Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $56.3000 (1.3%) ($55.2000 - $57.2000) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.86% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $56.3000(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(48%)    XBI(48%)    IWO(42%)    ARKG(39%)    IWM(38%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.93% (StdDev 3.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.15(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.36(3.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.8(2.74%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $2.924b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 5.33% (three month std-dev: 3.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2015	56.13	54.8	54.36	55.15	55.24	55.91	56.3(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	90	12	48	0.23	37%	0.02	0	3.86%	0	0.5	54	0
2	Sep_9_2015	56.12	55.06	53.78	54.84	54.68	55.55	55.58(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	100	24	36	0.24	37%	-0.05	0	3.93%	0	0.2	51	0
3	Sep_8_2015	56.15	55.43	53.39	54.1	54.06	54.57	55.91(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	60	18	9	0.28	37%	-0.02	0	4.03%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Sep_4_2015	56.16	55.93	52.87	53.72	53.36	53.82	54.62(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	40	6	-31	0.31	37%	-0.14	0	4.06%	0	-0.3	34	0
5	Sep_3_2015	56.24	55.93	52.8	53.52	53.24	53.56	53.34(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	30	10	4	0.83	37%	-0.28	0	4.09%	0	11.3	41	0

6	Sep_2_2015	56.4	55.93	52.89	53.44	53.13	52.9	54.77(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-50	11	4	0.28	37%	-0.18	0	4.19%	0	11.4	41	0
7	Sep_1_2015	56.5	55.93	52.86	52.56	52.63	52.91	51.88(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	40	-4	-2	0.45	29%	-0.51	0	3.96%	0	10.5	32	0
8	Aug_31_2015	56.79	55.93	53.34	52.53	52.43	53.36	54.01(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	120	21	8	0.32	29%	-0.32	0	4.04%	0	10.9	32	0
9	Aug_28_2015	56.97	55.93	54.1	51.87	52.16	52.35	53.6(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	40	12	5	0.25	29%	-0.44	0	4.14%	0	10.6	28	0
10	Aug_27_2015	57.22	55.93	54.57	52.01	51.75	51.5	52.92(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-50	-13	-5	0.56	29%	-0.57	0	4.22%	0	10.3	50	0

11	Aug_26_2015	57.55	55.93	55.22	52.32	52.45	51.97	50.39(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-60	-15	-6	0.51	19%	-1.01	0	3.9%	0	9.7	50	0
12	Aug_25_2015	58.14	55.93	56.42	53.23	53.18	51.99	51.72(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-160	-28	-11	0.58	19%	-1	0	4.07%	0	10.4	50	0
13	Aug_24_2015	58.73	55.93	57.63	54.27	54.06	52.94	50.74(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-160	-52	-21	0.5	19%	-1.33	0	4.04%	0	10.7	50	0
14	Aug_21_2015	59.52	55.93	59.28	56.64	55.93	54.38	54.28(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-230	-29	-12	0.59	23%	-0.98	0	4.04%	0	12.8	50	0
15	Aug_20_2015	60.11	55.93	59.28	57.51	57.45	55.19	54.49(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-280	-44	-18	0.54	23%	-1.15	0	4.22%	0	13.4	50	0

16	Aug_19_2015	60.81	55.93	59.28	58.57	58.67	57.48	54.91(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-140	-47	-19	0.41	23%	-1.36	0	4.46%	0	14.6	50	0
17	Aug_18_2015	61.65	55.93	59.28	60.08	60.2	59.71	56.95(-9.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-50	-15	-6	0.66	23%	-1.27	0	4.8%	0	17.6	50	0
18	Aug_17_2015	62.44	55.93	59.28	61.46	60.87	59.86	62.59(6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-140	-27	-11	0.43	33%	0.06	0	4.23%	0	22.3	50	0
19	Aug_14_2015	62.4	55.93	59.28	62.4	62.31	60.69	58.63(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	219	-190	257	103	0.42	0%	-1.5	0	1.36%	0	19	50	0
20	Aug_13_2015	63.35	55.93	59.28	50.68	64.08	61.88	59.75(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	3.3	434	550	510	204	0.49	0%	-1.86	0	1.21%	0	22	50	0

21	Aug_12_2015	64.55	55.93	59.28	38.73	64.08	61.88	62.47(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	11.8	567	-10000	667	267	0.46	0%	-1.59	0	1.43%	0	30.9	50	0
22	Aug_11_2015	65.59	55.93	59.28	26.23	64.08	61.88	63.88(-5.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	22	0	-10000	0	0	0.32	0%	-2.53	0	0%	0	37.4	50	0
23	Aug_10_2015	67.29	55.93	59.28	13.46	64.08	61.88	67.29(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.36	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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