Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $48.1300 (0.61%) ($47.6200 - $49.1400) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.14% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $48.1300(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    XBI(60%)    ARKG(57%)    IWO(55%)    ARKK(51%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.57% (StdDev 3.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.92(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.32(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.15(2.08%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $2.908b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 3.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.57%(67%) Average negative next day return: 0%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 7.2%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 8.8%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.75%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2017	55.83	47.15	47.32	47.92	47.98	48.04	48.13(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	10	15	14	0.43	42%	-0.29	-50.7	3.14%	0	0.7	51	0
2	Nov_20_2017	55.99	47.21	47.07	47.41	47.43	47.87	47.84(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	70	-0	-6	0.22	42%	-0.25	-66.9	3.14%	0	0.4	56	0
3	Nov_17_2017	56.13	47.32	46.99	47.57	47.43	47.92	48.11(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	90	16	12	0.55	40%	-0.25	-65.9	3.16%	0	0.5	60	0
4	Nov_16_2017	56.27	47.46	47.09	47.43	47.14	47	48.22(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-40	17	19	0.5	40%	-0.27	-67.2	3.22%	0	0.4	55	0
5	Nov_15_2017	56.42	47.6	47.07	47.04	46.93	46.36	47.32(3.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-90	-8	10	0.74	40%	-0.25	-70.5	3.21%	0	-0.1	55	0

6	Nov_14_2017	56.56	47.84	47.13	46.64	46.83	47.29	45.55(-6.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	80	1	6	0.56	37%	-0.33	-71.2	3.17%	0	-0.9	45	0
7	Nov_13_2017	56.75	48.22	47.21	46.62	46.45	47.49	48.67(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	150	26	2	0.32	40%	-0.32	-65.7	3.1%	0	0.2	46	0
8	Nov_10_2017	56.93	48.47	46.87	46.33	46.05	46.36	47.41(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	30	7	-31	0.49	38%	-0.33	-63.1	3.08%	0	-0.4	41	0
9	Nov_9_2017	57.12	48.78	46.77	46.75	46.34	45.4	46.26(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-170	-19	-51	0.33	38%	-0.35	-56.6	3.09%	0	-0.8	34	0
10	Nov_8_2017	57.32	49.18	46.75	47.15	47.15	45.73	45.29(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-210	-40	-72	0.39	38%	-0.31	-53.2	3.08%	0	-1.2	31	0

11	Nov_7_2017	57.5	49.65	47	47.69	47.88	47.28	45.48(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-80	-26	-72	0.51	38%	-0.33	-52	3.09%	0	-1.3	29	0
12	Nov_6_2017	57.69	50.08	47.41	47.81	48.21	48.56	47.21(-4.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	80	13	-68	0.4	40%	-0.26	-56.3	3.07%	0	-0.9	30	0
13	Nov_3_2017	57.84	50.41	47.7	47.41	47.6	48.47	49.53(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	140	27	-88	0.77	42%	-0.22	-64.4	3.02%	0	-0.3	32	0
14	Nov_2_2017	57.97	50.64	47.84	46.81	46.78	47.87	48.25(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	160	31	-109	0.42	42%	-0.24	-65.3	3%	0	-0.7	29	0
15	Nov_1_2017	58.11	51	48.13	46.34	46.25	46.73	47.99(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	70	21	-134	0.77	40%	-0.17	-64.7	3%	0	-0.9	27	0

16	Oct_31_2017	58.21	51.42	48.53	46.27	45.99	45.68	46.09(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-70	-19	-162	0.48	36%	-0.15	-60.4	2.99%	0	-1.5	16	0
17	Oct_30_2017	58.3	51.96	49.25	46.99	46.71	45.76	45.19(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-160	-34	-157	0.4	36%	-0.21	-51.7	2.97%	0	-1.9	17	0
18	Oct_27_2017	58.42	52.58	50.19	48.03	47.77	46.3	46.52(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-73	-230	-50	-142	0.62	34%	-0.19	-44.4	2.96%	0	-1.9	20	0
19	Oct_26_2017	58.53	52.95	50.94	49.03	49.1	47.67	45.9(-3.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-71	-200	-53	-124	0.63	34%	-0.17	-39	2.99%	0	-2.5	15	0
20	Oct_25_2017	58.63	53.39	51.83	50.15	50.31	49.24	47.66(-4.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-58	-140	-43	-103	0.39	36%	-0.17	-32	2.96%	0	-2.5	15	0

21	Oct_24_2017	58.73	53.7	52.57	51.11	51.1	50.53	49.68(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-80	-33	-87	0.44	38%	-0.1	-24.2	2.93%	0	-2.1	17	0
22	Oct_23_2017	58.79	53.86	53.03	51.86	51.92	51.37	50.4(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-70	-23	-77	0.25	38%	-0.12	-14.6	2.95%	0	-2	18	0
23	Oct_20_2017	58.86	54.02	53.4	52.69	52.61	51.68	51.51(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-39	-130	-27	-75	0.77	42%	-0.08	-1.4	2.94%	0	-1.6	18	0
24	Oct_19_2017	58.91	54.08	53.69	53.17	53.35	52.47	51.51(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-110	-31	-63	0.35	42%	-0.03	-1.4	3%	0	-1.7	47	0
25	Oct_18_2017	58.93	54.15	54.13	53.76	53.87	53.55	52.43(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-40	-21	-42	0.28	42%		7	3.01%	0	-1.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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