Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $61.7300 (5.22%) ($57.9200 - $63.0400) on Wed. Jun. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.11% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $61.7300(5.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    XBI(60%)    ARKG(56%)    IWO(55%)    ARKK(50%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.88(6.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.27(7.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.15(8.01%)
To recent high   -29.9%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $3.729b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 3.43% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.72%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2017	68.12	57.15	57.27	57.88	57.67	58.52	61.73(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	57	90	58	54	0.66	40%	-0.13	-6.7	3.11%	0	2.3	52	0
2	Jun_13_2017	68.21	57	56.46	56.69	56.61	56.37	58.67(7.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-4	-30	-4	-4	0.62	36%	-0.15	-31.5	3.02%	0	1	52	0
3	Jun_12_2017	68.31	56.99	55.9	56.41	56.63	56.81	54.77(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	30	-6	-26	0.73	30%	-0.2	-39.1	2.87%	0	-1.3	45	0
4	Jun_9_2017	68.45	57.15	56.03	56.7	56.78	56.86	57.31(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	10	11	-19	0.56	32%	-0.19	-44.6	2.83%	0	0.1	50	0
5	Jun_8_2017	68.58	57.17	56.11	56.61	56.55	56.45	56.93(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-20	-6	-30	0.3	32%	-0.2	-55.8	2.83%	0	-0.1	45	0

6	Jun_7_2017	68.72	57.28	56.37	56.55	56.74	56.71	55.78(-2.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	10	9	-20	0.37	31%	-0.2	-56.5	2.82%	0	-0.9	44	0
7	Jun_6_2017	68.86	57.55	56.37	56.16	56.46	56.65	57.27(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	40	18	-31	0.6	31%	-0.17	-56.9	2.82%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Jun_5_2017	68.98	57.68	56.54	55.31	55.63	56.76	56.23(-1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	160	16	-55	0.32	31%	-0.25	-74.3	2.8%	0	-0.7	43	0
9	Jun_2_2017	69.15	57.92	56.66	55.24	55.63	56.27	56.84(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	140	27	-54	0.43	32%	-0.23	-79.6	2.85%	0	-0.5	48	0
10	Jun_1_2017	69.31	58.13	56.85	55.58	55.08	54.51	56.61(5.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-100	-8	-58	0.41	36%	-0.22	-79.1	2.87%	0	-0.7	48	0

11	May_31_2017	69.46	58.29	57.01	56.26	56.01	53.9	53.85(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-59	-280	-56	-69	0.28	29%	-0.3	-83	2.77%	0	-2.1	35	0
12	May_30_2017	69.67	58.66	57.58	57	57.37	55.66	53.01(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-62	-190	-62	-63	0.33	28%	-0.43	-91.3	2.8%	0	-2.9	28	0
13	May_26_2017	69.97	59.19	58.21	57.87	58.09	58.11	55.91(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	10	-21	-32	0.3	41%	-0.3	-73.9	3.07%	0	-1.6	39	0
14	May_25_2017	70.18	59.61	58.44	58.19	58.19	59.09	58.52(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	110	18	-20	0.31	43%	-0.24	-59.6	3.05%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	May_24_2017	70.35	59.89	58.37	58.28	58.19	58.07	60.01(4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-0	16	-30	0.44	43%	-0.14	-47.3	3.07%	0	0	44	0

16	May_23_2017	70.45	60.14	58.28	57.94	57.95	57.3	57.55(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-80	-16	-52	0.26	40%	-0.18	-39.7	3.01%	0	-1	42	0
17	May_22_2017	70.58	60.51	58.64	58.31	58.22	57.83	57.38(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-50	-20	-47	0.23	40%	-0.2	-29	3.01%	0	-1.2	37	0
18	May_19_2017	70.72	60.72	58.91	58.61	58.61	58.6	57.47(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-0	-1	-44	0.29	40%	-0.18	-27.5	3%	0	-1.3	31	0
19	May_18_2017	70.85	60.9	59.27	58.7	58.63	58.6	59.01(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10	5	-50	0.26	40%	-0.17	-27.6	3.01%	0	-0.8	32	0
20	May_17_2017	70.97	61.05	59.47	58.44	58.39	58.61	58.31(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	20	-3	-68	0.37	40%	-0.22	-23.1	3.03%	0	-1.2	29	0

21	May_16_2017	71.13	61.2	59.64	58.65	58.36	58.66	59.38(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	20	0	-80	0.17	40%	-0.18	-14.8	3.03%	0	-0.8	28	0
22	May_15_2017	71.26	61.25	59.8	59.05	58.71	58.17	58.86(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-80	-7	-89	0.2	40%	-0.21	-4.8	3.02%	0	-1.1	29	0
23	May_12_2017	71.41	61.4	60.23	59.3	59.33	58.07	57.95(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-150	-33	-92	0.35	40%	-0.2	3.7	2.99%	0	-1.6	43	0
24	May_11_2017	71.55	61.54	60.86	59.93	59.95	59.26	57.69(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-80	-37	-72	0.46	40%	-0.21	16.9	3.01%	0	-1.9	45	0
25	May_10_2017	71.7	61.58	61.55	60.63	60.71	60.6	59.39(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10	-3	-40	0.27	40%		17.8	3.02%	0	-1.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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