Trading Signals: ROKU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: ROKU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 28, 2017 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Roku, Inc.)
ROKU latest price $106.5000 (6.95%) ($102.4200 - $108.6000) on Tue. Apr. 14, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.63% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $106.5000(6.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ROKU advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ROKU advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ROKU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(65%)    IPO(64%)    ONLN(62%)    ARKK(60%)    SKYY(57%)
Factors Impacting ROKU price   ROKU will decline at least -2.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-14%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-8%)    UNG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.815% (StdDev 5.63%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.82(12.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.1(18.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87(22.41%)
To recent high   -23.5%
To recent low   66.7%
Market Cap   $13.268b

Roku, Inc. engages in the provision of a streaming platform for television. It operates through the following business segments: Player and Platform. The Player segment consists of net sales of streaming media players and accessories through retailers and distributors, as well as directly to customers through the company's website. Its Roku platform allows users to personalize their content selection with cable television replacement offerings and other streaming services that suit their budget and needs. Its product categories include advertising, Roku TVs and Streaming Players. The company was founded by Anthony J. Wood in October 2002 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. ROKU price fluctuates within 10.89% (three month std-dev: 5.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 4.79%(29%) Average negative next day return: -4.29%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 8.99%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -8.06%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 15.94%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.7%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2020	119.84	87	90.1	94.82	95.77	100.87	106.5(6.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	400	102	68	22.9	50%	-0.45	37.3	5.63%	1.3	2.1	57	1.5
2	Apr_13_2020	120.38	84.88	88.21	91.39	91.34	93.58	99.58(7.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	170	50	24	7.62	48%	-0.82	10.8	5.55%	1.8	1.5	59	1.2
3	Apr_9_2020	121.37	83.88	86.87	87.75	89.6	90.68	92.47(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	150	38	7	7.2	45%	-0.57	-10.4	5.47%	1.3	1	68	0.9
4	Apr_8_2020	122.06	83.16	86.51	85.73	86.84	89.09	87.84(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	220	19	2	6.39	45%	-0.56	-30.6	5.42%	-0.7	0.5	67	0.9
5	Apr_7_2020	122.75	83.24	87.11	84.66	85.21	88.52	87.71(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	290	44	36	6.18	45%	-0.61	-41	5.42%	0.4	0.5	72	0.8

6	Apr_6_2020	123.5	83.61	87.11	84.6	83.82	84.59	89.34(9.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	40	22	60	7.12	45%	-0.57	-45	5.43%	1.6	0.6	71	0.8
7	Apr_3_2020	124.21	83.86	87.89	84.65	84.35	81.91	81.41(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-210	-28	77	4.73	42%	-0.56	-49.5	5.31%	-0.7	-0.2	72	0.1
8	Apr_2_2020	124.91	84.8	87.57	85.87	86.44	83.05	82.34(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-250	-48	75	5.26	42%	-0.5	-47.3	5.31%	-0.8	-0.2	54	-0.1
9	Apr_1_2020	125.54	85.91	86.94	87.37	87.47	86.8	82.51(-5.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-50	-50	84	8.68	42%	-0.44	-41.9	5.32%	-1.6	-0.3	56	-0.4
10	Mar_31_2020	126.09	87.16	85.68	89.83	89.53	89.83	87.4(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	10	2	97	9.13	43%	-0.34	-36.1	5.33%	-0.6	0	50	-0.1

11	Mar_30_2020	126.52	88.11	84.01	91.64	90.6	88.15	89.6(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-220	-23	69	7.87	42%	-0.27	-33.3	5.33%	0.3	0.1	47	-0.3
12	Mar_27_2020	126.86	89.22	81.56	91.66	92.92	89.23	87.51(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-240	-23	28	9.81	42%	-0.25	-32.3	5.36%	-0.9	-0.1	47	-0.6
13	Mar_26_2020	127.18	90.41	80.82	89.39	92.4	93.05	89.86(-5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	150	1	-7	15.13	42%	-0.42	-36.6	5.36%	-1.8	-0	45	-0.3
14	Mar_25_2020	127.72	91.34	79.61	86.23	88.65	96.61	94.8(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	71	710	102	-23	15.6	42%	-0.36	-43.7	5.33%	0.3	0.2	45	-0.7
15	Mar_24_2020	128.18	92.11	78.9	80.77	83.21	91.75	96.45(7.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	117	810	174	-53	17.72	42%	-0.36	-52.3	5.37%	1.1	0.3	44	-0.6

16	Mar_23_2020	128.64	93.07	78.57	75.35	75.24	80.69	89.67(17.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	50	500	109	-128	18.54	38%	-0.46	-59.4	5.3%	2.2	-0.2	41	-0.8
17	Mar_20_2020	129.23	94.34	78.94	70.2	70.94	74.67	76.17(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	400	55	-221	13.74	29%	-0.57	-66.4	4.76%	1	-1	27	-1.5
18	Mar_19_2020	129.97	96.48	81.33	71.16	69.4	69.8	74.07(9.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-51	-30	13	-243	13.17	29%	-0.6	-68.6	4.74%	1.2	-1.2	26	-1.7
19	Mar_18_2020	130.76	98.98	84.42	72.1	70.77	67.2	67.49(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-124	-410	-72	-281	19.45	23%	-0.63	-70.9	4.56%	-0.5	-1.7	22	-2.4
20	Mar_17_2020	131.59	101.99	88.61	76.74	74.73	69	69.36(8.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-166	-620	-129	-276	24.8	23%	-0.61	-71.7	4.56%	-0.5	-1.8	22	-2.2

21	Mar_16_2020	132.4	104.94	92.59	82.3	80.93	74.38	63.9(-21.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-175	-620	-145	-263	14.11	17%	-0.54	-72.6	4.39%	-2.3	-2.5	12	-2.7
22	Mar_13_2020	133.12	108.37	97.82	88.79	87.23	80.4	80.96(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-188	-600	-163	-263	11.88	21%	-0.4	-73.6	3.62%	-0.7	-1.9	19	-1.9
23	Mar_12_2020	133.65	111.29	101.15	92.97	92.18	87.4	78.8(-13.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-180	-390	-161	-236	13.37	21%	-0.39	-64.9	3.63%	-1.8	-2.3	15	-2.6
24	Mar_11_2020	134.17	114.32	104.49	98.51	96.86	94.06	90.69(-6.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-125	-250	-100	-201	8.66	25%	-0.3	-57.5	3.3%	-1.9	-1.8	17	-2.2
25	Mar_10_2020	134.57	116.65	106.79	102.3	100.6	96.96	97.14(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-110	-300	-85	-186	9.67	28%		-50.8	3.21%	-0.5	-1.6	18	-2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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