Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ RARE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $141.7600 (3.93%) ($141.7600 - $142.4400) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.89% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $141.7600(3.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE declines -7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    IWO(50%)    ARKG(49%)    XBI(49%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-14%)    VXX(-11%)    TBT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.945% (StdDev 3.89%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $149.89
5 Day Moving Average   $141.36(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.45(-1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.89(-5.42%)
To recent high   -20%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $8.564b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 6.46% (three month std-dev: 3.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2021	130.88	149.89	143.45	141.36	140.11	139.15	141.76(3.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-70	-11	-118	0.25	61%	0.38	-3.7	3.89%	0.2	-0.8	33	0.5
2	Feb_25_2021	130.39	149.93	145.33	142.57	140.97	139.13	136.4(-4.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-70	-130	-52	-123	0.25	60%	0.34	3.2	3.89%	-1.2	-1.4	37	0.2
3	Feb_24_2021	129.95	150.1	148.33	143.97	143.83	141.08	143.02(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-140	-24	-92	0.26	63%	0.43	7.9	3.84%	0.2	-0.7	46	1.4
4	Feb_23_2021	129.39	150.02	150.69	144.01	144.01	142.82	140.26(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-60	-58	-93	0.43	63%	0.41	8.5	3.86%	-0.6	-1	41	1.3
5	Feb_22_2021	128.86	150.42	153.2	144.84	144.75	146.59	145.37(-1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	90	13	-44	0.31	63%	0.5	15.3	3.82%	-0.3	-0.5	53	1.1

6	Feb_19_2021	128.22	150.24	154.9	145.86	144.96	145.21	147.81(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	-10	15	-17	0.57	63%	0.5	18.3	3.82%	1.2	-0.2	61	1.5
7	Feb_18_2021	127.58	149.62	155.65	148.74	145.63	142.92	143.38(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-190	-84	-29	0.42	61%	0.5	25	3.81%	0.1	-0.6	57	1.3
8	Feb_17_2021	126.94	149.33	156.55	153.55	151.22	144.71	143.23(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-82	-350	-110	1	0.37	61%	0.48	36.6	3.85%	-0.8	-0.6	60	1.4
9	Feb_16_2021	126.33	149.18	157.73	158.46	157.27	148.34	144.4(-4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-128	-420	-176	18	0.48	61%	0.87	48.2	3.85%	-1	-0.4	58	1.2
10	Feb_12_2021	125.24	148.96	158.13	162.68	162.47	157.73	150.5(-7.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-98	-210	-150	58	0.62	61%	0.59	53.7	3.78%	-1.2	0.1	55	1.5

11	Feb_11_2021	124.51	148.46	157.23	165.01	166.27	166.2	162.19(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	20	-3	137	0.2	64%	0.66	57.7	3.7%	-1.4	1.2	68	1.3
12	Feb_10_2021	123.69	147.06	155.17	163.43	165.56	167.21	167.44(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	78	110	50	162	0.45	65%	0.71	53.6	3.68%	0.8	1.8	76	1
13	Feb_9_2021	122.82	145.48	152.12	159.99	162.27	166.33	167.75(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	98	220	79	156	0.25	65%	0.74	50.1	3.7%	0.9	2.2	73	1.1
14	Feb_8_2021	121.92	144.07	149.23	157.04	157.79	163.92	165.52(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	127	290	117	158	0.34	65%	0.7	52	3.7%	1.6	2.4	69	1.1
15	Feb_5_2021	121.07	143.18	147.16	153.06	154.62	158.22	162.15(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	145	190	142	153	0.19	65%	0.68	54.2	3.72%	1.6	2.5	67	1.1

16	Feb_4_2021	120.25	142.19	144.85	148.38	150.11	151.65	154.28(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	110	52	90	0.21	67%	0.62	45.2	3.67%	1.2	2	62	1.1
17	Feb_3_2021	119.51	141.3	142.76	145.65	146.07	151.02	150.25(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	250	59	72	0.49	69%	0.61	28.2	3.9%	0.3	1.6	64	0.7
18	Feb_2_2021	118.79	140.51	141.25	142.95	143.74	148.56	153.02(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	121	250	133	83	0.21	66%	0.66	-15.1	3.96%	1.7	2.4	62	-0.1
19	Feb_1_2021	118.01	139.62	139.68	140.27	139.91	141.11	145.6(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	50	35	25	0.41	65%	0.63	-71.3	3.99%	2.1	1.4	53	-1.3
20	Jan_29_2021	117.27	139.24	138.89	140.49	138.76	138.92	138.75(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-30	-11	-4	0.28	65%	0.57	-111.4	4%	-0.4	-0.1	39	-2.7

21	Jan_28_2021	116.61	139.5	138.99	140.78	140.37	138.72	140.64(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	-90	5	-1	0.37	65%	0.57	-138.1	3.99%	0.3	0.3	47	-2.2
22	Jan_27_2021	115.95	139.78	138.39	139.34	140.53	138.6	136.75(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-70	-35	-29	0.37	67%	0.57	-162.1	4.01%	-1.4	-0.7	51	-3
23	Jan_26_2021	115.29	141.3	138.49	139.07	139.68	142.02	139.62(-4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	130	3	-13	0.23	67%	0.22	-153	4.07%	-0.3	-0.4	55	0.3
24	Jan_25_2021	115.04	142.83	138.67	138.86	138.65	142.46	146.67(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	190	81	22	0.46	69%	0.65	-85.1	4.02%	1.6	0.5	59	0.8
25	Jan_22_2021	114.3	144.16	138.87	137.18	137.15	137.33	140.24(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	10	35	5	0.32	69%		-81.9	3.99%	2.2	-0.5	52	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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