Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $53.0300 (-2.8%) ($51.6000 - $54.5800) on Thu. Nov. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.62% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $53.0300(-2.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    XBI(47%)    IWO(42%)    ARKG(38%)    IWM(38%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.31% (StdDev 4.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.2(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.09(3.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.19(10.04%)
To recent high   -21.2%
To recent low   30.1%
Market Cap   $2.754b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 8.16% (three month std-dev: 4.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.92%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 7%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.44%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.69%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.65%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2015	51.47	48.19	51.09	53.2	53.5	53.96	53.03(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	80	5	116	0.15	46%	0.04	65.7	4.62%	0	1.2	71	INF
2	Nov_4_2015	51.45	47.64	50.28	52.89	52.95	54.09	54.56(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	150	20	114	0.16	46%	0.1	66.9	4.64%	0	1.8	69	INF
3	Nov_3_2015	51.4	47.06	49.27	52.28	52.32	53.05	54.24(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	100	27	112	0.33	46%	0.1	68	4.68%	0	2	74	INF
4	Nov_2_2015	51.35	46.43	48.24	51.34	51.47	51.8	53.93(7.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	50	24	96	0.28	46%	0.1	70.6	4.72%	0	2.3	69	INF
5	Oct_30_2015	51.3	45.97	47.47	49.67	50.22	51.59	50.23(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	220	23	74	0.19	43%	-0.04	70	4.65%	0	1.6	60	INF

6	Oct_29_2015	51.32	45.73	46.99	48.63	48.8	51.13	51.49(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	340	48	74	0.29	43%	0	56.9	4.68%	0	2.1	69	INF
7	Oct_28_2015	51.32	45.2	46.47	47.23	47.18	48.84	51.5(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	52	240	48	65	0.34	43%	0	24.2	4.72%	0	2.6	71	INF
8	Oct_27_2015	51.32	44.72	45.66	45.81	45.64	46.48	49.54(8.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	29	120	26	36	0.31	43%	-0.06	-10.9	4.73%	0	2.3	64	INF
9	Oct_26_2015	51.35	44.27	45.17	44.72	44.84	45.52	45.57(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	110	6	19	0.16	39%	-0.21	-58	4.6%	0	0.7	61	INF
10	Oct_23_2015	51.46	44.15	45.21	44.97	44.82	44.8	45.05(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10	5	25	0.24	39%	-0.23	-75.2	4.64%	0	0.5	50	INF

11	Oct_22_2015	51.58	44.25	45.05	45.08	45.03	44.16	44.48(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-140	-16	12	0.17	39%	-0.25	-70.7	4.68%	0	0.1	47	INF
12	Oct_21_2015	51.71	44.63	44.84	45.57	45.62	44.84	44.43(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-120	-11	25	0.16	39%	-0.29	-66.5	4.72%	0	-0.1	59	INF
13	Oct_20_2015	51.86	44.95	44.76	45.43	45.82	45.89	44.07(-5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	40	-7	27	0.17	39%	-0.29	-66.7	4.76%	0	-0.3	55	INF
14	Oct_19_2015	52.01	45.33	44.59	45.62	45.79	46.4	46.84(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	100	9	41	0.21	41%	-0.21	-65.5	4.75%	0	0.4	63	INF
15	Oct_16_2015	52.12	45.62	44.41	45.47	45.66	45.74	45.6(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	20	13	48	0.16	41%	-0.25	-56.7	4.78%	0	-0	56	INF

16	Oct_15_2015	52.25	46.21	44.42	45	45.29	45.18	46.92(7.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	0	9	34	0.23	41%	-0.23	-52	4.82%	0	0.1	49	INF
17	Oct_14_2015	52.37	46.75	43.84	44.04	44.65	45.58	43.73(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	190	8	-12	0.33	38%	-0.36	-51.8	4.73%	0	-0.5	37	INF
18	Oct_13_2015	52.56	47.34	43.72	43.98	43.77	45.39	45.01(-2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	240	29	-27	0.42	38%	-0.3	-48.8	4.77%	0	-0.4	41	INF
19	Oct_12_2015	52.72	47.97	43.3	43.37	42.82	43.73	46.11(6.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	110	21	-68	0.48	38%	-0.28	-48.6	4.82%	0	-0.3	41	INF
20	Oct_9_2015	52.87	48.46	42.96	43.24	42.34	42.14	43.24(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-100	-9	-109	0.22	34%	-0.43	-46.1	4.74%	0	-0.8	35	INF

21	Oct_8_2015	53.1	49.22	43.35	43.8	43.26	41.9	42.1(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-260	-6	-126	0.33	34%	-0.49	-41.2	4.76%	0	-1.1	28	INF
22	Oct_7_2015	53.36	49.94	44.36	43.59	43.56	42.53	43.42(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-51	-170	-19	-145	0.34	34%	-0.45	-42.4	4.81%	0	-1	29	INF
23	Oct_6_2015	53.6	50.56	45.11	43.37	43.46	44.62	41.98(-7.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-34	190	4	-148	0.31	34%	-0.54	-42.2	4.81%	0	-1.3	32	INF
24	Oct_5_2015	53.89	51.28	46.12	43.13	43.17	44.59	45.47(-1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	230	34	-152	0.16	37%	-0.41	-43.6	4.76%	0	-0.9	32	INF
25	Oct_2_2015	54.11	51.76	46.87	42.64	42.3	42.29	46.01(11.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-44	-30	-0	-175	0.38	37%		-46.4	4.82%	0	-0.9	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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