	INF

16	Dec_27_2016	44.47	49.32	48	47.84	47.81	48.77	49.44(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	140	34	-45	0.36	60%	0.16	-33.3	3.37%	0	0.1	29	INF
17	Dec_23_2016	44.4	49.36	47.8	47.41	47.31	47.14	49.2(6.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-30	6	-80	0.38	60%	0.14	-41.6	3.35%	0	-0.1	44	INF
18	Dec_22_2016	44.34	49.48	47.85	47.27	47.37	46.85	46.27(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-70	-22	-95	0.37	57%	0.07	-43.5	3.26%	0	-1.4	46	INF
19	Dec_21_2016	44.31	49.73	48.37	47.81	47.94	47.48	46.77(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-60	-13	-74	0.56	57%	0.07	-41.5	3.26%	0	-1.4	46	INF
20	Dec_20_2016	44.28	49.87	48.88	48.05	48.32	47.89	47.52(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-50	-14	-65	0.52	57%	0.09	-54.6	3.25%	0	-1.2	45	INF

21	Dec_19_2016	44.24	50.05	49.64	48.16	48.86	48.4	47.28(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-20	-6	-44	0.46	57%	0.05	-63	3.26%	0	-1.4	43	INF
22	Dec_16_2016	44.22	50.28	50.11	48.22	48.88	48.75	48.5(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	20	-13	-41	0.7	57%	0.09	-65.5	3.26%	0	-1	47	INF
23	Dec_15_2016	44.18	50.47	50.19	48.54	48.92	49.33	48.99(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	80	-7	-42	0.73	57%	0.09	-60	3.26%	0	-0.8	44	INF
24	Dec_14_2016	44.14	50.62	50.25	49.05	49.55	49.01	47.95(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-50	-6	-37	1.02	57%	0.09	-44.5	3.29%	0	-1.5	44	INF
25	Dec_13_2016	44.1	50.99	50.49	49.87	49.92	48.52	48.07(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-190	-54	-38	0.34	57%		-5.6	3.29%	0	-1.5	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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