Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $61.1700 (4.49%) ($56.3200 - $61.7600) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $61.1700(4.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(64%)    XBI(61%)    ARKG(57%)    IWO(54%)    ARKK(49%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.96(-24.87%)
Resistance Level   $61.51
5 Day Moving Average   $57.14(7.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.23(3.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.51(-0.55%)
To recent high   -20.7%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $3.696b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 6.44% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2016	62.8	61.51	59.23	57.14	56.63	58.31	61.17(4.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	180	35	-87	0.95	45%	0.1	-83.2	3.6%	0	-0.1	51	0
2	Nov_7_2016	62.74	61.91	59.36	56.95	56.55	55.97	58.54(5.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-90	9	-101	0.86	43%	0.06	-74	3.56%	0	-0.7	45	0
3	Nov_4_2016	62.7	62.59	60.05	57.04	57.13	54.95	55.25(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-74	-260	-59	-117	0.79	40%	-0.08	-69	3.51%	0	-1.5	43	0
4	Nov_3_2016	62.75	63.37	61.16	58.51	58.73	57.13	52.7(-9.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-72	-180	-66	-89	0.87	37%	-0.16	-64.3	3.45%	0	-2.3	35	0
5	Nov_2_2016	62.85	64.26	62.61	60.53	60.44	59.31	58.04(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-140	-36	-48	0.54	40%	-0.05	-57	3.28%	0	-1.4	35	0

6	Nov_1_2016	62.88	64.99	63.03	61.55	61.6	60.34	60.22(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-140	-32	-41	0.57	42%	0	-52	3.26%	0	-1.1	40	0
7	Oct_31_2016	62.88	65.48	63.27	62.11	62.44	61.57	58.99(-5.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-80	-42	-56	0.42	42%	-0.03	-52	3.24%	0	-1.6	30	0
8	Oct_28_2016	62.9	66.09	63.52	63.51	63.37	62.85	62.62(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-60	-25	-60	0.6	45%	-0.05	-46.1	3.2%	0	-0.9	30	0
9	Oct_27_2016	62.93	66.5	63.44	64.26	64.5	63.31	62.77(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-120	-23	-71	0.49	50%	-0.14	-44.3	3.2%	0	-1	36	0
10	Oct_26_2016	63.02	66.8	63.76	65.03	65.19	63.89	63.13(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-130	-27	-69	0.51	53%	-0.11	-45.2	3.32%	0	-0.9	39	0

11	Oct_25_2016	63.09	67.22	63.99	64.72	65.5	65.7	63.05(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	60	-3	-81	0.35	53%	-0.16	-49.4	3.38%	0	-1.1	35	0
12	Oct_24_2016	63.19	67.71	64.64	64.53	64.76	66.49	65.97(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	200	38	-69	0.38	56%	-0.06	-55.7	3.33%	0	-0.4	44	0
13	Oct_21_2016	63.23	67.96	65.24	63.49	63.6	65.31	66.4(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	23	190	55	-73	1.23	56%	-0.11	-67.2	3.34%	0	-0.4	43	0
14	Oct_20_2016	63.3	68.26	65.62	62.52	62.31	63.04	66.61(8.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	70	18	-103	0.85	58%	-0.06	-76	3.35%	0	-0.4	43	0
15	Oct_19_2016	63.34	68.61	65.88	62.44	62.3	61.89	61.55(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-50	-12	-119	0.39	50%	-0.19	-75.7	3.24%	0	-1.7	39	0

16	Oct_18_2016	63.46	69.24	67	63.23	63.26	61.59	62.14(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-180	-45	-116	0.31	50%	-0.02	-71.8	3.32%	0	-1.7	36	0
17	Oct_17_2016	63.47	69.94	67.83	64.81	64.71	62.72	60.75(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-87	-220	-78	-115	0.42	50%	-0.13	-58.4	3.31%	0	-2.3	31	0
18	Oct_14_2016	63.55	70.75	68.9	67.24	67.23	64.92	61.57(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-64	-240	-60	-74	0.6	54%	-0.13	-41.6	3.41%	0	-2.5	36	0
19	Oct_13_2016	63.63	71.55	69.91	69.1	69.25	66.7	66.18(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-59	-250	-60	-54	0.61	54%	-0.05	-18.7	3.31%	0	-1.8	39	0
20	Oct_12_2016	63.66	71.97	70.21	69.81	70.42	69.54	65.51(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-60	-52	-53	0.7	54%	-0.03	-5.7	3.42%	0	-2.4	36	0

21	Oct_11_2016	63.68	72.34	70.85	69.81	71.16	71.81	70.04(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	60	5	-16	0.56	58%	0.06	19.4	3.32%	0	-1	42	0
22	Oct_10_2016	63.64	72.36	71.12	71.28	71.43	71.3	72.92(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	-10	19	-18	0.37	61%	0.16	25	3.28%	0	0.3	42	0
23	Oct_7_2016	63.54	72.29	70.92	70.87	71.01	70.52	70.84(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-40	-17	-51	0.58	61%	0.14	28.8	3.27%	0	-0.6	36	0
24	Oct_6_2016	63.45	72.11	71.09	70.89	71.09	71.56	69.76(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	50	5	-53	0.69	61%	0.11	29.1	3.27%	0	-0.9	32	0
25	Oct_5_2016	63.38	72.13	71.5	70.65	70.89	71.5	72.85(4.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	70	21	-51	0.65	64%		32.4	3.24%	0	0.3	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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