Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 10, 2019

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $73.1300 (1.56%) ($71.3500 - $74.1100) on Wed. Apr. 10, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.78% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $73.1300(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   RARE advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    XBI(58%)    ARKG(56%)    IWO(54%)    ARKK(49%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    VIXM(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.39% (StdDev 2.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.82(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.85(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.73(4.88%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   52%
Market Cap   $4.418b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 2.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.75%(66%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(34%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 1.55%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.7%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2019	55.79	69.73	71.85	72.82	72.95	72.61	73.13(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-30	-7	86	0.4	74%	0.41	74.9	2.78%	0	1.3	58	1.3
2	Apr_9_2019	55.56	69.46	71.3	72.83	72.82	73.06	72.01(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	20	-7	85	0.46	74%	0.4	86.6	2.85%	0	1	59	0.6
3	Apr_8_2019	55.34	69.17	70.96	72.96	73	73.29	73.36(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	30	26	103	0.37	74%	0.38	87.5	2.85%	0	1.5	60	1.2
4	Apr_5_2019	55.13	68.75	70.22	72.29	72.3	72.58	74.36(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	30	15	82	0.41	74%	0.46	76.3	2.84%	0	2	63	1.3
5	Apr_4_2019	54.88	68.17	69.25	71.29	71.62	72.71	71.23(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	120	27	61	0.41	75%	0.44	61.3	2.82%	0	1.1	58	1.2

6	Apr_3_2019	54.64	67.77	69	70.71	70.82	72.02	73.21(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	120	51	69	0.49	75%	0.46	52.6	2.92%	0	2	69	1
7	Apr_2_2019	54.39	67.25	68.44	69.53	69.45	70.53	72.63(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	110	29	41	0.41	75%	0.46	44.5	3%	0	2.2	60	1.2
8	Apr_1_2019	54.14	66.88	67.97	68.7	68.92	69.62	70(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	80	36	36	0.55	74%	0.35	50.2	3.04%	0	1.5	60	1.2
9	Mar_29_2019	53.95	66.67	67.78	67.84	68.2	68.38	69.36(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	30	21	25	0.73	74%	0.28	47.7	3.07%	0	1.3	62	1
10	Mar_28_2019	53.8	66.56	67.65	66.9	67.24	68.23	68.34(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	120	5	18	0.33	74%	0.3	53.4	3.09%	0	0.9	65	0.7

11	Mar_27_2019	53.64	66.35	67.4	67.04	66.96	68.02	67.31(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	110	28	37	0.82	74%	0.26	68.8	3.09%	0	0.5	63	0.2
12	Mar_26_2019	53.5	66.17	67.46	67.19	66.92	66.25	68.47(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-80	3	44	0.48	76%	0.3	71.6	3.08%	0	1	66	0.4
13	Mar_25_2019	53.34	65.84	67.25	67.18	67.2	65.9	65.73(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	-130	-40	28	0.72	75%	0.23	82.6	3.13%	0	-0	51	-0.9
14	Mar_22_2019	53.22	65.73	67.21	67.71	67.99	67.59	64.65(-6.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-30	-26	41	0.65	75%	0.21	91.9	3.13%	0	-0.4	48	-1
15	Mar_21_2019	53.11	65.53	67.1	68.43	68.46	68.49	69.04(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	0	11	58	0.47	73%	0.42	94.2	3.01%	0	1.2	53	1.4

16	Mar_20_2019	52.89	65	66.51	67.78	68.15	68.39	68.05(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	40	3	40	0.63	73%	0.38	94.3	3.22%	0	1	61	1.3
17	Mar_19_2019	52.69	64.63	66.02	67.76	67.81	68.42	68.43(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	70	14	42	0.42	73%	0.42	93.1	3.24%	0	1.2	63	1.7
18	Mar_18_2019	52.47	64.07	65.73	67.34	67.52	67.91	68.36(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	50	24	52	0.78	73%	0.38	97.8	3.26%	0	1.3	68	1.8
19	Mar_15_2019	52.27	63.49	65.46	66.67	66.77	67.2	68.27(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	50	19	47	1.15	73%	0.19	93.7	3.28%	0	1.4	61	2.2
20	Mar_14_2019	52.17	62.87	65.33	65.57	65.93	67.13	65.8(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	140	28	54	0.72	71%	0.21	86.5	3.29%	0	0.8	65	2

21	Mar_13_2019	52.06	62.34	65.17	65.01	64.77	66.34	67.94(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	160	44	68	0.49	71%	0.13	79.2	3.28%	0	1.4	72	1.8
22	Mar_12_2019	51.99	61.71	64.73	64.01	63.7	64.73	66.35(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	100	27	54	0.53	71%	0.08	75.3	3.27%	0	1.2	63	1.8
23	Mar_11_2019	51.95	61.06	64.25	63.92	63.37	63.2	64.98(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-40	2	57	0.6	71%	0.04	73.2	3.28%	0	0.9	68	1.1
24	Mar_8_2019	51.93	60.45	64.09	64.13	63.84	62.66	62.78(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-140	-32	67	0.45	70%	-0.02	73	3.29%	0	0.5	66	-0.9
25	Mar_7_2019	51.94	59.89	63.86	65.09	64.9	63.55	63.02(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-150	-31	97	0.76	63%		75.6	3.32%	0	0.6	68	-0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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