Trading Signals: ROK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: ROK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Rockwell Automation Inc.)
ROK latest price $47.3700 (-0.86%) ($46.8900 - $47.7700) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $47.3700(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ROK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ROK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ROK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IWM(71%)    EWG(65%)    QQQ(65%)    XLY(65%)
Factors Impacting ROK price   ROK will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $47(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.69(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.36(2.18%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   26%
Market Cap   $5.495b

Rockwell Automation, Inc. engages in the provision of industrial automation and information services. It operates through the following segments: Architecture and Software, and Control Products and Solutions . The Architecture and Software segment contains hardware, software, and communication components of its integrated control and information architecture which are capable of controlling the customer's industrial processes and connecting with their business enterprise. The Control Products and Solutions segment combines a portfolio of intelligent motor control and industrial control products, application expertise, and project management capabilities. The company was founded in 1928 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, WI.

$. ROK price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2004	41.01	46.36	46.69	47			47.37(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	2	23	0.74	71%	0.24	57.5	1.45%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Dec_15_2004	40.91	46.25	46.55	46.92			47.78(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	9	19	1.06	71%	0.29	59.4	1.44%	0	2.1	61	0
3	Dec_14_2004	40.79	46.12	46.41	46.61			46.77(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	6	13	0.54	70%	0.27	61.4	1.44%	0	1	63	0
4	Dec_13_2004	40.68	46.05	46.45	46.41			46.56(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	2	16	0.48	70%	0.27	63.4	1.44%	0	0.8	60	0
5	Dec_10_2004	40.57	46.01	46.47	46.36			46.51(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	1	30	0.51	66%	0.27	81.1	1.44%	0	0.8	64	0

6	Dec_9_2004	40.46	45.94	46.44	46.32			46.96(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	6	39	0.59	66%	0.27	79.1	1.45%	0	1.5	64	0
7	Dec_8_2004	40.35	45.82	46.37	46.12			46.27(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-2	36	0.68	65%	0.25	84.5	1.45%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Dec_7_2004	40.25	45.71	46.29	46.18			45.77(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-9	38	0.79	65%	0.22	91.9	1.44%	0	0.1	56	0
9	Dec_6_2004	40.16	45.63	46.27	46.48			46.28(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-3	59	0.54	65%	0.27	105.2	1.43%	0	0.7	60	0
10	Dec_3_2004	40.05	45.48	46.14	46.59			46.33(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	1	59	0.91	62%	0.25	102.7	1.44%	0	0.8	54	0

11	Dec_2_2004	39.95	45.41	46.03	46.57			45.97(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-2	58	1.96	64%	0.25	121.1	1.46%	0	0.6	58	0
12	Dec_1_2004	39.85	45.23	45.96	46.64			46.54(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	7	73	1.26	64%	0.28	101.5	1.45%	0	1.1	69	0
13	Nov_30_2004	39.74	45	45.83	46.4			47.3(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	27	-10000	11	75	1.34	67%	0.28	88.9	1.42%	0	1.7	78	0
14	Nov_29_2004	39.63	44.72	45.62	46.03			46.82(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	12	69	0.75	67%	0.28	83.4	1.43%	0	1.5	77	0
15	Nov_26_2004	39.52	44.47	45.5	45.64			46.23(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	7	71	0.22	67%	0.33	79	1.42%	0	1.2	79	0

16	Nov_24_2004	39.39	44.24	45.39	45.42			46.29(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	7	62	0.77	68%	0.25	75.6	1.43%	0	1.3	57	0
17	Nov_23_2004	39.29	44.02	45.2	45.19			45.35(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	0	71	0.73	67%	0.15	75.7	1.41%	0	0.8	70	0
18	Nov_22_2004	39.23	43.81	45.08	45.18			45.48(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	1	92	0.63	67%	0.2	76.2	1.41%	0	1	71	0
19	Nov_19_2004	39.15	43.56	44.93	45.15			44.83(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-6	110	0.62	65%	0.2	76.4	1.41%	0	0.7	70	0
20	Nov_18_2004	39.07	43.33	44.78	45.34			45.17(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	0	140	0.84	65%	0.21	79.5	1.41%	0	1	72	0

21	Nov_17_2004	38.99	43.08	44.75	45.33			45.13(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	4	174	0.85	67%	0.21	82.8	1.41%	0	1	72	0
22	Nov_16_2004	38.91	42.82	44.46	45.19			45.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	48	-10000	7	172	0.44	67%	0.23	82.6	1.43%	0	1.2	72	0
23	Nov_15_2004	38.82	42.53	44.13	44.95			45.3(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	9	172	0.83	67%	0.21	79.3	1.44%	0	1.3	75	0
24	Nov_12_2004	38.74	42.21	43.78	44.67			45.81(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	-10000	17	177	1.02	67%	0.26	74.6	1.43%	0	1.7	80	0
25	Nov_11_2004	38.64	41.85	43.36	44.14			45.12(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	1	159	0.79	66%		68	1.44%	0	1.6	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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