Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SAGE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $45.2300 (3.01%) ($43.9200 - $46.2800) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.86% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $45.2300(3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(46%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.93% (StdDev 5.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.01(5.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.81(8.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.8(13.64%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   67.8%
Market Cap   $2.349b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 6.16% (three month std-dev: 5.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.91%(39%) Average negative next day return: -2.14%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 3.1%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -4.49%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.39%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2016	36.25	39.8	41.81	43.01	42.98	44.1	45.23(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	180	23	83	0.96	69%	0.22	73.7	5.86%	0	2.2	70	0
2	Sep_16_2016	36.17	39.35	40.94	42.09	41.99	42.88	43.91(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	140	22	66	1.21	69%	0.17	70.4	5.87%	0	2.1	68	0
3	Sep_15_2016	36.11	38.96	40.25	41.11	41.04	41.85	43.26(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	130	14	49	0.74	69%	0.17	60.7	5.87%	0	2.2	70	0
4	Sep_14_2016	36.05	38.58	39.63	40.51	40.57	41.11	41.59(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	100	10	39	0.65	69%	0.14	55.7	5.86%	0	1.7	67	0
5	Sep_13_2016	36	38.29	39.27	40.46	40.19	40.23	41.08(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10	2	36	0.87	67%	0.08	54.5	5.88%	0	1.6	61	0

6	Sep_12_2016	35.97	38.07	39	40.43	40.2	40.03	40.61(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-50	7	40	0.61	67%	0.06	42.5	5.91%	0	1.5	61	0
7	Sep_9_2016	35.95	37.87	38.78	39.6	40.1	40.16	39.01(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	50	7	34	3.25	60%	-0.03	8.8	5.94%	0	0.7	62	0
8	Sep_8_2016	35.96	37.79	38.63	39.19	39.12	40.36	40.27(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	220	11	32	1.32	60%	0.08	-15.7	6.01%	0	1.6	67	0
9	Sep_7_2016	35.93	37.6	38.31	38.57	38.44	40.03	41.34(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	29	280	28	33	0.68	60%	0.11	-51.5	6.01%	0	2.7	74	0
10	Sep_6_2016	35.89	37.36	37.96	37.91	37.54	37.88	40.92(12.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	17	30	14	24	1.82	60%	0.08	-104.7	6.01%	0	3.2	73	0

11	Sep_2_2016	35.86	37.39	37.6	37.44	37.34	36.85	36.47(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-100	-9	10	0.27	56%	0	-70.7	5.8%	0	-0.5	49	0
12	Sep_1_2016	35.86	37.74	37.63	37.86	37.82	37.21	36.96(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-120	-7	17	0.24	56%	0.03	-58.7	5.8%	0	-0.3	53	0
13	Aug_31_2016	35.85	38.03	37.59	37.95	38.05	37.83	37.17(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-30	-5	18	0.58	57%	0.06	-53.7	5.8%	0	-0.3	49	0
14	Aug_30_2016	35.83	38.34	37.49	37.96	38.08	38.42	38.03(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	70	2	19	0.54	57%	0.11	-52.4	5.82%	0	-0.1	58	0
15	Aug_29_2016	35.79	38.57	37.27	37.98	37.98	38.28	38.55(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	60	7	19	0.47	57%	0.06	-50.6	5.86%	0	-0	61	0

16	Aug_26_2016	35.77	38.82	37.1	37.81	37.81	37.73	38.57(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10	6	2	0.57	57%	0	-48.1	5.86%	0	-0.1	34	0
17	Aug_25_2016	35.77	39.11	36.9	37.38	37.58	37.68	37.41(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	30	2	-24	0.46	57%	0	-48.3	5.85%	0	-0.5	25	0
18	Aug_24_2016	35.77	39.46	36.89	37.18	37.26	37.89	37.23(-2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	120	8	-39	0.7	54%	0.08	-46.5	5.87%	0	-0.6	28	0
19	Aug_23_2016	35.74	39.84	36.84	36.92	36.84	37.48	38.16(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	120	14	-56	0.54	56%	0.08	-45.9	5.92%	0	-0.5	28	0
20	Aug_22_2016	35.71	40.13	36.7	36.45	36.3	36.64	37.66(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	50	6	-80	0.74	56%	0.17	-46.5	5.94%	0	-0.7	31	0

21	Aug_19_2016	35.65	40.44	37.11	36.31	36.12	36.19	36.45(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-0	0	-89	0.91	56%	0.11	-46.3	5.94%	0	-1.1	23	0
22	Aug_18_2016	35.61	40.84	37.8	36.36	36.32	35.96	36.38(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-70	-4	-91	0.53	56%	0.14	-45.1	5.96%	0	-1.2	22	0
23	Aug_17_2016	35.56	41.2	38.46	36.57	36.5	36.05	35.95(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-90	-8	-94	0.6	56%	0.14	-44.2	5.97%	0	-1.5	20	0
24	Aug_16_2016	35.51	41.59	39.24	36.74	36.8	36.68	35.83(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-27	-20	-5	-93	0.43	56%	0.14	-45.4	5.98%	0	-1.8	19	0
25	Aug_15_2016	35.46	41.93	39.97	36.95	36.94	36.96	36.95(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	0	-10	-95	0.33	56%		-54.3	5.97%	0	-1.7	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.