Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $41.0800 (1.16%) ($40.0100 - $41.3800) on Tue. Sep. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.88% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $41.0800(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(46%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    BOTZ(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.94% (StdDev 5.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.46(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.27(4.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.29(7.29%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   52.4%
Market Cap   $2.133b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 4.57% (three month std-dev: 5.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(46%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 2.39%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.73%(42%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 5.38%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.72%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2016	36	38.29	39.27	40.46	40.19	40.23	41.08(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10	2	36	0.87	67%	0.08	54.5	5.88%	0	1.6	61	0
2	Sep_12_2016	35.97	38.07	39	40.43	40.2	40.03	40.61(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-50	7	40	0.61	67%	0.06	42.5	5.91%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Sep_9_2016	35.95	37.87	38.78	39.6	40.1	40.16	39.01(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	50	7	34	3.25	60%	-0.03	8.8	5.94%	0	0.7	62	0
4	Sep_8_2016	35.96	37.79	38.63	39.19	39.12	40.36	40.27(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	220	11	32	1.32	60%	0.08	-15.7	6.01%	0	1.6	67	0
5	Sep_7_2016	35.93	37.6	38.31	38.57	38.44	40.03	41.34(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	29	280	28	33	0.68	60%	0.11	-51.5	6.01%	0	2.7	74	0

6	Sep_6_2016	35.89	37.36	37.96	37.91	37.54	37.88	40.92(12.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	17	30	14	24	1.82	60%	0.08	-104.7	6.01%	0	3.2	73	0
7	Sep_2_2016	35.86	37.39	37.6	37.44	37.34	36.85	36.47(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-100	-9	10	0.27	56%	0	-70.7	5.8%	0	-0.5	49	0
8	Sep_1_2016	35.86	37.74	37.63	37.86	37.82	37.21	36.96(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-120	-7	17	0.24	56%	0.03	-58.7	5.8%	0	-0.3	53	0
9	Aug_31_2016	35.85	38.03	37.59	37.95	38.05	37.83	37.17(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-30	-5	18	0.58	57%	0.06	-53.7	5.8%	0	-0.3	49	0
10	Aug_30_2016	35.83	38.34	37.49	37.96	38.08	38.42	38.03(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	70	2	19	0.54	57%	0.11	-52.4	5.82%	0	-0.1	58	0

11	Aug_29_2016	35.79	38.57	37.27	37.98	37.98	38.28	38.55(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	60	7	19	0.47	57%	0.06	-50.6	5.86%	0	-0	61	0
12	Aug_26_2016	35.77	38.82	37.1	37.81	37.81	37.73	38.57(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10	6	2	0.57	57%	0	-48.1	5.86%	0	-0.1	34	0
13	Aug_25_2016	35.77	39.11	36.9	37.38	37.58	37.68	37.41(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	30	2	-24	0.46	57%	0	-48.3	5.85%	0	-0.5	25	0
14	Aug_24_2016	35.77	39.46	36.89	37.18	37.26	37.89	37.23(-2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	120	8	-39	0.7	54%	0.08	-46.5	5.87%	0	-0.6	28	0
15	Aug_23_2016	35.74	39.84	36.84	36.92	36.84	37.48	38.16(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	120	14	-56	0.54	56%	0.08	-45.9	5.92%	0	-0.5	28	0

16	Aug_22_2016	35.71	40.13	36.7	36.45	36.3	36.64	37.66(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	50	6	-80	0.74	56%	0.17	-46.5	5.94%	0	-0.7	31	0
17	Aug_19_2016	35.65	40.44	37.11	36.31	36.12	36.19	36.45(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-0	0	-89	0.91	56%	0.11	-46.3	5.94%	0	-1.1	23	0
18	Aug_18_2016	35.61	40.84	37.8	36.36	36.32	35.96	36.38(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-70	-4	-91	0.53	56%	0.14	-45.1	5.96%	0	-1.2	22	0
19	Aug_17_2016	35.56	41.2	38.46	36.57	36.5	36.05	35.95(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-90	-8	-94	0.6	56%	0.14	-44.2	5.97%	0	-1.5	20	0
20	Aug_16_2016	35.51	41.59	39.24	36.74	36.8	36.68	35.83(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-27	-20	-5	-93	0.43	56%	0.14	-45.4	5.98%	0	-1.8	19	0

21	Aug_15_2016	35.46	41.93	39.97	36.95	36.94	36.96	36.95(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	0	-10	-95	0.33	56%	0.06	-54.3	5.97%	0	-1.7	25	0
22	Aug_12_2016	35.44	42.24	40.68	38.05	37.02	36.96	36.71(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-100	-20	-86	0.45	56%	0.17	-35.2	5.97%	0	-2	28	0
23	Aug_11_2016	35.38	42.54	41.51	39.51	38.6	36.91	37.4(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-380	-20	-68	0.79	54%	0.26	-9	5.98%	0	-2.1	28	0
24	Aug_10_2016	35.29	42.8	42.27	40.67	40.32	37.13	36.81(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-50	-580	-46	-61	1.59	54%	0.09	25.1	6.02%	0	-2.8	31	0
25	Aug_9_2016	35.26	43.12	43.14	42.11	42.05	40.3	36.86(-13.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-43	-300	-44	-39	2.4	54%		79.8	6.02%	0	-3.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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