Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $55.6800 (7.45%) ($54.0500 - $56.4300) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $55.6800(7.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(44%)    IWO(41%)    ARKG(37%)    IWC(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.18(8.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.95(9.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.1(8.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.8%
Market Cap   $2.892b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 4.81% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 19.5%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.49%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.14%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2016	43.77	51.1	50.95	51.18	51.22	52.97	55.68(7.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	240	74	10	1.38	71%	0.3	92.5	3.15%	0	1.9	48	0
2	Dec_5_2016	43.64	50.51	50.43	50.2	50	49.83	51.82(5.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-40	9	-45	0.46	68%	0.21	74.5	3.36%	0	0.5	42	0
3	Dec_2_2016	43.55	50.03	50.38	49.91	49.98	49.47	49.02(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-70	-21	-64	0.29	66%	0.18	55.9	3.33%	0	-0.3	44	0
4	Dec_1_2016	43.47	49.58	50.7	50.46	50.45	50.18	49.25(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-40	-12	-48	0.69	66%	0.16	43.9	3.33%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Nov_30_2016	43.4	49.22	50.98	50.81	50.76	50.49	50.11(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-40	1	-25	0.47	66%	0.09	39.7	3.32%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Nov_29_2016	43.36	48.92	51.49	50.63	50.54	50.72	50.8(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	20	-4	4	0.38	66%	0.39	37.6	3.32%	0	0.4	69	0
7	Nov_28_2016	43.19	48.57	51.83	50.67	50.45	51.03	50.36(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	70	6	43	0.39	66%	0.37	37.6	3.32%	0	0.4	69	0
8	Nov_25_2016	43.03	48.23	51.97	50.93	50.57	50.36	51.77(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	-50	4	83	0.2	66%	0.73	39.3	3.31%	0	0.7	77	0
9	Nov_23_2016	42.72	47.83	51.94	51.02	50.8	49.87	50.99(3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-140	-21	122	0.45	66%	0.45	42.1	3.3%	0	0.7	80	0
10	Nov_22_2016	42.53	47.49	51.72	51.22	51.32	50.78	49.21(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-70	-37	152	0.42	64%	0.16	47.3	3.28%	0	0.4	69	0

11	Nov_21_2016	42.46	47.23	51.33	52.48	52.13	51.74	51.03(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	37	-70	-17	200	0.48	67%	0.47	58.2	3.26%	0	0.8	65	0
12	Nov_18_2016	42.26	46.84	50.68	53.15	52.99	51.86	51.66(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	47	-160	-14	229	0.52	67%	0.52	66.4	3.25%	0	1	66	0
13	Nov_17_2016	42.04	46.4	49.73	53.14	53.4	52.52	52.2(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	41	-100	-22	228	0.49	67%	0.55	70.4	3.25%	0	1.2	68	0
14	Nov_16_2016	41.81	45.89	48.46	52.97	53.29	54.12	52(-6.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	67	130	13	229	0.78	67%	0.58	71.8	3.25%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Nov_15_2016	41.57	45.34	47.4	52.22	52.54	54.28	55.53(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	116	250	76	237	0.89	74%	0.7	69.4	3.16%	0	2.3	71	0

16	Nov_14_2016	41.28	44.58	46.14	49.99	50.59	52.46	54.36(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	105	290	78	186	0.89	74%	0.63	60.3	3.16%	0	2.6	71	0
17	Nov_11_2016	41.02	43.87	44.98	47.87	48.09	50.8	51.6(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	96	410	82	139	0.7	72%	0.51	47.4	3.11%	0	2.4	68	0
18	Nov_10_2016	40.81	43.31	44.08	45.83	46.04	48.72	51.37(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	113	420	116	104	0.96	72%	0.57	30.2	3.12%	0	3.1	69	0
19	Nov_9_2016	40.58	42.8	43.22	43.29	43.44	45.38	48.23(8.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	60	320	70	28	1.02	54%	0.5	0.7	3.03%	0	2.9	66	0
20	Nov_8_2016	40.38	42.45	42.76	41.89	41.98	43.37	44.37(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	24	240	34	-7	0.39	46%	0.37	-39.5	3.3%	0	1.3	62	0

21	Nov_7_2016	40.23	42.38	42.67	41.73	41.65	41.49	43.76(5.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	-30	14	-9	0.44	46%	0.37	-48.6	3.32%	0	0.9	61	0
22	Nov_4_2016	40.08	42.43	42.62	41.69	41.72	40.59	41.4(6.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-190	-33	-20	0.48	40%	0.33	-51.6	3.26%	0	-0.7	54	0
23	Nov_3_2016	39.95	42.53	42.8	42.08	42.69	41.8	38.71(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-29	-100	-37	-4	0.9	30%	0.25	-52.9	3.14%	0	-2.6	43	0
24	Nov_2_2016	39.85	42.79	43.22	43.06	43.26	42.84	41.21(-5.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-50	-26	28	0.58	35%	0.33	-44.7	3.07%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Nov_1_2016	39.72	43.02	43.25	43.68	43.73	43.59	43.58(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-20	-4	53	0.44	41%		-33.7	3.01%	0	0.4	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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