Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $54.3600 (5.35%) ($51.9100 - $54.5700) on Mon. Nov. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.16% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $54.3600(5.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.58% (StdDev 3.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.99(8.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.14(17.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.58(21.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   51.7%
Market Cap   $2.823b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 8.59% (three month std-dev: 3.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.42%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.71%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -9.78%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.11%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.52%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2016	41.28	44.58	46.14	49.99	50.59	52.46	54.36(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	105	290	78	186	0.89	74%	0.63	60.3	3.16%	0	2.6	71	INF
2	Nov_11_2016	41.02	43.87	44.98	47.87	48.09	50.8	51.6(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	96	410	82	139	0.7	72%	0.51	47.4	3.11%	0	2.4	68	INF
3	Nov_10_2016	40.81	43.31	44.08	45.83	46.04	48.72	51.37(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	113	420	116	104	0.96	72%	0.57	30.2	3.12%	0	3.1	69	INF
4	Nov_9_2016	40.58	42.8	43.22	43.29	43.44	45.38	48.23(8.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	60	320	70	28	1.02	54%	0.5	0.7	3.03%	0	2.9	66	INF
5	Nov_8_2016	40.38	42.45	42.76	41.89	41.98	43.37	44.37(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	24	240	34	-7	0.39	46%	0.37	-39.5	3.3%	0	1.3	62	INF

6	Nov_7_2016	40.23	42.38	42.67	41.73	41.65	41.49	43.76(5.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	-30	14	-9	0.44	46%	0.37	-48.6	3.32%	0	0.9	61	INF
7	Nov_4_2016	40.08	42.43	42.62	41.69	41.72	40.59	41.4(6.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-190	-33	-20	0.48	40%	0.33	-51.6	3.26%	0	-0.7	54	INF
8	Nov_3_2016	39.95	42.53	42.8	42.08	42.69	41.8	38.71(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-29	-100	-37	-4	0.9	30%	0.25	-52.9	3.14%	0	-2.6	43	INF
9	Nov_2_2016	39.85	42.79	43.22	43.06	43.26	42.84	41.21(-5.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-50	-26	28	0.58	35%	0.33	-44.7	3.07%	0	-1.2	47	INF
10	Nov_1_2016	39.72	43.02	43.25	43.68	43.73	43.59	43.58(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-20	-4	53	0.44	41%	0.38	-33.7	3.01%	0	0.4	65	INF

11	Oct_31_2016	39.57	43.12	43.02	43.68	43.91	43.68	43.54(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-20	-2	46	0.31	41%	0.33	-33.3	3.02%	0	0.3	50	INF
12	Oct_28_2016	39.44	43.21	42.79	43.71	43.91	43.87	43.37(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	10	-4	29	0.32	41%	0.31	-33.5	3.02%	0	0.1	39	INF
13	Oct_27_2016	39.32	43.32	42.55	43.65	43.83	44.14	43.6(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	60	14	24	0.62	41%	0.2	-34.9	3.02%	0	0.2	50	INF
14	Oct_26_2016	39.24	43.41	42.39	43.39	43.37	43.79	44.32(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	70	21	14	0.4	41%	0.28	-37.3	3.02%	0	0.5	52	INF
15	Oct_25_2016	39.13	43.51	42.1	42.74	42.77	43.51	43.74(0.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	12	120	23	-20	0.4	41%	0.23	-43.5	3.02%	0	0.1	40	INF

16	Oct_24_2016	39.04	43.63	42.03	42.22	42.15	42.96	43.53(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	130	28	-43	0.36	41%	0.28	-47.7	3.02%	0	-0	39	INF
17	Oct_21_2016	38.93	43.77	42.14	41.74	41.66	42.03	43.06(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	60	22	-60	0.35	41%	0.23	-50	3.03%	0	-0.3	38	INF
18	Oct_20_2016	38.84	43.93	42.16	41.3	41.31	41.35	42.3(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	10	1	-90	0.3	41%	0.21	-50.1	3.03%	0	-0.8	33	INF
19	Oct_19_2016	38.76	44.11	42.27	41.26	41.36	41.29	41.07(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-0	-3	-103	0.32	41%	0.21	-46	3.02%	0	-1.4	30	INF
20	Oct_18_2016	38.68	44.38	42.74	41.37	41.49	41.27	41.13(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-30	-13	-108	0.34	41%	0.08	-37.6	3.03%	0	-1.6	27	INF

21	Oct_17_2016	38.65	44.63	43.21	41.82	41.75	41.44	41.14(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-60	-24	-106	0.56	41%	0.26	-23.3	3.03%	0	-1.9	28	INF
22	Oct_14_2016	38.55	44.85	43.66	42.62	42.5	41.71	40.88(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-140	-21	-90	0.39	41%	0.26	-1	3.03%	0	-2.3	28	INF
23	Oct_13_2016	38.45	45.03	44.19	43.14	43.2	42.05	42.08(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-180	-30	-84	0.4	32%	0.26	23.3	3.02%	0	-2	30	INF
24	Oct_12_2016	38.35	45.11	44.55	43.43	43.69	43.29	41.62(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-44	-50	-33	-77	0.52	66%	0.29	37	3.18%	0	-2.2	33	INF
25	Oct_11_2016	38.24	45.15	45.08	44.29	44.19	44.34	43.37(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	20	-5	-27	0.31	70%		52.1	5.57%	0	-1.1	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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