Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $45.1300 (1.8%) ($44.1000 - $45.2600) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.87% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $45.1300(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.935% (StdDev 5.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.19(2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.34(4.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.1(15.42%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   67.4%
Market Cap   $2.344b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 15.09% (three month std-dev: 5.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.23%(75%) Average negative next day return: -7.55%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.64%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -11.7%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.32%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2016	34.37	39.1	43.34	44.19	44.27	44.55	45.13(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	50	8	82	0.57	57%	0.32	73	5.87%	0	1	80	INF
2	Jul_26_2016	34.26	38.28	43.06	43.8	43.93	44.12	44.33(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	40	7	104	0.82	57%	0.26	68.6	5.87%	0	1	79	INF
3	Jul_25_2016	34.17	37.43	43.2	43.33	43.5	43.99	43.71(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	90	6	137	0.62	57%	0.29	62	5.88%	0	1	80	INF
4	Jul_22_2016	34.07	36.68	42.28	43.11	42.99	43.74	44.38(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	110	11	149	0.45	57%	0.32	61.2	5.89%	0	1.2	82	INF
5	Jul_21_2016	33.96	35.98	41.3	42.67	42.65	43.01	43.39(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	60	11	161	0.63	57%	0.27	63.1	5.89%	0	1.2	82	INF

6	Jul_20_2016	33.87	35.22	40.23	42.37	42.34	42.24	43.2(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-20	1	168	0.44	57%	0.39	62.7	5.91%	0	1.3	83	INF
7	Jul_19_2016	33.74	34.49	39.18	42.22	42.24	42.29	41.98(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	10	-11	183	0.62	57%	0.39	65.3	5.9%	0	1.2	84	INF
8	Jul_18_2016	33.61	33.85	38.15	43.06	42.8	42.43	42.58(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	68	-80	11	237	0.59	57%	0.36	74.2	5.9%	0	1.5	86	INF
9	Jul_15_2016	33.49	33.11	37.02	41.28	43.98	42.19	42.22(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	68	-90	16	223	0.75	57%	0.36	65.7	5.9%	0	1.6	79	INF
10	Jul_14_2016	33.37	32.41	35.8	39.63	41.92	43.18	41.88(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	380	7	193	2.31	57%	0.33	57.5	5.9%	0	1.8	71	INF

11	Jul_13_2016	33.26	31.71	34.53	37.68	39.65	45.76	42.43(-8.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	106	1240	77	193	3.05	57%	0.33	43.5	5.91%	0	2.3	75	INF
12	Jul_12_2016	33.15	30.95	33.08	35.66	36.67	40.67	46.21(37.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	128	850	113	174	12.47	61%	0.39	28.7	5.81%	0	3.8	79	INF
13	Jul_11_2016	33.02	30.02	31.05	32.68	32.76	33.55	33.65(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	180	29	121	0.55	41%	0.06	2.9	3.46%	0	1.9	62	INF
14	Jul_8_2016	33	29.83	30.53	32.17	31.98	32.66	33.97(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	130	29	106	0.77	38%	0.06	-12.9	3.52%	0	2.4	66	INF
15	Jul_7_2016	32.98	29.7	30.16	31.4	31.35	31.96	32.16(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	130	26	92	0.6	35%	-0.03	-34.9	3.51%	0	1.6	60	INF

16	Jul_6_2016	32.99	29.8	29.77	30.83	30.66	31.3	32.32(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	130	29	74	0.91	41%	-0.03	-34.7	3.52%	0	1.4	62	INF
17	Jul_5_2016	33	29.84	29.41	30.02	29.99	30.75	31.28(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	170	32	52	0.6	41%	0	-41.4	3.69%	0	0.7	61	INF
18	Jul_1_2016	33	29.96	29.21	29.15	29.21	30.03	31.1(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	200	26	25	0.47	45%	0	-41.7	3.78%	0	0.5	56	INF
19	Jun_30_2016	33	30.05	28.92	28.64	28.43	29.24	30.13(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	180	9	-8	0.61	45%	0.03	-41.7	3.75%	0	0	49	INF
20	Jun_29_2016	32.99	30.23	28.79	28.78	28.39	28.38	29.33(3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-40	12	-18	0.48	45%	-0.03	-34.7	3.74%	0	-0.4	41	INF

21	Jun_28_2016	33	30.44	28.79	28.58	28.62	27.63	28.25(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-240	-15	-66	0.37	43%	0	-31.3	3.71%	0	-0.9	32	INF
22	Jun_27_2016	33	30.68	28.72	28.71	28.88	28.4	26.96(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-100	-30	-98	0.51	40%	-0.15	-29.8	3.66%	0	-1.5	31	INF
23	Jun_24_2016	33.05	30.92	28.95	29.24	29.29	29.61	28.54(-7.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	80	4	-95	1.74	46%	-0.21	-25.7	3.62%	0	-1	33	INF
24	Jun_23_2016	33.12	31.08	29.13	29.19	29.32	29.36	30.8(8.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	20	15	-108	0.83	43%	-0.09	-25.1	3.56%	0	-0.1	41	INF
25	Jun_22_2016	33.15	31.12	29.21	28.82	29.02	28.97	28.35(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	10	-5	-131	0.48	38%		-29	3.75%	0	-1.2	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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