Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $36.4600 (-5.32%) ($35.9800 - $39.0200) on Fri. Apr. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.91% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $36.4600(-5.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(46%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.455% (StdDev 4.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.38(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.07(7.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.37(9.26%)
To recent high   -17.8%
To recent low   27.3%
Market Cap   $1.894b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 7.55% (three month std-dev: 4.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.56%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.05%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.46%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2016	40.53	33.37	34.07	36.38	36.52	37.71	36.46(-5.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	240	23	111	0.34	40%	-0.22	28.9	4.91%	0	1.2	64	0
2	Apr_7_2016	40.62	33.18	33.49	35.55	35.54	36.96	38.51(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	280	41	100	0.59	40%	-0.2	19.3	4.89%	0	2.2	70	0
3	Apr_6_2016	40.7	32.86	32.53	34.26	34.13	35.34	37.67(9.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	240	34	57	0.49	37%	-0.2	1.7	4.94%	0	2.3	62	0
4	Apr_5_2016	40.78	32.66	32.03	32.96	33.13	34.12	34.5(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	220	25	23	0.34	33%	-0.22	-8	5.03%	0	1	50	0
5	Apr_4_2016	40.87	32.71	31.79	32.24	32.37	32.93	34.76(7.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	15	130	23	-8	0.44	32%	-0.22	-2.4	5.03%	0	1.1	42	0

6	Apr_1_2016	40.96	32.65	31.44	31.44	31.56	32.13	32.29(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	140	10	-40	0.48	29%	-0.29	-7	4.94%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Mar_31_2016	41.08	32.72	31.35	31.11	31.21	31.82	32.06(2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	150	19	-49	0.54	29%	-0.34	-4.7	4.98%	0	-0.4	49	0
8	Mar_30_2016	41.22	32.83	31.41	30.52	30.65	30.99	31.19(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	90	2	-68	0.61	29%	-0.41	-5	4.96%	0	-0.9	47	0
9	Mar_29_2016	41.39	32.8	31.69	30.96	29.93	30.61	30.89(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	60	-5	-64	0.71	29%	-0.5	-2.8	4.95%	0	-1	43	0
10	Mar_28_2016	41.6	32.76	32.26	31.29	30.61	30.32	30.79(0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-130	7	-50	0.43	29%	-0.81	-6.4	4.96%	0	-1	38	0

11	Mar_24_2016	41.94	32.79	32.62	31.45	30.95	29.25	30.61(5.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-430	-22	-57	0.73	29%	-0.59	-6.4	4.96%	0	-1.1	45	0
12	Mar_23_2016	42.19	32.81	32.89	31.62	31.44	30.9	29.1(-12.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-140	-33	-62	4.34	27%	-0.61	-5.6	4.9%	0	-1.8	42	0
13	Mar_22_2016	42.45	32.92	33.31	32.38	32.27	32.66	33.4(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	70	5	-39	0.48	29%	-0.52	-2.3	4.66%	0	0.3	49	0
14	Mar_21_2016	42.67	32.86	33.38	32.53	32.29	31.99	32.54(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-90	-15	-31	0.42	29%	-0.42	-1.4	4.64%	0	-0.2	59	0
15	Mar_18_2016	42.85	32.89	33.72	33.43	33.07	31.88	31.58(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-280	-22	8	0.79	29%	-0.49	14.5	4.62%	0	-0.7	60	0

16	Mar_17_2016	43.06	32.89	33.99	34.01	34.09	32.58	31.5(-4.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-11	-300	-25	31	0.51	29%	-0.49	26.2	4.65%	0	-0.7	55	0
17	Mar_16_2016	43.27	32.92	34.24	34.01	34.59	34.26	32.87(-3.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-40	-15	54	0.4	29%	-0.39	35.7	4.65%	0	-0	59	0
18	Mar_15_2016	43.44	32.96	34.4	34.31	34.63	35.59	34.18(-7.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	220	10	78	0.59	33%	-0.28	45.3	4.66%	0	0.6	61	0
19	Mar_14_2016	43.56	32.88	34.04	34.32	34.21	34.92	37.03(7.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	140	17	76	0.68	38%	-0.18	55.5	4.73%	0	2.2	63	0
20	Mar_11_2016	43.64	32.61	33.29	34.13	34.02	33.66	34.47(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-80	1	55	0.37	32%	-0.25	62.9	4.68%	0	1.1	54	0

21	Mar_10_2016	43.75	32.42	32.94	34.04	34.26	33.51	33.01(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-130	-12	45	0.44	32%	-0.27	49.6	4.75%	0	0.4	55	0
22	Mar_9_2016	43.87	32.26	32.72	34.17	34.39	34.38	32.84(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	20	-10	47	0.47	32%	-0.25	36.3	4.75%	0	0.3	56	0
23	Mar_8_2016	43.98	32.13	32.52	34.46	34.44	35.01	34.25(-5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	110	21	56	0.62	32%	-0.29	32.2	4.73%	0	1.2	51	0
24	Mar_7_2016	44.11	31.85	32.29	33.64	33.74	34.4	36.09(6.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	150	31	40	0.51	33%	-0.23	5.1	4.72%	0	2.2	58	0
25	Mar_4_2016	44.21	31.6	31.94	32.31	32.42	33.87	34.01(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	320	23	12	0.54	34%		-22.8	4.65%	0	1.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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