Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 21, 2020

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $167.8000 (1.19%) ($167.8000 - $167.8000) on Mon. Dec. 21, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $167.8000(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE advances 15.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    IWO(51%)    ARKG(50%)    XBI(50%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-13%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-6%)    UNG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $163.66(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.56(9.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $137.59(21.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   109.5%
Market Cap   $10.137b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 13.31% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 5%(44%) Average negative next day return: -3.42%(56%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 6.3%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -6.59%(56%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 9.5%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.46%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2020	100.39	137.59	152.56	163.66	164.92	167.04	167.8(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	115	110	55	294	0.34	76%	0.91	75.1	3.37%	2	1.6	87	-1.6
2	Dec_18_2020	99.48	134.85	148.8	160.74	162.75	165.34	165.82(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	142	150	86	308	0.53	76%	0.9	73.4	3.41%	0.7	1.8	84	1.2
3	Dec_17_2020	98.59	132.13	145.05	156.54	159.05	162.8	164.39(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	154	210	105	302	0.31	76%	0.91	70	3.41%	1.2	2	79	1.6
4	Dec_16_2020	97.7	129.51	141	150.56	154.15	160.16	161.2(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	190	340	156	290	0.28	76%	0.88	62.6	3.41%	1.4	2.1	79	1.5
5	Dec_15_2020	96.85	127.28	136.62	144.11	147.48	155.3	159.11(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	206	440	189	257	0.34	77%	0.82	57.6	3.41%	1	2.5	79	0.8

6	Dec_14_2020	96.06	125.09	132.35	139.84	139.95	148.15	153.17(5.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	187	410	174	227	0.92	77%	0.8	60.6	3.43%	1.3	2.6	79	-0.6
7	Dec_11_2020	95.3	123.16	128.78	135.2	136.54	139.66	144.81(7.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	173	190	165	197	0.49	76%	0.7	63.3	3.41%	1.8	2.5	77	0.3
8	Dec_10_2020	94.64	121.6	126.38	131.96	132.66	131.74	134.52(4.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	29	-30	-3	123	0	74%	0.56	64.9	3.32%	-0.2	1.9	74	0.9
9	Dec_9_2020	94.11	120.84	124.86	129.93	131.17	133.43	128.96(-6.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	150	23	128	0.38	74%	0.48	68.9	3.32%	-0.9	1.3	69	1
10	Dec_8_2020	93.66	120.23	123.85	127.68	129.57	133.57	137.76(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	145	260	140	160	0.34	76%	0.54	73.8	3.22%	2.2	2.9	69	1.6

11	Dec_7_2020	93.16	118.96	121.46	123.61	124.46	128.92	129.97(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	93	270	90	101	0.44	75%	0.49	91	3.21%	0.8	2.4	65	1.1
12	Dec_4_2020	92.71	118	119.85	121.37	121.66	125.57	128.59(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	107	230	113	87	0.26	75%	0.48	100.6	3.23%	1.3	2.7	66	1.2
13	Dec_3_2020	92.27	117.25	118.24	120.08	119.49	119.99	124.39(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	10	41	44	0.4	72%	0.42	143.1	3.25%	2	2.2	64	0.9
14	Dec_2_2020	91.88	116.68	117.18	119.15	119.31	117.75	117.71(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-90	-28	-0	0.25	70%	0.37	186	3.23%	-0.5	0.4	45	1
15	Dec_1_2020	91.54	115.98	117.3	119.37	120.09	118.99	117.38(-1.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-18	-50	-26	5	0.32	68%	0.38	134.3	3.25%	0.4	0.3	51	1

16	Nov_30_2020	91.19	114.99	117.39	118.83	120.01	120.88	118.76(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	80	11	22	0.53	68%	0.36	95.2	3.26%	0.4	0.6	58	1.1
17	Nov_27_2020	90.86	114.13	117.2	117.93	118.8	121.2	122.15(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	160	61	42	0.17	68%	0.39	88.3	3.24%	-2.4	1.2	66	1.1
18	Nov_25_2020	90.51	112.82	116.49	116.1	116.68	119.15	119.76(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	160	64	29	0.38	65%	0.35	67.5	3.26%	0.9	0.8	58	1.3
19	Nov_24_2020	90.19	111.64	116.5	114.96	114.96	116.4	118.79(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	90	38	19	0.39	64%	0.36	65.1	3.27%	2.1	0.8	58	1.1
20	Nov_23_2020	89.87	110.61	116.33	115.06	114.4	114.2	114.71(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-30	-1	26	0.19	62%	0.28	65.4	3.29%	0.7	0.4	69	1.1

21	Nov_20_2020	89.62	109.51	116.28	115.79	115.19	113.53	114.23(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-120	-30	49	0.27	62%	0.32	65	3.29%	-0.6	0.5	74	1.2
22	Nov_19_2020	89.33	108.5	116.08	116.35	116.35	114.6	113(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-110	-44	67	0.31	62%	0.31	64.9	3.29%	-2.1	0.4	65	1.3
23	Nov_18_2020	89.05	107.5	116.08	116.84	117.16	116.85	114.08(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10	-28	111	0.31	62%	0.42	62.7	3.29%	-2.3	0.6	71	1.3
24	Nov_17_2020	88.68	106.31	116.26	118.17	117.4	118.1	119.29(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	20	6	175	0.22	65%	0.52	63.6	3.23%	2	1.2	76	1.6
25	Nov_16_2020	88.22	104.85	114.66	117.81	117.96	117.47	118.35(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	64	-30	21	191	0.29	65%		60.8	3.25%	0.5	1.2	71	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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