Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $37.4100 (0.48%) ($36.8900 - $38.3700) on Thu. Aug. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.85% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $37.4100(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(46%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.925% (StdDev 5.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $39.11
5 Day Moving Average   $37.38(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.9(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.11(-4.35%)
To recent high   -19%
To recent low   38.8%
Market Cap   $1.943b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 8.77% (three month std-dev: 5.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.43%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -9.03%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.34%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2016	35.77	39.11	36.9	37.38	37.58	37.68	37.41(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	30	2	-24	0.46	57%	0	-48.3	5.85%	0	-0.5	25	0
2	Aug_24_2016	35.77	39.46	36.89	37.18	37.26	37.89	37.23(-2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	120	8	-39	0.7	54%	0.08	-46.5	5.87%	0	-0.6	28	0
3	Aug_23_2016	35.74	39.84	36.84	36.92	36.84	37.48	38.16(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	120	14	-56	0.54	56%	0.08	-45.9	5.92%	0	-0.5	28	0
4	Aug_22_2016	35.71	40.13	36.7	36.45	36.3	36.64	37.66(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	50	6	-80	0.74	56%	0.17	-46.5	5.94%	0	-0.7	31	0
5	Aug_19_2016	35.65	40.44	37.11	36.31	36.12	36.19	36.45(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-0	0	-89	0.91	56%	0.11	-46.3	5.94%	0	-1.1	23	0

6	Aug_18_2016	35.61	40.84	37.8	36.36	36.32	35.96	36.38(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-70	-4	-91	0.53	56%	0.14	-45.1	5.96%	0	-1.2	22	0
7	Aug_17_2016	35.56	41.2	38.46	36.57	36.5	36.05	35.95(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-90	-8	-94	0.6	56%	0.14	-44.2	5.97%	0	-1.5	20	0
8	Aug_16_2016	35.51	41.59	39.24	36.74	36.8	36.68	35.83(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-27	-20	-5	-93	0.43	56%	0.14	-45.4	5.98%	0	-1.8	19	0
9	Aug_15_2016	35.46	41.93	39.97	36.95	36.94	36.96	36.95(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	0	-10	-95	0.33	56%	0.06	-54.3	5.97%	0	-1.7	25	0
10	Aug_12_2016	35.44	42.24	40.68	38.05	37.02	36.96	36.71(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-100	-20	-86	0.45	56%	0.17	-35.2	5.97%	0	-2	28	0

11	Aug_11_2016	35.38	42.54	41.51	39.51	38.6	36.91	37.4(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-380	-20	-68	0.79	54%	0.26	-9	5.98%	0	-2.1	28	0
12	Aug_10_2016	35.29	42.8	42.27	40.67	40.32	37.13	36.81(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-50	-580	-46	-61	1.59	54%	0.09	25.1	6.02%	0	-2.8	31	0
13	Aug_9_2016	35.26	43.12	43.14	42.11	42.05	40.3	36.86(-13.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-43	-300	-44	-39	2.4	54%	0.11	79.8	6.02%	0	-3.5	32	0
14	Aug_8_2016	35.22	43.61	43.96	43.35	43.53	43.51	42.46(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	10	-5	-4	0.59	59%	0.34	107.7	5.79%	0	-0.5	56	0
15	Aug_5_2016	35.1	43.23	44.1	43.67	43.57	43.8	44(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	30	-0	5	0.47	59%	0.34	91.9	5.78%	0	0.2	59	0

16	Aug_4_2016	34.98	42.77	44.14	43.85	43.72	43.56	43.23(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-30	-2	11	0.47	59%	0.32	82.3	5.78%	0	0.1	58	0
17	Aug_3_2016	34.87	42.27	44.17	44.16	43.94	43.33	44.01(2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-110	-8	17	0.53	57%	0.29	79	5.79%	0	0.4	64	0
18	Aug_2_2016	34.77	41.72	44.1	44.38	44.25	43.88	43.03(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-70	-10	21	0.85	57%	0.17	78.1	5.83%	0	0.3	56	0
19	Aug_1_2016	34.71	41.18	44.03	44.64	44.61	44.54	44.1(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10	-0	20	0.71	57%	0.29	84.1	5.82%	0	0.6	40	0
20	Jul_29_2016	34.61	40.56	43.89	44.57	44.59	44.62	44.86(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	11	10	1	39	0.57	57%	0.35	81.3	5.86%	0	0.8	79	0

21	Jul_28_2016	34.49	39.85	43.63	44.47	44.4	44.67	44.8(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	40	4	60	0.38	57%	0.35	76.4	5.86%	0	0.9	78	0
22	Jul_27_2016	34.37	39.1	43.34	44.19	44.27	44.55	45.13(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	50	8	82	0.57	57%	0.32	73	5.87%	0	1	80	0
23	Jul_26_2016	34.26	38.28	43.06	43.8	43.93	44.12	44.33(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	40	7	104	0.82	57%	0.26	68.6	5.87%	0	1	79	0
24	Jul_25_2016	34.17	37.43	43.2	43.33	43.5	43.99	43.71(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	90	6	137	0.62	57%	0.29	62	5.88%	0	1	80	0
25	Jul_22_2016	34.07	36.68	42.28	43.11	42.99	43.74	44.38(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	110	11	149	0.45	57%		61.2	5.89%	0	1.2	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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